1. 01-12-21 06:17 AM #1
    Vyasports
    check raise re-raise all-in
    Vyasports's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-19
    Posts: 4,946
    Betpoints: 1334

    Let's talk about TENNIS shall we

    every bettor knows by now that TENNIS is very unpredictable mainly because of "match fixing" or players Unmotivated to win.... whatever the reason.... there's always one match that will mindfcuk you .... Im I right?
    with the pandemic going on , keeping in mind that sports betting in general will be difficult this year,
    whats your new strategy to keep winning at Tennis ?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 01-12-21 06:18 AM #2
    RudyRuetigger
    Leave of absence until March Madness
    RudyRuetigger's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-10
    Posts: 64,799
    Betpoints: 55

    Well, where do you guys see the odd bet amounts (huge money on a player)?


    Betfair?


    Shouldnt you start by looking at where the money is and if it is average amount bet?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 01-12-21 06:26 AM #3
    SamsNCharge99
    5x POTM. 2x Video maker of the year
    SamsNCharge99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-22-08
    Posts: 41,242
    Betpoints: 6404

    Im taking federer
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 01-12-21 06:27 AM #4
    Vyasports
    check raise re-raise all-in
    Vyasports's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-19
    Posts: 4,946
    Betpoints: 1334

    There were huge amount of bets on pliskova and she lost ( 2-0) so....
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 01-12-21 06:28 AM #5
    SamsNCharge99
    5x POTM. 2x Video maker of the year
    SamsNCharge99's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-22-08
    Posts: 41,242
    Betpoints: 6404

    Pliskova was -1111 when she lost
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 01-12-21 06:33 AM #6
    Vyasports
    check raise re-raise all-in
    Vyasports's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-19
    Posts: 4,946
    Betpoints: 1334

    same thing with Brady (lost 2-0)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 01-12-21 07:23 AM #7
    RudyRuetigger
    Leave of absence until March Madness
    RudyRuetigger's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-10
    Posts: 64,799
    Betpoints: 55

    what do you mean there was a huge amount bet on her?


    how do you know?



    im not saying that to be a smartass, im asking how you know
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 01-12-21 08:15 AM #8
    reallyhardtowin
    reallyhardtowin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-10-20
    Posts: 432
    Betpoints: 36

    I follow Nigel Seely tennis picks. He won 100 units last year. He is 1-1 this year for a tiny profit (won 5 pts and lost 4 pt play)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 01-12-21 08:57 AM #9
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    They look at the pools at betfair


    Quote Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger View Post
    what do you mean there was a huge amount bet on her?


    how do you know?



    im not saying that to be a smartass, im asking how you know
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 01-12-21 09:09 AM #10
    RudyRuetigger
    Leave of absence until March Madness
    RudyRuetigger's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-10
    Posts: 64,799
    Betpoints: 55

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    They look at the pools at betfair
    but i thought betfair was an exchange?


    ive seen posters say about huge money at betfair, i dont understand how it works



    if 4 million is matched, then there are equal bets

    if 4 million isnt matched, then there isnt a bet


    ??


    what am i missing, clearly something obvious
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 01-12-21 11:23 AM #11
    biggie12
    biggie12's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-30-05
    Posts: 13,467
    Betpoints: 1252

    Rudy they don't know penetrate all.


    you are correct
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 01-13-21 12:59 AM #12
    Vyasports
    check raise re-raise all-in
    Vyasports's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-19
    Posts: 4,946
    Betpoints: 1334

    BF has both exchange AND sportsbook! but nowadays you won't see heavy betting there, why? because of commission!
    There is a reason why I open this discussion...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 01-13-21 02:20 AM #13
    TheMetsSuck
    TheMetsSuck's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-12
    Posts: 6,118
    Betpoints: 1476

    This is a silly thread. This doesn’t happen enough to give it a second thought. The consequences a player will face if caught are way too high. Also, the limits aren’t high enough in almost every book to make this worthwhile at all. Huge money coming in on a Rando match is too big of a red flag.


    Ride the Sinner train this year and you’ll come out on top.

    Deminaur 2-0 -150 tonight and Korda ml +120 tomorrow look good to me
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 01-13-21 02:34 AM #14
    Vyasports
    check raise re-raise all-in
    Vyasports's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-19
    Posts: 4,946
    Betpoints: 1334

    Quote Originally Posted by TheMetsSuck View Post
    This is a silly thread. This doesn’t happen enough to give it a second thought. The consequences a player will face if caught are way too high. Also, the limits aren’t high enough in almost every book to make this worthwhile at all. Huge money coming in on a Rando match is too big of a red flag.


    Ride the Sinner train this year and you’ll come out on top.

    Deminaur 2-0 -150 tonight and Korda ml +120 tomorrow look good to me
    are you "new" to Tennis ?

    players are "caught" numerous times, for numerous reasons, some get banned, this year for e.g. Dayana Yastremska is provisionally suspended for doping! There are numerous cases where tennis fans have blacklisted players that are not playing to win (unmotivated).

    But i guess for you this is a silly thread so why even comment ?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 01-13-21 02:55 AM #15
    TheMetsSuck
    TheMetsSuck's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-12
    Posts: 6,118
    Betpoints: 1476

    I have more tennis knowledge in my left pinky toe than you pal. TTwarrior hits the wall everyday trying to get to my level. In all seriousness, the Davydenko incident 10+ years ago is the only real example of a household name player fixing a match. Shocker that it was a Russian player. KGB must have big limits. I mainly bet atp 500 events or higher. I’ll dabble once it reaches the semis of atp 250s. These top players are not throwing these matches to make some side money that could end their career if caught in these big tournies.

    You seem like a big conspiracy guy. The closest you’ll come to finding a match fix is a guy like Kyrgios or Fognini showing up to a tourney with no points to defend and they’ll just tank to get back to the hotel and rest up for the following tournament that has points they need to defend.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 01-13-21 02:59 AM #16
    TheMetsSuck
    TheMetsSuck's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-12
    Posts: 6,118
    Betpoints: 1476

    Your example is Dayana Yastremska lol. End of thread
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 01-13-21 03:02 AM #17
    Vyasports
    check raise re-raise all-in
    Vyasports's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-19
    Posts: 4,946
    Betpoints: 1334

    Quote Originally Posted by TheMetsSuck View Post
    I have more tennis knowledge in my left pinky toe than you pal. TTwarrior hits the wall everyday trying to get to my level. In all seriousness, the Davydenko incident 10+ years ago is the only real example of a household name player fixing a match. Shocker that it was a Russian player. KGB must have big limits. I mainly bet atp 500 events or higher. I’ll dabble once it reaches the semis of atp 250s. These top players are not throwing these matches to make some side money that could end their career if caught in these big tournies.

    You seem like a big conspiracy guy. The closest you’ll come to finding a match fix is a guy like Kyrgios or Fognini showing up to a tourney with no points to defend and they’ll just tank to get back to the hotel and rest up for the following tournament that has points they need to defend.
    Then share some of that knowledge with us... for instance how you come up with the idea that Deminaur 2-0 -150 is a good bet?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 01-13-21 03:10 AM #18
    cincinnatikid513
    contra spem spero
    cincinnatikid513's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-23-17
    Posts: 45,358
    Betpoints: 93

    Quote Originally Posted by SamsNCharge99 View Post
    Im taking federer
    Roger Federer to miss 2021 Australian Open; planning 2021 return

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 01-13-21 03:13 AM #19
    TheMetsSuck
    TheMetsSuck's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-12
    Posts: 6,118
    Betpoints: 1476

    I watched a little of his match vs Goffin last night and was impressed with what I saw. He is much more consistent than Bubllik and I think taking him in straights over the heavy juice is the right play. I’m not otters. I can’t play juice that high. Deminaur is going to be a stud. I’d normally take the under in this situation but Bublliks serve it on could easily lead to one tight set to blow it. I also read he may have tweaked an injury in the Chardy match.

    Deminaur already up a break 2-0 lol. Take a lap pal
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 01-13-21 03:14 AM #20
    TheMetsSuck
    TheMetsSuck's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-12
    Posts: 6,118
    Betpoints: 1476

    And just like that Bublik retired..... guess he did tweak an injury. Do some research for yourself next time
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 01-13-21 03:26 AM #21
    Vyasports
    check raise re-raise all-in
    Vyasports's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-19
    Posts: 4,946
    Betpoints: 1334

    Quote Originally Posted by TheMetsSuck View Post
    This is a silly thread. This doesn’t happen enough to give it a second thought. The consequences a player will face if caught are way too high. Also, the limits aren’t high enough in almost every book to make this worthwhile at all. Huge money coming in on a Rando match is too big of a red flag.


    Ride the Sinner train this year and you’ll come out on top.

    Deminaur 2-0 -150 tonight and Korda ml +120 tomorrow look good to me
    Im going for Hurkacz!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 01-13-21 03:46 AM #22
    TheMetsSuck
    TheMetsSuck's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-12
    Posts: 6,118
    Betpoints: 1476

    Good luck. Should be a very close match. Im close to pulling the trigger on the over.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 01-13-21 07:59 AM #23
    Darkside Magick
    Black Box Algorithm
    Darkside Magick's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-28-10
    Posts: 12,586
    Betpoints: 1258

    ATP Delray Beach - Final

    OVER 24 +113 Sabastian Korda vs Hubert Hurkacz
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 01-13-21 09:31 AM #24
    od120731
    od120731's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-28-18
    Posts: 255
    Betpoints: 2093

    I belive going on over 3.5 sets on male Grand Slam Tourneys is always a good strat, however it's a pretty rare ocasion obviously
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 01-13-21 10:08 AM #25
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Korda very underrated USA player
    Winning at a high clip
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 01-13-21 10:09 AM #26
    Doug tushyterror
    Doug tushyterror's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-03-12
    Posts: 3,772
    Betpoints: 443

    Haven't seen the current Oz Open women's Futures but how do you not take Sabalenka if she's at least +1000 or better. Won 3rd straight tournament, only dropped 1 set, 16 match winning streak, while seemingly fixing her shaky serve (13 Aces, 2 DFs last 2 matches). I know she's never done shit in majors, but with women I would always bet on a first time winner & it's just a matter of time before she wins one based on current form.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 01-13-21 10:13 AM #27
    JamesBrown
    JamesBrown's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-07-08
    Posts: 3,860
    Betpoints: 312

    I've been watching Delray. I've seen all the matches with Korda and Hurkacz. Korda is in great form at the moment and just comparing the two, I'm leaning Korda or the over. Hurkacz seems to be struggling on his volley, with some unforced errors mixed in which I expect keeps Korda in it and gives him a fair shot to win outright.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 01-14-21 12:20 AM #28
    Vyasports
    check raise re-raise all-in
    Vyasports's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-27-19
    Posts: 4,946
    Betpoints: 1334

    Thanks all for your input so far...
    Let's talk some more...shall we
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 01-14-21 12:50 AM #29
    Wrongside
    Only Backdoor'd; never backdoor
    Wrongside's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-26-15
    Posts: 3,579
    Betpoints: 773

    I was thinking of going with Thiem for the Australian, but after some preliminary research, I am not liking what I am seeing...

    I have a lot of faith in the guy, but I would prefer him having his coach with him, and I would prefer a girlfriend like Mirka...instead of dropping Mladenovic for a Circus Star....

    This Covid thing going to provide for some angles here for sure...Just check out this short article about his (and Rafa's) coach situation and you can start to imagine all the possibilities here...

    https://www.essentiallysports.com/te...ian-open-2021/
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 01-14-21 11:24 PM #30
    MOBIL19
    MOBIL19's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-31-20
    Posts: 798
    Betpoints: 222

    Quote Originally Posted by SamsNCharge99 View Post
    Im taking federer
    I don't like this strategy. He was quoted as saying:

    Dude, 39, four kids, 20 grand slams. I'm no longer at the stage to be away from my family for five weeks.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 01-14-21 11:32 PM #31
    JIBBBY
    JIBBBY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 83,072
    Betpoints: 11850

    Miss betting on Pete Sampras and Roger Federer and winning big money back in the day
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 01-14-21 11:39 PM #32
    TheMetsSuck
    TheMetsSuck's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-12
    Posts: 6,118
    Betpoints: 1476

    Nole will win the Aussie. Don’t overthink it.

    Sinner and Kyrgios are my value plays.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 01-15-21 12:10 AM #33
    habitualwinning
    habitualwinning's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-22-12
    Posts: 1,569
    Betpoints: 6311

    Quote Originally Posted by MOBIL19 View Post
    I don't like this strategy. He was quoted as saying:

    Dude, 39, four kids, 20 grand slams. I'm no longer at the stage to be away from my family for five weeks.
    Why doesn't he just retire then? I suspect the reason is he feels incomplete without that Olympic singles gold. He has nothing else to play for. As long as Nole, Rafa, Thiem are healthy, he's not beating those guys in a GS. So why keep playing? Go be a Dad, something much more important than sport.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 01-15-21 12:20 AM #34
    Thrilla
    Goater a Legend
    Thrilla's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-10-15
    Posts: 13,811
    Betpoints: 17711

    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Miss betting on Pete Sampras and Roger Federer and winning big money back in the day
    full of shit this guy
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 01-15-21 05:31 AM #35
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    A lot of tennis will be starting great sapor to bet but only SPOT BETTING
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
12 Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »