4th and goal from the 6, Down 7 with 6:26 left...he kicks a FG to go down 4.
Say whaaaaa?
Hey coach, you still need a touchdown.
Chi_archie
SBR Aristocracy
07-22-08
63165
#2
you said R word
reported
you canceled
Comment
bballs84
SBR Hall of Famer
11-11-09
5461
#3
They scored 2 TDs that drive phantom replay after score and phantom penalty after score
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d2bets
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08-10-05
39990
#4
Originally posted by Chi_archie
you said R word
reported
you canceled
My bad, couldn't think of a more fitting word.
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Chi_archie
SBR Aristocracy
07-22-08
63165
#5
stop em on defense.
get the ball back and score a TD and you win now
rather than play for a tie if you got stopped on a long 4th down
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d2bets
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08-10-05
39990
#6
Originally posted by bballs84
They scored 2 TDs that drive phantom replay after score and phantom penalty after score
No doubt, but how do you kick a FG there? They still need a TD. 4th and goal from the 6 probably close to 50/50, maybe a little less, but easily worth going for it.
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d2bets
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08-10-05
39990
#7
Originally posted by Chi_archie
stop em on defense.
get the ball back and score a TD and you win now
rather than play for a tie if you got stopped on a long 4th down
Nah man. At worst you also pin em deep. Stop them and get it back to score at worst. But you cannot throw away your shot for almost nothing.
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d2bets
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08-10-05
39990
#8
Live line proved it too. Miami was like +120 before they decided to kick. +160 after they made it.
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d2bets
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08-10-05
39990
#9
Maybe they'll come back and win anyway, but it was dumb, period.
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rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#10
They should of reviewed play for knee down. We wanted knee down not grounding to keep clock running.
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d2bets
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08-10-05
39990
#11
Good for them. Still wrong.
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lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94367
#12
No it wasn't. Don't act like you are some analytics genius. If they get a td now they go up 3. If they tried the td last time and did nothing they were down 7 still.
Now if they get a td they can still afford to allow a fg.
Oh look they got a td. You look like an idiot AGAIN.
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Chi_archie
SBR Aristocracy
07-22-08
63165
#13
Miami coach, a got damn genius
he knew his team and knew how to play for a win and not a tie
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d2bets
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08-10-05
39990
#14
Originally posted by lakerboy
No it wasn't. Don't act like you are some analytics genius. If they get a td now they go up 3. If they tried the td last time and did nothing they were down 7 still.
Now if they get a td they can still afford to allow a fg.
Oh look they got a td. You look like an idiot AGAIN.
End result does not prove it.
The line move actually proved I was right.
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lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94367
#15
Originally posted by d2bets
End result does not prove it.
The line move actually proved I was right.
End result is I won on nc state+10.
The line move was right if you won. You didn't.
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d2bets
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#16
Originally posted by lakerboy
End result is I won on nc state+10.
The line move was right if you won. You didn't.
You don't know if I won or lost or nothing. I just like to argue strategy because coaches get it wrong a lot and it peeves me. End result either way in hindsight does not prove it. Just like I've made excellent wagers that have lost. Still was an excellent wager decision. Dumb wagers can win too.
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DrunkHorseplayer
SBR Hall of Famer
05-15-10
7719
#17
I thought it was a good call. The line move only tells you that live bettors thought it was foolish, they're not exactly experts.
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lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94367
#18
Originally posted by d2bets
You don't know if I won or lost or nothing. I just like to argue strategy because coaches get it wrong a lot and it peeves me. End result either way in hindsight does not prove it. Just like I've made excellent wagers that have lost. Still was an excellent wager decision. Dumb wagers can win too.
So you lost? That's basically what you just said LOL.
Market is not right everytime man. I thought you knew that. Its called sharp act on both sides. Clearly sharps were on nc state.
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d2bets
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#19
Originally posted by lakerboy
So you lost? That's basically what you just said LOL.
Market is not right everytime man. I thought you knew that. Its called sharp act on both sides. Clearly sharps were on nc state.
That decision had nothing to do with the spread or the sharp side.
I actually had a middle 73.5 to 76, 78, 78.5, so the FG itself wasn't that bad. If they go for it and score it's worse. It wasn't that. It was the principle of the matter. It was wrong and it pissed me off for some reason. It's still wrong regardless of the result. They still had a 39% chance to after the FG. But if they go for it they have a 45% chance to win.
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Enikk
SBR MVP
09-09-20
1287
#20
Great decision by the coach. He kept momentum going and showed faith in his defense.
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Eddy Munny
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
15748
#21
Originally posted by d2bets
No doubt, but how do you kick a FG there? They still need a TD. 4th and goal from the 6 probably close to 50/50, maybe a little less, but easily worth going for it.
4th and goal from the 6 is gonna be way way less than a 50/50 proposition. 6:26 left in the game is too much time to go for broke and squander a scoring opportunity by potentially turning it over on downs.