They’re playing turkey today. I don’t usually dabble with soccer but I have an odds boost that gives me a little bump on the Italy win.
How good is Italy at soccer?
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Justin3587SBR MVP
- 08-29-12
- 2566
#1How good is Italy at soccer?Tags: None -
dmmSBR MVP
- 04-03-20
- 1164
#2Usually when I'm offered an odds boost, I compare the boost to a large market-making book like Pinnacle.
What are the odds offered on Italy with the boost? Is it a 3-way market (Italy/Draw/Turkey)?Comment -
ChuckyTheGoatBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 04-04-11
- 37199
#3I expect them to win. In-form team. Don't necessarily have the HUGE names that they did in the past.
Younger team. They've posted several 2-0 type of scorelines. I'd expect them to create 2x as many chances as Turkey, should win.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
Justin3587SBR MVP
- 08-29-12
- 2566
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JAKEPEAVY21BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-11-11
- 29254
#6Turkey has looked pretty damn good leading up to the Euro.
I'm half Italian so pulling for Italy but Turkey worries me a bit.Comment -
JAKEPEAVY21BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 03-11-11
- 29254
#8Hoping Federico Chiesa has a big tourney.Comment -
dmmSBR MVP
- 04-03-20
- 1164
#9Yes, that's a positive expected value play. -150 is an implied probability of 60%. Pinnacle has Italy at -210. After accounting for juice, that's 66.30% fair implied probability.
Of course, Italy could still lose or draw, but the math is on your side here. I would play that every time, but I suspect the limit might be low on this type of boost.Comment -
SawyerSBR Hall of Famer
- 06-01-09
- 7716
#10Turkey is a very unpredictable team. Usually tanks when favored. Likes to pull off upsets when underdog. There's a lack of discipline in the team but becomes a different team when motivated. Very emotional team, can beat ''any'' team if they're in the good mood. (1W-1D-0L against France -last World Cup Winner- in last 2 games)
Not a good record versus Italy though. 0W-3D-4L in last 7 matches.Comment -
Justin3587SBR MVP
- 08-29-12
- 2566
#11Yes, that's a positive expected value play. -150 is an implied probability of 60%. Pinnacle has Italy at -210. After accounting for juice, that's 66.30% fair implied probability.
Of course, Italy could still lose or draw, but the math is on your side here. I would play that every time, but I suspect the limit might be low on this type of boost.Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#13Odd boosts are useless Because the juice is already highComment -
Risto234SBR High Roller
- 02-20-20
- 193
#15Saw somewhere that Turkey has participated in EUROs 4 times so far and each time they lost first groupgame so with that in mind i'd imagine this could be positive surprise if they dont lose here ...Comment -
littlekonaSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-19-15
- 5242
#16this young Italian squad is very different from the typical old defense first teams. Very Young and aggressive plus very offensive with some absolute stars up front. They are a big playerComment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388179
#17Italy best years are behind them, no idea what is going on in their programs anymoreComment -
cincinnatikid513SBR Aristocracy
- 11-23-17
- 45360
#18nice to see them scoring goalsComment -
lakerboySBR Aristocracy
- 04-02-09
- 94379
#19Ciro Immobile is a goal scoring machine.Comment -
ChuckyTheGoatBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 04-04-11
- 37199
#20
The old Italian teams were so tactical. As if they were playing for a scoreline.Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?Comment -
AllureSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-18-10
- 7606
#21
This team is more tactical than ever. Bonucci said it himself in post game interview that they now play very tactical but finally attacking football.
But still Italy isn't winning this thing.Comment
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