It is all lurking, waiting to go horribly wrong. A night for the bad beat record book

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  • topgame85
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-30-08
    • 12325

    #1
    It is all lurking, waiting to go horribly wrong. A night for the bad beat record book
    One minute you are immortal and cannot lose. The next everything changes. Never bet over your head boys.

    I was up Thousands since legalization in VA. Including winning streaks of 7 in a row, 9 in a row and 13 out of 15 in the past two months.


    Tonight:

    Niagara/Iona over 134.5. Iona has 0 Fgs last 9 min and misses 2 FTs last min. 70-64 Final. Half point loss.

    FSU -3.5 and they give up big lead and miss 2 FTs last min. Win by 3. Half point loss

    Then lose Wisc and Centrasl FL live bets.

    Next- Under 135.5 in New Mexico State/Utah Vally. 55 pts at Half. 85 in Second half. The Fack?

    Finally Colorado -2.5. Once again missed Fts and BS in.kast min they win by 2. 3rd and final dagger .5 loss on the night.

    Twoo months of grinding wiped out in a matter of hours.

    This is 100% accurate and a PSA that money management is key. Frankly I was "right" and +ev on most if not all these bets. Still took massive set back tgat may take months to recover
  • Otters27
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 07-14-07
    • 30749

    #2
    Terrible luck. How are these teams continuing to blow these huge leads. Utah St. Is up 10 right now.
    Comment
    • topgame85
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-30-08
      • 12325

      #3
      Parity been around for a few years now. Seems COVID killing teams ability to close though. No stamina. Defense and better teams falter 2nd half. I recognize the trend too late unfortunately
      Comment
      • DrunkHorseplayer
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 05-15-10
        • 7719

        #4
        None of those beats can be considered unusual except for the first one; that one is ridiculous but the rest are typical college basketball.
        Comment
        • Vyasports
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-27-19
          • 4946

          #5
          Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
          None of those beats can be considered unusual except for the first one; that one is ridiculous but the rest are typical college basketball.
          Comment
          • topgame85
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-30-08
            • 12325

            #6
            Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
            None of those beats can be considered unusual except for the first one; that one is ridiculous but the rest are typical college basketball.
            Agreed. But consecutively it is unusual. I just hit Colorado State +12.5 live and covered by half a point. I will take it. Helps balance the scale a bit I suppose. Hopefully moving back toward winning ways.
            Comment
            • texhooper
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-05-09
              • 10001

              #7
              Yeah it’s not the nature of the beats as much as it is getting fukked in a row like that. I had a similar undoing. A pretty decent February then a couple of saturdays ago I started 2-2 in college hoops and then by the end of Sunday I was I think 2-13. Just unbelievable brutality. Only just now starting to recover too, when it pours on like that it is damn awful man
              Comment
              • topgame85
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-30-08
                • 12325

                #8
                Originally posted by texhooper
                Yeah it’s not the nature of the beats as much as it is getting fukked in a row like that. I had a similar undoing. A pretty decent February then a couple of saturdays ago I started 2-2 in college hoops and then by the end of Sunday I was I think 2-13. Just unbelievable brutality. Only just now starting to recover too, when it pours on like that it is damn awful man
                Yeszir. Hurts the bankroll and efforts to compound. Been here before and knew it was coming sooner or later. Hoped no time soon. Three years ago when I was using a local mostly, I went 9-0 on early tourney games at avg $100 bet, only to go 0-11 that night and next day at avg $200 bet. Luckily some huge Sunday night plays brought me back below the settle #. I suppose I have always been streaky.
                Comment
                • Sato
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-10-12
                  • 1201

                  #9
                  Did you go crazy on bet sizings?
                  Comment
                  • ArunSh
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-24-07
                    • 6801

                    #10
                    Everyone who has gambled long enough has had days like this. Sucks, but goes with the territory. Try to keep your chin up - tomorrow is a new day, have faith in yourself in the long-term, don't let get the short-term beats get to you too much!
                    Comment
                    • mjsuax13
                      Moderator
                      • 03-14-15
                      • 24853

                      #11
                      Originally posted by topgame85
                      One minute you are immortal and cannot lose. The next everything changes. Never bet over your head boys.

                      I was up Thousands since legalization in VA. Including winning streaks of 7 in a row, 9 in a row and 13 out of 15 in the past two months.


                      Tonight:

                      Niagara/Iona over 134.5. Iona has 0 Fgs last 9 min and misses 2 FTs last min. 70-64 Final. Half point loss.

                      FSU -3.5 and they give up big lead and miss 2 FTs last min. Win by 3. Half point loss

                      Then lose Wisc and Centrasl FL live bets.

                      Next- Under 135.5 in New Mexico State/Utah Vally. 55 pts at Half. 85 in Second half. The Fack?

                      Finally Colorado -2.5. Once again missed Fts and BS in.kast min they win by 2. 3rd and final dagger .5 loss on the night.

                      Twoo months of grinding wiped out in a matter of hours.

                      This is 100% accurate and a PSA that money management is key. Frankly I was "right" and +ev on most if not all these bets. Still took massive set back tgat may take months to recover
                      Super frustrating. You’ll get it back.
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388189

                        #12
                        What’s the surprise here 99% of gamblers lose it’s just a matter of time

                        Bet recreationally only

                        Sportsbetting is a slow death
                        Comment
                        • Vyasports
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-27-19
                          • 4946

                          #13
                          Originally posted by jjgold
                          What’s the surprise here 99% of gamblers lose it’s just a matter of time

                          Bet recreationally only

                          Sportsbetting is a slow death
                          who are among the 1%, pops?
                          Comment
                          • jjgold
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-20-05
                            • 388189

                            #14
                            Scalpers, hedgers and bonus whores


                            Will never turn a profit without doing those three things I forgot more than everyone combined here knows
                            Comment
                            • pavyracer
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-12-07
                              • 82488

                              #15
                              Players know the spreads. The not covering by the hook are not accidental. They know what they are doing all the time. Their job is to fukk up your bets.
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388189

                                #16
                                I have no idea how Gamer is married

                                I could never understand it
                                Comment
                                • Easy-Rider 66
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 02-14-12
                                  • 36081

                                  #17
                                  Keep plugging away Gamer. Have you been playing the Pony game Lately? GL.
                                  Comment
                                  • DrunkHorseplayer
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 05-15-10
                                    • 7719

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                    Scalpers, hedgers and bonus whores


                                    Will never turn a profit without doing those three things I forgot more than everyone combined here knows
                                    Not true.
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388189

                                      #19
                                      Gamblers always happy the agony of defeat
                                      Comment
                                      • mjsuax13
                                        Moderator
                                        • 03-14-15
                                        • 24853

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        Gamblers always happy the agony of defeat
                                        Numerous examples on this board.
                                        Comment
                                        • TommieGunshot
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-27-12
                                          • 1586

                                          #21
                                          This is why I like to make as many bets as I can that have any value. No reason to watch the games and the only reason to bet more or less, is if the edge and probabilities are more or less. Lot of small streaks like this, but over time the general trend is upwards.
                                          Comment
                                          • jjgold
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 07-20-05
                                            • 388189

                                            #22
                                            Always bet the same amount every game
                                            Comment
                                            • TommieGunshot
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-27-12
                                              • 1586

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by jjgold
                                              Always bet the same amount every game
                                              Lets try to find as many reasons we can why this is wrong.

                                              -Betting based on edge and probability of winning not only maximizes growth, but also minimizes drawdowns
                                              -Limits vary, so if I were to follow this theory, my bet size would be based overnight lines on the smallest markets. I might be limited to $100 or less on some games, so if I were to truly follow this completely illogical idea, I could never bet more than $100 no matter what.
                                              -When you pretended to be a professional level bettor, your pretend bets were for different amounts each game.

                                              Anyone else with any other reasons?
                                              Comment
                                              • jjgold
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 07-20-05
                                                • 388189

                                                #24
                                                The end result of all gamblers is broke

                                                There is no way around it

                                                The lifetime loss figure just keeps growing but the gambler does not remember it but his last deposit which he thinks is the starting bankroll lifetime


                                                The smart people invest money long term in stocks, bonds, real estate, etc
                                                Comment
                                                • Sam Odom
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-30-05
                                                  • 58063

                                                  #25
                                                  Sorry Topper

                                                  Sammy been preaching solid MM for years... many here LOL at Sammy for doing so. Most of them busted out and/or got in debt
                                                  Comment
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