Bowl Games Money Lines Or Spreads

**EBone** · 12-30-05, 12:03 PM

I think history says: "play ML dogs on games before New Year's, favs on games on or after New Year's". I'd say South Florida and Iowa State would do well on the moneyline. I would personally be cautious on the New Year's Day games.

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**bigboydan** · 12-30-05, 12:05 PM

Ebone, you do have a point about the new years day games. because, i've noticed that over the years myself. thanks for refreshing my memory on that one

**isetcap** · 12-30-05, 12:10 PM

I think it just depends on the amount of deviation your overall strategy allows you to accept. If you don't mind having your bankroll on a rollercoaster, then without a doubt I would suggest hitting the moneylines and getting maximum value out of your picks. If you are striving for more consistency in your stack then work with the spreads. Personally I would suggest just doing whatever Pags is doing.

**Brick Tamland** · 12-30-05, 12:42 PM

try to breakdown the points to see what is the better buy...that way win or lose you can feel good that u got the best deal. u can always double your bet on NFL!

**SBR_John** · 12-30-05, 03:15 PM

Here is my simple formula for football.

Always play ML's on 1-3 point dogs.

Selectively play ML's on 4-7 point dogs

Never play 8+ ML dogs

Never play ML favorites

**pags11** · 12-31-05, 02:12 AM

agree with ebone...as we get closer to New Years Day, I'm more inclined to just take the points, rather than make a play on the ML...

**SBR_John** · 12-31-05, 02:38 AM

You would have been destroyed playing NCAA money line favorites. They may make a little more sense in the NFL I dont really know. But in college, ML favorites are a recipe to going broke!

**Illusion** · 12-31-05, 02:51 AM

I usually only bet spreads unless like John said there's a moneyline dog I like between 1-3 points.