Let's talk about TENNIS shall we

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  • Vyasports
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-27-19
    • 4946

    #1
    Let's talk about TENNIS shall we
    every bettor knows by now that TENNIS is very unpredictable mainly because of "match fixing" or players Unmotivated to win.... whatever the reason.... there's always one match that will mindfcuk you .... Im I right?
    with the pandemic going on , keeping in mind that sports betting in general will be difficult this year,
    whats your new strategy to keep winning at Tennis ?
  • RudyRuetigger
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-24-10
    • 65084

    #2
    Well, where do you guys see the odd bet amounts (huge money on a player)?


    Betfair?


    Shouldnt you start by looking at where the money is and if it is average amount bet?
    Comment
    • SamsNCharge99
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-22-08
      • 41242

      #3
      Im taking federer
      Comment
      • Vyasports
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-27-19
        • 4946

        #4
        There were huge amount of bets on pliskova and she lost ( 2-0) so....
        Comment
        • SamsNCharge99
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-22-08
          • 41242

          #5
          Pliskova was -1111 when she lost
          Comment
          • Vyasports
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-27-19
            • 4946

            #6
            same thing with Brady (lost 2-0)
            Comment
            • RudyRuetigger
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 08-24-10
              • 65084

              #7
              what do you mean there was a huge amount bet on her?


              how do you know?



              im not saying that to be a smartass, im asking how you know
              Comment
              • reallyhardtowin
                SBR Sharp
                • 02-10-20
                • 432

                #8
                I follow Nigel Seely tennis picks. He won 100 units last year. He is 1-1 this year for a tiny profit (won 5 pts and lost 4 pt play)
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #9
                  They look at the pools at betfair


                  Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                  what do you mean there was a huge amount bet on her?


                  how do you know?



                  im not saying that to be a smartass, im asking how you know
                  Comment
                  • RudyRuetigger
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 08-24-10
                    • 65084

                    #10
                    Originally posted by jjgold
                    They look at the pools at betfair
                    but i thought betfair was an exchange?


                    ive seen posters say about huge money at betfair, i dont understand how it works



                    if 4 million is matched, then there are equal bets

                    if 4 million isnt matched, then there isnt a bet


                    ??


                    what am i missing, clearly something obvious
                    Comment
                    • biggie12
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-30-05
                      • 13788

                      #11
                      Rudy they don't know penetrate all.


                      you are correct
                      Comment
                      • Vyasports
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-27-19
                        • 4946

                        #12
                        BF has both exchange AND sportsbook! but nowadays you won't see heavy betting there, why? because of commission!
                        There is a reason why I open this discussion...
                        Comment
                        • TheMetsSuck
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-14-12
                          • 6146

                          #13
                          This is a silly thread. This doesn’t happen enough to give it a second thought. The consequences a player will face if caught are way too high. Also, the limits aren’t high enough in almost every book to make this worthwhile at all. Huge money coming in on a Rando match is too big of a red flag.


                          Ride the Sinner train this year and you’ll come out on top.

                          Deminaur 2-0 -150 tonight and Korda ml +120 tomorrow look good to me
                          Comment
                          • Vyasports
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-27-19
                            • 4946

                            #14
                            Originally posted by TheMetsSuck
                            This is a silly thread. This doesn’t happen enough to give it a second thought. The consequences a player will face if caught are way too high. Also, the limits aren’t high enough in almost every book to make this worthwhile at all. Huge money coming in on a Rando match is too big of a red flag.


                            Ride the Sinner train this year and you’ll come out on top.

                            Deminaur 2-0 -150 tonight and Korda ml +120 tomorrow look good to me
                            are you "new" to Tennis ?

                            players are "caught" numerous times, for numerous reasons, some get banned, this year for e.g. Dayana Yastremska is provisionally suspended for doping! There are numerous cases where tennis fans have blacklisted players that are not playing to win (unmotivated).

                            But i guess for you this is a silly thread so why even comment ?
                            Comment
                            • TheMetsSuck
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-14-12
                              • 6146

                              #15
                              I have more tennis knowledge in my left pinky toe than you pal. TTwarrior hits the wall everyday trying to get to my level. In all seriousness, the Davydenko incident 10+ years ago is the only real example of a household name player fixing a match. Shocker that it was a Russian player. KGB must have big limits. I mainly bet atp 500 events or higher. I’ll dabble once it reaches the semis of atp 250s. These top players are not throwing these matches to make some side money that could end their career if caught in these big tournies.

                              You seem like a big conspiracy guy. The closest you’ll come to finding a match fix is a guy like Kyrgios or Fognini showing up to a tourney with no points to defend and they’ll just tank to get back to the hotel and rest up for the following tournament that has points they need to defend.
                              Comment
                              • TheMetsSuck
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-14-12
                                • 6146

                                #16
                                Your example is Dayana Yastremska lol. End of thread
                                Comment
                                • Vyasports
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-27-19
                                  • 4946

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by TheMetsSuck
                                  I have more tennis knowledge in my left pinky toe than you pal. TTwarrior hits the wall everyday trying to get to my level. In all seriousness, the Davydenko incident 10+ years ago is the only real example of a household name player fixing a match. Shocker that it was a Russian player. KGB must have big limits. I mainly bet atp 500 events or higher. I’ll dabble once it reaches the semis of atp 250s. These top players are not throwing these matches to make some side money that could end their career if caught in these big tournies.

                                  You seem like a big conspiracy guy. The closest you’ll come to finding a match fix is a guy like Kyrgios or Fognini showing up to a tourney with no points to defend and they’ll just tank to get back to the hotel and rest up for the following tournament that has points they need to defend.
                                  Then share some of that knowledge with us... for instance how you come up with the idea that Deminaur 2-0 -150 is a good bet?
                                  Comment
                                  • cincinnatikid513
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 11-23-17
                                    • 45360

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
                                    Im taking federer
                                    Roger Federer to miss 2021 Australian Open; planning 2021 return

                                    Comment
                                    • TheMetsSuck
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-14-12
                                      • 6146

                                      #19
                                      I watched a little of his match vs Goffin last night and was impressed with what I saw. He is much more consistent than Bubllik and I think taking him in straights over the heavy juice is the right play. I’m not otters. I can’t play juice that high. Deminaur is going to be a stud. I’d normally take the under in this situation but Bublliks serve it on could easily lead to one tight set to blow it. I also read he may have tweaked an injury in the Chardy match.

                                      Deminaur already up a break 2-0 lol. Take a lap pal
                                      Comment
                                      • TheMetsSuck
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-14-12
                                        • 6146

                                        #20
                                        And just like that Bublik retired..... guess he did tweak an injury. Do some research for yourself next time
                                        Comment
                                        • Vyasports
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-27-19
                                          • 4946

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by TheMetsSuck
                                          This is a silly thread. This doesn’t happen enough to give it a second thought. The consequences a player will face if caught are way too high. Also, the limits aren’t high enough in almost every book to make this worthwhile at all. Huge money coming in on a Rando match is too big of a red flag.


                                          Ride the Sinner train this year and you’ll come out on top.

                                          Deminaur 2-0 -150 tonight and Korda ml +120 tomorrow look good to me
                                          Im going for Hurkacz!
                                          Comment
                                          • TheMetsSuck
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-14-12
                                            • 6146

                                            #22
                                            Good luck. Should be a very close match. Im close to pulling the trigger on the over.
                                            Comment
                                            • Darkside Magick
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-28-10
                                              • 12638

                                              #23
                                              ATP Delray Beach - Final

                                              OVER 24 +113 Sabastian Korda vs Hubert Hurkacz
                                              Comment
                                              • od120731
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 11-28-18
                                                • 255

                                                #24
                                                I belive going on over 3.5 sets on male Grand Slam Tourneys is always a good strat, however it's a pretty rare ocasion obviously
                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388179

                                                  #25
                                                  Korda very underrated USA player
                                                  Winning at a high clip
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Doug tushyterror
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 07-03-12
                                                    • 4172

                                                    #26
                                                    Haven't seen the current Oz Open women's Futures but how do you not take Sabalenka if she's at least +1000 or better. Won 3rd straight tournament, only dropped 1 set, 16 match winning streak, while seemingly fixing her shaky serve (13 Aces, 2 DFs last 2 matches). I know she's never done shit in majors, but with women I would always bet on a first time winner & it's just a matter of time before she wins one based on current form.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JamesBrown
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-07-08
                                                      • 3860

                                                      #27
                                                      I've been watching Delray. I've seen all the matches with Korda and Hurkacz. Korda is in great form at the moment and just comparing the two, I'm leaning Korda or the over. Hurkacz seems to be struggling on his volley, with some unforced errors mixed in which I expect keeps Korda in it and gives him a fair shot to win outright.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Vyasports
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-27-19
                                                        • 4946

                                                        #28
                                                        Thanks all for your input so far...
                                                        Let's talk some more...shall we
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Wrongside
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-26-15
                                                          • 3579

                                                          #29
                                                          I was thinking of going with Thiem for the Australian, but after some preliminary research, I am not liking what I am seeing...

                                                          I have a lot of faith in the guy, but I would prefer him having his coach with him, and I would prefer a girlfriend like Mirka...instead of dropping Mladenovic for a Circus Star....

                                                          This Covid thing going to provide for some angles here for sure...Just check out this short article about his (and Rafa's) coach situation and you can start to imagine all the possibilities here...

                                                          Soon after Nadal’s coach stepped out of making the trip for the Australian Open, Massu, coach of Dominic Thiem has tested positive for the coronavirus.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MOBIL19
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-31-20
                                                            • 1014

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
                                                            Im taking federer
                                                            I don't like this strategy. He was quoted as saying:

                                                            Dude, 39, four kids, 20 grand slams. I'm no longer at the stage to be away from my family for five weeks.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JIBBBY
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-10-09
                                                              • 83686

                                                              #31
                                                              Miss betting on Pete Sampras and Roger Federer and winning big money back in the day
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheMetsSuck
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-14-12
                                                                • 6146

                                                                #32
                                                                Nole will win the Aussie. Don’t overthink it.

                                                                Sinner and Kyrgios are my value plays.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • habitualwinning
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-22-12
                                                                  • 1569

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by MOBIL19
                                                                  I don't like this strategy. He was quoted as saying:

                                                                  Dude, 39, four kids, 20 grand slams. I'm no longer at the stage to be away from my family for five weeks.
                                                                  Why doesn't he just retire then? I suspect the reason is he feels incomplete without that Olympic singles gold. He has nothing else to play for. As long as Nole, Rafa, Thiem are healthy, he's not beating those guys in a GS. So why keep playing? Go be a Dad, something much more important than sport.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Thrilla
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-10-15
                                                                    • 13809

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                    Miss betting on Pete Sampras and Roger Federer and winning big money back in the day
                                                                    full of shit this guy
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jjgold
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                                      • 388179

                                                                      #35
                                                                      A lot of tennis will be starting great sapor to bet but only SPOT BETTING
                                                                      Comment
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