1. #1
    Snowball
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    Tannehill Over 238.5

    Tannehill can do 239 at home in playoffs. C'mon Man.
    Bengals D banged up = less pressure
    https://www.irontontribune.com/2022/...ed-out-d-line/
    Titans Henry limited, questionable... run won't get it done
    NFL Weather: 36 Clear, Wind 4 mph...favorable

  2. #2
    jtoler
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    seems like a lot

  3. #3
    Renegades
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    He will only get that if tenn sees cincy moving the ball consistently otherwise Tenn will be nice and conservative and content running the ball

  4. #4
    209 Life
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    Watch out for the whistle on the sidelines near the endzone

  5. #5
    marcoloco
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    Quote Originally Posted by Renegades View Post
    He will only get that if tenn sees cincy moving the ball consistently otherwise Tenn will be nice and conservative and content running the ball
    agreed

  6. #6
    thomorino
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    Bengals zone defense has a lot holes, the only issue is Titans receivers have been dealing with injuries all year. I'd lean over. The biggest negative would be if Titans get a big early lead and stop passing that much.

  7. #7
    Snowball
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    Cincy ranks 26th in the league in PY against.
    They are also banged up on defense.

  8. #8
    Mike Huntertz
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Bengals zone defense has a lot holes, the only issue is Titans receivers have been dealing with injuries all year. I'd lean over. The biggest negative would be if Titans get a big early lead and stop passing that much.
    Don't see this as a runaway by either side....sound like a good wager.

  9. #9
    Mr KLC
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  10. #10
    jjgold
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    He should have a field day Cincinnati’s got no defense

  11. #11
    gummo
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    Why would he need to throw with Henry plowing through the line?

  12. #12
    Mr KLC
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  13. #13
    Headsterx
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    Isn’t Henry back? Don’t know about this prop.

  14. #14
    texhooper
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    They probably get more deep shots with Henry than without, I don’t have the data in front of me but that’s my educated guess. This is not a bad prop, I think there will be some chunk passing plays

  15. #15
    RM Logic
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    I think Tannehill had like 114 yards passing against Miami a couple of weeks ago. With Henry back I doubt they throw every much.
    Good luck though.

  16. #16
    Chi_archie
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    Henry is a non factor

    Tenn run game stayed the same with him

    how many games have Julio and AJ Brown both been healthy for?

  17. #17
    Chi_archie
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    In the 7 games decided by 3 or less, Tannehill threw for 262 yards per game

  18. #18
    stevenash
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    My analytics say OK.
    I'd tail but will pass (pardon the pun)

    What's the rush prop on RT?





    Week 20 Game Passing Rushing
    Rank Name Team OPP Fav Spread O/U COMP ATT PCT YDS TD ATT YDS
    1 Josh Allen BUF KC KC 1.5 54 25.92 35.7 72.6 279.62 2.35 6.7 45.72
    2 Patrick Mahomes KC BUF KC -1.5 54 28.4 38.6 73.6 309.34 2.49 3.4 28.4
    3 Joe Burrow CIN TEN TEN 4 47.5 22.65 35 64.7 313.72 2.53 2.9 10.07
    4 Aaron Rodgers GB SF GB -5.5 47 26.5 36.2 73.2 289.93 2.45 2.4 8.75
    5 Matthew Stafford LAR TB TB 2.5 48 22.74 36.8 61.8 317.14 2.09 2 3.47
    6 Tom Brady TB LAR TB -2.5 48 25.43 37.6 67.6 299.95 2.16 0.3 0.39
    7 Ryan Tannehill TEN CIN TEN -4 47.5 22.74 33.4 68.1 240.84 2.11 3.3 16.25
    8 Jimmy Garoppolo SF GB GB 5.5 47 22.27 34.7 64.2 260.57 1.72 1.8 4.63

  19. #19
    pavyracer
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    is henry playing?

  20. #20
    Headsterx
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    My analytics say OK.
    I'd tail but will pass (pardon the pun)

    What's the rush prop on RT?





    Week 20 Game Passing Rushing
    Rank Name Team OPP Fav Spread O/U COMP ATT PCT YDS TD ATT YDS
    1 Josh Allen BUF KC KC 1.5 54 25.92 35.7 72.6 279.62 2.35 6.7 45.72
    2 Patrick Mahomes KC BUF KC -1.5 54 28.4 38.6 73.6 309.34 2.49 3.4 28.4
    3 Joe Burrow CIN TEN TEN 4 47.5 22.65 35 64.7 313.72 2.53 2.9 10.07
    4 Aaron Rodgers GB SF GB -5.5 47 26.5 36.2 73.2 289.93 2.45 2.4 8.75
    5 Matthew Stafford LAR TB TB 2.5 48 22.74 36.8 61.8 317.14 2.09 2 3.47
    6 Tom Brady TB LAR TB -2.5 48 25.43 37.6 67.6 299.95 2.16 0.3 0.39
    7 Ryan Tannehill TEN CIN TEN -4 47.5 22.74 33.4 68.1 240.84 2.11 3.3 16.25
    8 Jimmy Garoppolo SF GB GB 5.5 47 22.27 34.7 64.2 260.57 1.72 1.8 4.63
    RT rushing = o/u15.5 (-115)

  21. #21
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Headsterx View Post
    RT rushing = o/u15.5 (-115)
    Pass
    (pardon the pun again)

  22. #22
    Headsterx
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    is henry playing?
    Titans activated him. Rushing o/u 89.5 (-115)


  23. #23
    Chi_archie
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    Quote Originally Posted by Headsterx View Post
    Titans activated him. Rushing o/u 89.5 (-115)

    wow I think i saw 80.5 yesterday. squares will be pounding up the next few hrs i hope

    titans had near identical rushing numbers with and without henry.

    the committee had a better Rush per carry avg though

  24. #24
    stevenash
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    Under Henry for me.
    He may be a factor on a few runs, but I don't see Tenn. feeding him every down.
    Before he got hurt they were throwing to him more, but I wouldn't touch that prop either.

    Henry under, Singletary (Buff) over maybe?




    Week 20 Game Rushing
    Name Team OPP Fav Spread O/U ATT YDS TD
    Elijah Mitchell SF GB GB 5.5 47 19.5 81.31 0.62
    Devin Singletary BUF KC KC 1.5 54 16.7 77.98 0.36
    Derrick Henry TEN CIN TEN -4 48 15.5 74.74 0.73
    Joe Mixon CIN TEN TEN 4 48 17.5 73.27 0.58
    Cam Akers LAR TB TB 2.5 48 13.2 55.44 0.45
    AJ Dillon GB SF GB -5.5 47 11.8 55.19 0.39
    Aaron Jones GB SF GB -5.5 47 10.5 44.96 0.37
    Leonard Fournette TB LAR TB -2.5 48 10.2 44.56 0.31
    Jerick McKinnon KC BUF KC -1.5 54 9 40.36 0.2
    Sony Michel LAR TB TB 2.5 48 8 33.95 0.21
    Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC BUF KC -1.5 54 6.5 32.46 0.2

  25. #25
    Headsterx
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chi_archie View Post
    wow I think i saw 80.5 yesterday. squares will be pounding up the next few hrs i hope

    titans had near identical rushing numbers with and without henry.

    the committee had a better Rush per carry avg though
    That’s from Bovada and didn’t check the 3rd party “player props”

  26. #26
    Headsterx
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    86.5 @ 3rd party

  27. #27
    stevenash
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    Just hit the under Henry prop bet.

    Titans and over are still under consideration and are in play.
    The under prop is locked in.

    This weekend is so loaded with with betting props, volume betting will kill you if your'e laying 15 cents in vig juice on props.

  28. #28
    Headsterx
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Just hit the under Henry prop bet.

    Titans and over are still under consideration and are in play.
    The under prop is locked in.

    This weekend is so loaded with with betting props, volume betting will kill you if your'e laying 15 cents in vig juice on props.
    Oh man, I'm taking the over. I'm thinking Titans will feed the ball nonstop to Henry to make sure they win.


  29. #29
    pavyracer
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    Is he healthy? They may ease him out and even use him as decoy.

  30. #30
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Is he healthy? They may ease him out and even use him as decoy.
    A hobbled Jacobs was 13/84yds averaging 6.4 yards

  31. #31
    KnuckleHeadz
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    NFL [80081] TOTAL o15½-120 (R TANNEHILL RUSH YDS vrs R TANNEHILL RUSH YDS)

    Bootleg
    Last edited by KnuckleHeadz; 01-22-22 at 03:26 PM.

  32. #32
    Headsterx
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    I don't get it. Why would Tannehill run when he can just feed the ball to his backs?

  33. #33
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Headsterx View Post
    I don't get it. Why would Tannehill run when he can just feed the ball to his backs?
    I don't believe he (Henry) is close to 100 percent.
    And while it's true I believe maybe, maybe 20 percent of what I read on the internet, there's a few I have faith in that write for the Athletic, they say he's not 100 percent either.

    Doesn't make it true, but some things I read I have faith in.

  34. #34
    Headsterx
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I don't believe he (Henry) is close to 100 percent.
    And while it's true I believe maybe, maybe 20 percent of what I read on the internet, there's a few I have faith in that write for the Athletic, they say he's not 100 percent either.

    Doesn't make it true, but some things I read I have faith in.
    Ah ok, interesting info. Thanks!

  35. #35
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Headsterx View Post
    Ah ok, interesting info. Thanks!
    Not a problem.
    Doesn't make what I wrote is true, but if you write for The Athletic, the best of the best, then I have to take notice.
    If you don't have a subscription, I can set you up, no charge. I can do that for up to 20.

    I contribute, (don't work for) but contribute for RotoWire, freelance thing, I can set you up for all their premium content too.
    I tweak my numbers accordingly.
    Pretty damn uncanny accurate, if they say Tannehill is going to throw for about 250 or whatever, I pay attention.
    Long story short, I do my homework than I compare notes so to speak.

    Time consuming at times, but it's more successful than throwing darts like some do around here.

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