1. #1
    Vyasports
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    Let's talk about TENNIS shall we

    every bettor knows by now that TENNIS is very unpredictable mainly because of "match fixing" or players Unmotivated to win.... whatever the reason.... there's always one match that will mindfcuk you .... Im I right?
    with the pandemic going on , keeping in mind that sports betting in general will be difficult this year,
    whats your new strategy to keep winning at Tennis ?

  2. #2
    RudyRuetigger
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    Well, where do you guys see the odd bet amounts (huge money on a player)?


    Betfair?


    Shouldnt you start by looking at where the money is and if it is average amount bet?
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  3. #3
    SamsNCharge99
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    Im taking federer
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  4. #4
    Vyasports
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    There were huge amount of bets on pliskova and she lost ( 2-0) so....

  5. #5
    SamsNCharge99
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    Pliskova was -1111 when she lost
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  6. #6
    Vyasports
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    same thing with Brady (lost 2-0)

  7. #7
    RudyRuetigger
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    what do you mean there was a huge amount bet on her?


    how do you know?



    im not saying that to be a smartass, im asking how you know
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  8. #8
    reallyhardtowin
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    I follow Nigel Seely tennis picks. He won 100 units last year. He is 1-1 this year for a tiny profit (won 5 pts and lost 4 pt play)

  9. #9
    jjgold
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    They look at the pools at betfair


    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    what do you mean there was a huge amount bet on her?


    how do you know?



    im not saying that to be a smartass, im asking how you know

  10. #10
    RudyRuetigger
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    They look at the pools at betfair
    but i thought betfair was an exchange?


    ive seen posters say about huge money at betfair, i dont understand how it works



    if 4 million is matched, then there are equal bets

    if 4 million isnt matched, then there isnt a bet


    ??


    what am i missing, clearly something obvious
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  11. #11
    biggie12
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    Rudy they don't know penetrate all.


    you are correct

  12. #12
    Vyasports
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    BF has both exchange AND sportsbook! but nowadays you won't see heavy betting there, why? because of commission!
    There is a reason why I open this discussion...

  13. #13
    TheMetsSuck
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    This is a silly thread. This doesnít happen enough to give it a second thought. The consequences a player will face if caught are way too high. Also, the limits arenít high enough in almost every book to make this worthwhile at all. Huge money coming in on a Rando match is too big of a red flag.


    Ride the Sinner train this year and youíll come out on top.

    Deminaur 2-0 -150 tonight and Korda ml +120 tomorrow look good to me

  14. #14
    Vyasports
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheMetsSuck View Post
    This is a silly thread. This doesn’t happen enough to give it a second thought. The consequences a player will face if caught are way too high. Also, the limits aren’t high enough in almost every book to make this worthwhile at all. Huge money coming in on a Rando match is too big of a red flag.


    Ride the Sinner train this year and you’ll come out on top.

    Deminaur 2-0 -150 tonight and Korda ml +120 tomorrow look good to me
    are you "new" to Tennis ?

    players are "caught" numerous times, for numerous reasons, some get banned, this year for e.g. Dayana Yastremska is provisionally suspended for doping! There are numerous cases where tennis fans have blacklisted players that are not playing to win (unmotivated).

    But i guess for you this is a silly thread so why even comment ?

  15. #15
    TheMetsSuck
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    I have more tennis knowledge in my left pinky toe than you pal. TTwarrior hits the wall everyday trying to get to my level. In all seriousness, the Davydenko incident 10+ years ago is the only real example of a household name player fixing a match. Shocker that it was a Russian player. KGB must have big limits. I mainly bet atp 500 events or higher. Iíll dabble once it reaches the semis of atp 250s. These top players are not throwing these matches to make some side money that could end their career if caught in these big tournies.

    You seem like a big conspiracy guy. The closest youíll come to finding a match fix is a guy like Kyrgios or Fognini showing up to a tourney with no points to defend and theyíll just tank to get back to the hotel and rest up for the following tournament that has points they need to defend.

  16. #16
    TheMetsSuck
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    Your example is Dayana Yastremska lol. End of thread

  17. #17
    Vyasports
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheMetsSuck View Post
    I have more tennis knowledge in my left pinky toe than you pal. TTwarrior hits the wall everyday trying to get to my level. In all seriousness, the Davydenko incident 10+ years ago is the only real example of a household name player fixing a match. Shocker that it was a Russian player. KGB must have big limits. I mainly bet atp 500 events or higher. I’ll dabble once it reaches the semis of atp 250s. These top players are not throwing these matches to make some side money that could end their career if caught in these big tournies.

    You seem like a big conspiracy guy. The closest you’ll come to finding a match fix is a guy like Kyrgios or Fognini showing up to a tourney with no points to defend and they’ll just tank to get back to the hotel and rest up for the following tournament that has points they need to defend.
    Then share some of that knowledge with us... for instance how you come up with the idea that Deminaur 2-0 -150 is a good bet?

  18. #18
    cincinnatikid513
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    Quote Originally Posted by SamsNCharge99 View Post
    Im taking federer
    Roger Federer to miss 2021 Australian Open; planning 2021 return

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  19. #19
    TheMetsSuck
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    I watched a little of his match vs Goffin last night and was impressed with what I saw. He is much more consistent than Bubllik and I think taking him in straights over the heavy juice is the right play. Iím not otters. I canít play juice that high. Deminaur is going to be a stud. Iíd normally take the under in this situation but Bublliks serve it on could easily lead to one tight set to blow it. I also read he may have tweaked an injury in the Chardy match.

    Deminaur already up a break 2-0 lol. Take a lap pal

  20. #20
    TheMetsSuck
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    And just like that Bublik retired..... guess he did tweak an injury. Do some research for yourself next time

  21. #21
    Vyasports
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheMetsSuck View Post
    This is a silly thread. This doesn’t happen enough to give it a second thought. The consequences a player will face if caught are way too high. Also, the limits aren’t high enough in almost every book to make this worthwhile at all. Huge money coming in on a Rando match is too big of a red flag.


    Ride the Sinner train this year and you’ll come out on top.

    Deminaur 2-0 -150 tonight and Korda ml +120 tomorrow look good to me
    Im going for Hurkacz!

  22. #22
    TheMetsSuck
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    Good luck. Should be a very close match. Im close to pulling the trigger on the over.

  23. #23
    Darkside Magick
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    ATP Delray Beach - Final

    OVER 24 +113 Sabastian Korda vs Hubert Hurkacz

  24. #24
    od120731
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    I belive going on over 3.5 sets on male Grand Slam Tourneys is always a good strat, however it's a pretty rare ocasion obviously

  25. #25
    jjgold
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    Korda very underrated USA player
    Winning at a high clip

  26. #26
    Doug tushyterror
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    Haven't seen the current Oz Open women's Futures but how do you not take Sabalenka if she's at least +1000 or better. Won 3rd straight tournament, only dropped 1 set, 16 match winning streak, while seemingly fixing her shaky serve (13 Aces, 2 DFs last 2 matches). I know she's never done shit in majors, but with women I would always bet on a first time winner & it's just a matter of time before she wins one based on current form.

  27. #27
    JamesBrown
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    I've been watching Delray. I've seen all the matches with Korda and Hurkacz. Korda is in great form at the moment and just comparing the two, I'm leaning Korda or the over. Hurkacz seems to be struggling on his volley, with some unforced errors mixed in which I expect keeps Korda in it and gives him a fair shot to win outright.

  28. #28
    Vyasports
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    Thanks all for your input so far...
    Let's talk some more...shall we

  29. #29
    Wrongside
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    I was thinking of going with Thiem for the Australian, but after some preliminary research, I am not liking what I am seeing...

    I have a lot of faith in the guy, but I would prefer him having his coach with him, and I would prefer a girlfriend like Mirka...instead of dropping Mladenovic for a Circus Star....

    This Covid thing going to provide for some angles here for sure...Just check out this short article about his (and Rafa's) coach situation and you can start to imagine all the possibilities here...

    https://www.essentiallysports.com/te...ian-open-2021/

  30. #30
    MOBIL19
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    Quote Originally Posted by SamsNCharge99 View Post
    Im taking federer
    I don't like this strategy. He was quoted as saying:

    Dude, 39, four kids, 20 grand slams. I'm no longer at the stage to be away from my family for five weeks.
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  31. #31
    JIBBBY
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    Miss betting on Pete Sampras and Roger Federer and winning big money back in the day

  32. #32
    TheMetsSuck
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    Nole will win the Aussie. Donít overthink it.

    Sinner and Kyrgios are my value plays.

  33. #33
    habitualwinning
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    Quote Originally Posted by MOBIL19 View Post
    I don't like this strategy. He was quoted as saying:

    Dude, 39, four kids, 20 grand slams. I'm no longer at the stage to be away from my family for five weeks.
    Why doesn't he just retire then? I suspect the reason is he feels incomplete without that Olympic singles gold. He has nothing else to play for. As long as Nole, Rafa, Thiem are healthy, he's not beating those guys in a GS. So why keep playing? Go be a Dad, something much more important than sport.

  34. #34
    Thrilla
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Miss betting on Pete Sampras and Roger Federer and winning big money back in the day
    full of shit this guy

  35. #35
    jjgold
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    A lot of tennis will be starting great sapor to bet but only SPOT BETTING

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