Win Conf..GB(+179) 3900/6981 & KC(-128) 6100/4765..Yes or No?

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  • Doug tushyterror
    SBR MVP
    • 07-03-12
    • 4172
    #1
    Win Conf..GB(+179) 3900/6981 & KC(-128) 6100/4765..Yes or No?
    Strongly considered doing this cuz I can't imagine at least one not making the SB. If so I either win (865/881) with a free roll at $11,746. Obviously GB has to still get the #1 seed to really solidify this bet but what do you guys think? On one hand I'm not gonna have any action until Feb. 7 but if I lose it all & reload before then (highly possible considering my betting style) I'm gonna feel really dumb for not doing this. I have no problem taking time off & waiting on a Future to hit even though it didn't exactly work out with my LAL/MIL NBA Finals bet from a few months ago. Not like 5CRIMES would've paid me anyway.
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    • Otters27
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 07-14-07
      • 30749
      #2
      I don't know Doug seems like Cheifs could get beat
        Comment
        • pologq
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-07-12
          • 19899
          #3
          why not bet a little less and then hedge if you need to still make a profit. packers are a good price but as you said it is not given they win this weekend and clinch home field.

          chiefs could get beat and you could always get a good value bet on someone like the bills getting points at arrowhead
            Comment
            • Doug tushyterror
              SBR MVP
              • 07-03-12
              • 4172
              #4
              Originally posted by Otters27
              I don't know Doug seems like Cheifs could get beat
              You're right Otter I'm more worried about KC than GB if they get the #1 seed. Even though everybody is in love with Buffalo or possibly a hot Ravens team the only team that I truly think could beat them is TENN. They can't stop Henry & TENN despite their shitty D. & 0 pass rush could match them score for score. GB gets the top seed, barring injury are NOT losing 2 home games.
                Comment
                • Doug tushyterror
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-03-12
                  • 4172
                  #5
                  Originally posted by pologq
                  why not bet a little less and then hedge if you need to still make a profit. packers are a good price but as you said it is not given they win this weekend and clinch home field.

                  chiefs could get beat and you could always get a good value bet on someone like the bills getting points at arrowhead
                  That's the thing P. In order to lock in this ridiculously good price on them I would have to bet it now assuming they get home field instead of next week when they're even money at best.
                    Comment
                    • pologq
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-07-12
                      • 19899
                      #6
                      Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                      That's the thing P. In order to lock in this ridiculously good price on them I would have to bet it now assuming they get home field instead of next week when they're even money at best.
                      you are right. i would bet some now and leave some to cover in case.
                        Comment
                        • actiondan
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-16-10
                          • 3402
                          #7
                          Dougy you are playing with fire. My advice, withdraw now and never look back.
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