1. #1
    Nittany Lion
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    So this is a 7 team parlay with a bunch of heavy ML favs that pays +133. I got a $500 free bet on draftkings and instead of just putting it on the spread in a game I'm thinking of doing this instead. What team would you switch out and substitute for or what team do you think is the weak link and has a good chance of losing?

    There's also a few other heavy favs I was considering but didn't use:

    Boise State -715 against Air Force
    Texas A&M -530 against Arkansas
    SMU -480 against Navy
    Oklahoma -670 against Texas Texh
    Last edited by Nittany Lion; 10-28-20 at 11:11 PM.

  2. #2
    19th Hole
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    Florida may be the weakest link.

  3. #3
    SnakesPicks
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    Minnesota is probably the weakest link.

  4. #4
    mjsuax13
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    Looks good. Georgia & Florida get cute every now and then.

  5. #5
    mjsuax13
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    Quote Originally Posted by SnakesPicks View Post
    Minnesota is probably the weakest link.
    I agree they could be weak but Maryland is awful.

  6. #6
    Buckandadime
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    Looks solid to me..
    Gun to head, pick one that I think is weakest then I would have to say ND..
    Just don't think they are that good but they should beat Tech..
    Might throw Tulsa in there @ -800 or whatever they are..
    Finally get to play a home game and its vs. E. Carolina..
    GL Nittany...

  7. #7
    19th Hole
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    Boise St may be a good add-on from your sub-group.

  8. #8
    ace7550
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    Tampa weakest link. I do think they'll win. But if I had to choose one that would be it. Good luck!

  9. #9
    Orbison
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    to get a better payout, exchange the Chiefs and ND with 2 of the other faves you were considering

  10. #10
    rm18
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    Switch Bucs to A@M

  11. #11
    KVB
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    Is Penn State scrappy enough? Probably not. I'll get slaughtered if I say Ohio St is the weak link, but look out. Minnesota? I don't know, Maryland is pretty bad.

    Notre Dame and the Chiefs are probably overpriced there quite a bit, look at your secondary list to sub those out...like Orbison said.

    I saw you mentioned SMU, don't underestimate Navy here. At the very least, that Navy spread was too large and we have seen it drop. Can't rule out the upset there.

    Good Luck

    Last edited by KVB; 10-28-20 at 11:44 PM. Reason: edit didn't see some posts above me

  12. #12
    mjsuax13
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    It’s not going to be a normal season and we must remember that. Penn State capable but damn... I just don’t see it.

  13. #13
    Nittany Lion
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    Quote Originally Posted by 19th Hole View Post
    Florida may be the weakest link.
    I'm a little concerned about that one as well, Florida's defense not the best but they are at home...hmmmm. Missou pretty bad as well and has a garbage defense though.
    Quote Originally Posted by 19th Hole View Post
    Boise St may be a good add-on from your sub-group.
    I was strongly considering Boise St but they are playing Air Force which is a scappy team that could give them a fight...Air Force not bad at home.
    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Is Penn State scrappy enough? Probably not. I'll get slaughtered if I say Ohio St is the weak link, but look out. Minnesota? I don't know, Maryland is pretty bad.

    Notre Dame and the Chiefs are probably overpriced there quite a bit, look at your secondary list to sub those out...like Orbison said.

    I saw you mentioned SMU, don't underestimate Navy here. At the very least, that Navy spread was too large and we have seen it drop. Can't rule out the upset there.

    Good Luck

    I'm a Penn State fan graduated 2008, no way we beat Ohio State this season. Not after how we looked against Indiana and no fans in the stadium to give us home field advantage. Last couple of years we had better players and still couldn't beat Ohio State, just don't have the horses this year.
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  14. #14
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nittany Lion View Post


    So this is a 7 team parlay with a bunch of heavy ML favs that pays +133. I got a $500 free bet on draftkings and instead of just putting it on the spread in a game I'm thinking of doing this instead. What team would you switch out and substitute for or what team do you think is the weak link and has a good chance of losing?

    There's also a few other heavy favs I was considering but didn't use:

    Boise State -715 against Air Force
    Texas A&M -530 against Arkansas
    SMU -480 against Navy
    Oklahoma -670 against Texas Texh
    Florida

    will Minnesota have a true punter available... if you didn't watch them vs michigan you better look into it. that's why they went for it on 4th down on their own 30 or whatever and tried a horrible fake... why didn't they just line up on offense and run a real play is beyond me. if you know the punter isn't a punter and will only punt it maybe 20 yards then just line up on offense and execute. coaches are so bad sometimes makes you laugh

    but yeah

    I wouldn't trust Florida

  15. #15
    ThaTopMoron
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    do not use SMU

    Boise looks good to go as some said

    never trust Oklahoma

  16. #16
    Eddy Munny
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    I'd say Bucs most likely to lose out of that group.

  17. #17
    Headsterx
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    Good points on Buckeyes but it's still an away game and x-factor of no tune-up games may allow Lions to pull an upset.

    And Bucs as it might be the game old man gets injured. All of them are solid but thinking of which one maybe susceptible to an upset.

  18. #18
    Nittany Lion
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    Quote Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron View Post

    Florida

    will Minnesota have a true punter available... if you didn't watch them vs michigan you better look into it. that's why they went for it on 4th down on their own 30 or whatever and tried a horrible fake... why didn't they just line up on offense and run a real play is beyond me. if you know the punter isn't a punter and will only punt it maybe 20 yards then just line up on offense and execute. coaches are so bad sometimes makes you laugh

    but yeah

    I wouldn't trust Florida
    Quote Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron View Post
    do not use SMU

    Boise looks good to go as some said

    never trust Oklahoma
    I'll prob ditch Florida then, I didn't watch the Minnesota game but Maryland is so garbage I don't know if a punter will matter in that game. I want to put Boise State in there instead of Florida but scrappy Air Force always fights Boise hard...Air Force at home as well with that added advanatge.
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  19. #19
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nittany Lion View Post
    I'll prob ditch Florida then, I didn't watch the Minnesota game but Maryland is so garbage I don't know if a punter will matter in that game. I want to put Boise State in there instead of Florida but scrappy Air Force always fights Boise hard...Air Force at home as well with that added advanatge.
    minnesota gets some iffy holding calls gets backed up and has to punt from their own 5...

    dude they had trying to punt shanked one later in game after the failed fake punt and he punted it 18 yards LOL

    if you are wondering how Michigan got hot and just kept on rolling in that game

    but maybe real punter is back?

    i think Boise gets a lead and will eventually force air force to the pass game and it's ball game

    but every game has it's risk... Florida probably rolls since everyone is iffy on them

  20. #20
    Enkhbat
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    Definitely don't add Oklahoma, Florida is risky as well.

  21. #21
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nittany Lion View Post
    I'll prob ditch Florida then, I didn't watch the Minnesota game but Maryland is so garbage I don't know if a punter will matter in that game. I want to put Boise State in there instead of Florida but scrappy Air Force always fights Boise hard...Air Force at home as well with that added advanatge.
    here I found some info

    if you use them good luck if they are screwed again at punter, kicker and kickoff return specialist and maryland mad off a 3 point game gets to take advantage of a number of short fields

    https://www.startribune.com/gophers-...ong/572880231/



    A return to normalcy on the special teams would help, too. Because of COVID-19 issues, the Gophers were without starting punter Mark Crawford, first-string kicker Michael Lantz and top kickoff man Grant Ryerse, though all three were on the sideline. The absences contributed to Michigan starting possessions at the Minnesota 45 (after a 31-yard punt), at the 8 (after a 66-yard kickoff return) and at the 47 (after an 18-yard punt) in the first half. “It kind of hit the specialists hard, and it hit them at different times,” Fleck said after the game.
    The status of those three is uncertain for the Maryland game.

  22. #22
    thetrinity
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    they all look good until after they happen

  23. #23
    johnnyvegas13
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    One of those college road favs lose

  24. #24
    Nittany Lion
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    Quote Originally Posted by Enkhbat View Post
    Definitely don't add Oklahoma, Florida is risky as well.
    Yeah gonna eliminate Florida.


    Quote Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron View Post

    here I found some info

    if you use them good luck if they are screwed again at punter, kicker and kickoff return specialist and maryland mad off a 3 point game gets to take advantage of a number of short fields

    https://www.startribune.com/gophers-...ong/572880231/



    A return to normalcy on the special teams would help, too. Because of COVID-19 issues, the Gophers were without starting punter Mark Crawford, first-string kicker Michael Lantz and top kickoff man Grant Ryerse, though all three were on the sideline. The absences contributed to Michigan starting possessions at the Minnesota 45 (after a 31-yard punt), at the 8 (after a 66-yard kickoff return) and at the 47 (after an 18-yard punt) in the first half. “It kind of hit the specialists hard, and it hit them at different times,” Fleck said after the game.
    The status of those three is uncertain for the Maryland game.
    Hmmm good find might have to toss Minnesota out of it, wonder why the books have Minnesota such a heavy fav when their special team guys are all out with Covid.


    Quote Originally Posted by thetrinity View Post
    they all look good until after they happen
    Right, some team will screw me proably.

  25. #25
    Mr KLC
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    Minnesota is 6-0 ATS L6G as conference favorite;

    Maryland is 1-8-1 ATS when line is >-10;

  26. #26
    ThaTopMoron
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nittany Lion View Post
    Yeah gonna eliminate Florida.



    Hmmm good find might have to toss Minnesota out of it, wonder why the books have Minnesota such a heavy fav when their special team guys are all out with Covid.



    Right, some team will screw me proably.
    Minny might be able to win but it might be a sweat the entire game who knows

    any 19 point dogs ever win a football game before?

  27. #27
    Otters27
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    It's always the one I don't expect

  28. #28
    lakerboy
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    Every chalk parlay looks great before the games start. Then after 2/3 lose and you wonder how?
    Get rid of florida

  29. #29
    007D
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    Notre Dame .. Minnesota .. Ohio State.. Boise State .Oklahoma and 1 N.F.L team Tampa Bay. There is your winner. Leave K.C out No value at -2000 and you want to avoid to many N.F.L Games. I agree with everyone else leave Florida whether they do it or not I wouldn't risk them. You would be pissed if they jacked it up.

  30. #30
    homerbush
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    Just the fact there are too many. I limit my chalk MLs parlays to 4 teams. I would just leave out all the 4 digit ones. I did this one: Tulsa, Ohio State, SMU, Louisiana Laf.

  31. #31
    Nittany Lion
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    Quote Originally Posted by homerbush View Post
    Just the fact there are too many. I limit my chalk MLs parlays to 4 teams. I would just leave out all the 4 digit ones. I did this one: Tulsa, Ohio State, SMU, Louisiana Laf.
    I have a $500 free bet on Draftkings I have to place before it expires in a few hours so I'm trying to get as close to +100 odds or a little above is fine. If I bet those 4 teams you mentioned then it comes out to like ‐120 odds which I don't want to do for a free bet.
    Last edited by Nittany Lion; 10-30-20 at 03:26 PM.

  32. #32
    Nittany Lion
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    Alright everyone, I ditched Florida and Chiefs. I got Texas A&M and Boise State in here and the parlay is at +134 odds so my DraftKings $500 free bet has the chance of winning $669.81. Should I get rid of Boise State or Texas A&M or keep them both? If I do drop one of those teams, the payout just drops to closer to +100 odds which is fine but think it's safe to put both of them in? My goal is to get +100 or better. Final thoughts?

    Last edited by Nittany Lion; 10-30-20 at 03:09 PM.

  33. #33
    KVB
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    Good Luck Lion!!!!


  34. #34
    007D
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    Good Luck " I think you got it.. keep all if them. The + is really good. Plus free bet.

  35. #35
    Nittany Lion
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Good Luck Lion!!!!

    Quote Originally Posted by 007D View Post
    Good Luck " I think you got it.. keep all if them. The + is really good. Plus free bet.
    All right bet is placed, we'll see what happens

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