Tannehill Over 238.5

**jtoler** · 01-20-22, 04:58 PM

seems like a lot

**Renegades** · 01-20-22, 05:09 PM

He will only get that if tenn sees cincy moving the ball consistently otherwise Tenn will be nice and conservative and content running the ball

**209 Life** · 01-20-22, 05:30 PM

Watch out for the whistle on the sidelines near the endzone

**marcoloco** · 01-20-22, 05:40 PM

Originally posted by Renegades

He will only get that if tenn sees cincy moving the ball consistently otherwise Tenn will be nice and conservative and content running the ball

agreed

**thomorino** · 01-20-22, 06:00 PM

Bengals zone defense has a lot holes, the only issue is Titans receivers have been dealing with injuries all year. I'd lean over. The biggest negative would be if Titans get a big early lead and stop passing that much.

**Snowball** · 01-21-22, 09:19 AM

Cincy ranks 26th in the league in PY against.
They are also banged up on defense.

**Mike Huntertz** · 01-21-22, 06:51 PM

Originally posted by thomorino

Bengals zone defense has a lot holes, the only issue is Titans receivers have been dealing with injuries all year. I'd lean over. The biggest negative would be if Titans get a big early lead and stop passing that much.

Don't see this as a runaway by either side....sound like a good wager.

**Mr KLC** · 01-21-22, 08:54 PM

**jjgold** · 01-21-22, 10:34 PM

He should have a field day Cincinnati’s got no defense

**gummo** · 01-21-22, 10:37 PM

Why would he need to throw with Henry plowing through the line?

**Mr KLC** · 01-21-22, 10:37 PM

**Headsterx** · 01-22-22, 12:07 AM

Isn’t Henry back? Don’t know about this prop.

**texhooper** · 01-22-22, 12:17 AM

They probably get more deep shots with Henry than without, I don’t have the data in front of me but that’s my educated guess. This is not a bad prop, I think there will be some chunk passing plays

**RM Logic** · 01-22-22, 10:39 AM

I think Tannehill had like 114 yards passing against Miami a couple of weeks ago. With Henry back I doubt they throw every much.
Good luck though.

**Chi_archie** · 01-22-22, 10:55 AM

Henry is a non factor

Tenn run game stayed the same with him

how many games have Julio and AJ Brown both been healthy for?

**Chi_archie** · 01-22-22, 10:59 AM

In the 7 games decided by 3 or less, Tannehill threw for 262 yards per game

**stevenash** · 01-22-22, 11:02 AM

My analytics say OK.
I'd tail but will pass (pardon the pun)

What's the rush prop on RT?

			Week 20 Game				Passing					Rushing
Rank	Name	Team	OPP	Fav	Spread	O/U	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	ATT	YDS
1	Josh Allen	BUF	KC	KC	1.5	54	25.92	35.7	72.6	279.62	2.35	6.7	45.72
2	Patrick Mahomes	KC	BUF	KC	-1.5	54	28.4	38.6	73.6	309.34	2.49	3.4	28.4
3	Joe Burrow	CIN	TEN	TEN	4	47.5	22.65	35	64.7	313.72	2.53	2.9	10.07
4	Aaron Rodgers	GB	SF	GB	-5.5	47	26.5	36.2	73.2	289.93	2.45	2.4	8.75
5	Matthew Stafford	LAR	TB	TB	2.5	48	22.74	36.8	61.8	317.14	2.09	2	3.47
6	Tom Brady	TB	LAR	TB	-2.5	48	25.43	37.6	67.6	299.95	2.16	0.3	0.39
7	Ryan Tannehill	TEN	CIN	TEN	-4	47.5	22.74	33.4	68.1	240.84	2.11	3.3	16.25
8	Jimmy Garoppolo	SF	GB	GB	5.5	47	22.27	34.7	64.2	260.57	1.72	1.8	4.63

**pavyracer** · 01-22-22, 11:14 AM

is henry playing?

**Headsterx** · 01-22-22, 11:35 AM

Originally posted by stevenash

My analytics say OK.
I'd tail but will pass (pardon the pun)

What's the rush prop on RT?

			Week 20 Game				Passing					Rushing
Rank	Name	Team	OPP	Fav	Spread	O/U	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	ATT	YDS
1	Josh Allen	BUF	KC	KC	1.5	54	25.92	35.7	72.6	279.62	2.35	6.7	45.72
2	Patrick Mahomes	KC	BUF	KC	-1.5	54	28.4	38.6	73.6	309.34	2.49	3.4	28.4
3	Joe Burrow	CIN	TEN	TEN	4	47.5	22.65	35	64.7	313.72	2.53	2.9	10.07
4	Aaron Rodgers	GB	SF	GB	-5.5	47	26.5	36.2	73.2	289.93	2.45	2.4	8.75
5	Matthew Stafford	LAR	TB	TB	2.5	48	22.74	36.8	61.8	317.14	2.09	2	3.47
6	Tom Brady	TB	LAR	TB	-2.5	48	25.43	37.6	67.6	299.95	2.16	0.3	0.39
7	Ryan Tannehill	TEN	CIN	TEN	-4	47.5	22.74	33.4	68.1	240.84	2.11	3.3	16.25
8	Jimmy Garoppolo	SF	GB	GB	5.5	47	22.27	34.7	64.2	260.57	1.72	1.8	4.63

RT rushing = o/u15.5 (-115)

**stevenash** · 01-22-22, 11:37 AM

Originally posted by Headsterx

RT rushing = o/u15.5 (-115)

Pass
(pardon the pun again)

**Headsterx** · 01-22-22, 11:45 AM

Originally posted by pavyracer

is henry playing?

Titans activated him. Rushing o/u 89.5 (-115)

**Chi_archie** · 01-22-22, 11:49 AM

Originally posted by Headsterx

Titans activated him. Rushing o/u 89.5 (-115)

wow I think i saw 80.5 yesterday. squares will be pounding up the next few hrs i hope

titans had near identical rushing numbers with and without henry.

the committee had a better Rush per carry avg though

**stevenash** · 01-22-22, 12:04 PM

Under Henry for me.
He may be a factor on a few runs, but I don't see Tenn. feeding him every down.
Before he got hurt they were throwing to him more, but I wouldn't touch that prop either.

Henry under, Singletary (Buff) over maybe?

		Week 20 Game				Rushing
Name	Team	OPP	Fav	Spread	O/U	ATT	YDS	TD
Elijah Mitchell	SF	GB	GB	5.5	47	19.5	81.31	0.62
Devin Singletary	BUF	KC	KC	1.5	54	16.7	77.98	0.36
Derrick Henry	TEN	CIN	TEN	-4	48	15.5	74.74	0.73
Joe Mixon	CIN	TEN	TEN	4	48	17.5	73.27	0.58
Cam Akers	LAR	TB	TB	2.5	48	13.2	55.44	0.45
AJ Dillon	GB	SF	GB	-5.5	47	11.8	55.19	0.39
Aaron Jones	GB	SF	GB	-5.5	47	10.5	44.96	0.37
Leonard Fournette	TB	LAR	TB	-2.5	48	10.2	44.56	0.31
Jerick McKinnon	KC	BUF	KC	-1.5	54	9	40.36	0.2
Sony Michel	LAR	TB	TB	2.5	48	8	33.95	0.21
Clyde Edwards-Helaire	KC	BUF	KC	-1.5	54	6.5	32.46	0.2

**Headsterx** · 01-22-22, 12:33 PM

Originally posted by Chi_archie

wow I think i saw 80.5 yesterday. squares will be pounding up the next few hrs i hope

titans had near identical rushing numbers with and without henry.

the committee had a better Rush per carry avg though

That’s from Bovada and didn’t check the 3rd party “player props”

**Headsterx** · 01-22-22, 12:44 PM

86.5 @ 3rd party

**stevenash** · 01-22-22, 02:35 PM

Just hit the under Henry prop bet.

Titans and over are still under consideration and are in play.
The under prop is locked in.

This weekend is so loaded with with betting props, volume betting will kill you if your'e laying 15 cents in vig juice on props.

**Headsterx** · 01-22-22, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

Just hit the under Henry prop bet.

Titans and over are still under consideration and are in play.
The under prop is locked in.

This weekend is so loaded with with betting props, volume betting will kill you if your'e laying 15 cents in vig juice on props.

Oh man, I'm taking the over. I'm thinking Titans will feed the ball nonstop to Henry to make sure they win.

**pavyracer** · 01-22-22, 03:03 PM

Is he healthy? They may ease him out and even use him as decoy.

**KnuckleHeadz** · 01-22-22, 03:09 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Is he healthy? They may ease him out and even use him as decoy.

A hobbled Jacobs was 13/84yds averaging 6.4 yards

**KnuckleHeadz** · 01-22-22, 03:13 PM

NFL [80081] TOTAL o15½-120 (R TANNEHILL RUSH YDS vrs R TANNEHILL RUSH YDS)

Bootleg

**Headsterx** · 01-22-22, 03:15 PM

I don't get it. Why would Tannehill run when he can just feed the ball to his backs?

**stevenash** · 01-22-22, 03:22 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

I don't get it. Why would Tannehill run when he can just feed the ball to his backs?

I don't believe he (Henry) is close to 100 percent.
And while it's true I believe maybe, maybe 20 percent of what I read on the internet, there's a few I have faith in that write for the Athletic, they say he's not 100 percent either.

Doesn't make it true, but some things I read I have faith in.

**Headsterx** · 01-22-22, 03:24 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

I don't believe he (Henry) is close to 100 percent.
And while it's true I believe maybe, maybe 20 percent of what I read on the internet, there's a few I have faith in that write for the Athletic, they say he's not 100 percent either.

Doesn't make it true, but some things I read I have faith in.

Ah ok, interesting info. Thanks!

**stevenash** · 01-22-22, 03:40 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

Ah ok, interesting info. Thanks!

Not a problem.
Doesn't make what I wrote is true, but if you write for The Athletic, the best of the best, then I have to take notice.
If you don't have a subscription, I can set you up, no charge. I can do that for up to 20.

I contribute, (don't work for) but contribute for RotoWire, freelance thing, I can set you up for all their premium content too.
I tweak my numbers accordingly.
Pretty damn uncanny accurate, if they say Tannehill is going to throw for about 250 or whatever, I pay attention.
Long story short, I do my homework than I compare notes so to speak.

Time consuming at times, but it's more successful than throwing darts like some do around here.