1. #141
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheMoneyShot View Post
    Crooked Hillary was -800 Live in 2016. -250 doesn't mean a damn thing. Hillary was more of a threat than Biden.
    Wrong. Biden is nowhere near as disliked as Clinton; a lot of white working class males will vote for him who would never dream of voting for Hillary.

  2. #142
    Brock Landers
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  3. #143
    GunShard
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Just need to look at how the Democratic ran BLUE States like NEW YORK and CALIFORNIA are running now and that's all you need to know. SHUT DOWN and people are getting buried.. Homeless and living on the streets in tents more then ever now..

    I hate it now and I lived in California from the crib.. Higher taxation without representation also these days..

    Sanctuary cities are all the Democratic leaders think of and bend over backwards for the illegals and free healthcare for them on our hard earned tax dollars!!! True Californian US citizen tax payers get passed over now like we are dirt.. We have gas taxes now in California.. Property taxes and State taxes sky rocketing for us now.. IT'S JUST SO CRAZY and BAD NOW!!

    This is why so many people with money are moving out of NY and CALI now in droves today.. I'm moving out of Cali soon and taking my millions with me to another RED STATE that is stable with lower taxes..

    BYE BYE CALI I'LL MISS YA when I go!! The sunshine state!!
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  4. #144
    The General
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    On this day in 2016 (Oct 29th), the sportsbooks had Donald Trump at +300 to win the 2016 US election, which implied he only had a 25% chance of defeating Hillary Clinton. Clinton was the -303 betting favorite, those odds implied she had a 75.2% chance of winning.

  5. #145
    TheMoneyShot
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    Wrong. Biden is nowhere near as disliked as Clinton; a lot of white working class males will vote for him who would never dream of voting for Hillary.
    Well... we'll just have to wait and see come Tuesday.

  6. #146
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by The General View Post
    On this day in 2016 (Oct 29th), the sportsbooks had Donald Trump at +300 to win the 2016 US election, which implied he only had a 25% chance of defeating Hillary Clinton. Clinton was the -303 betting favorite, those odds implied she had a 75.2% chance of winning.
    Doesn't mean it was wrong. If I flip a coin twice I've got a 25% chance of seeing heads twice. If I flip twice and that happens, it doesn't mean the odds were wrong.

  7. #147
    The General
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    D2, your example has been tried and calculated 5000 billion times. Mr Trumps arrival is once tried and calculated. Pretty strong probability here ol buddy.

  8. #148
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by The General View Post
    D2, your example has been tried and calculated 5000 billion times. Mr Trumps arrival is once tried and calculated. Pretty strong probability here ol buddy.
    That's called the "gambler's fallacy". You're not alone.

  9. #149
    Fishhead
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    Wow, good info General
    Thank you MARINE

  10. #150
    Fishhead
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    Wasn't Trump +300 or better at 5D a couple nights before the 2016 election ?

  11. #151
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fishhead View Post
    Wasn't Trump +300 or better at 5D a couple nights before the 2016 election ?
    Who cares? This is 2020. He is not an outsider anymore. People can judge on his 4 year performance now and approve or reject. Biden is vice president who is not the same person as Clinton. Just because people didn't vote for Clinton 4 years ago it doesn't mean they will not vote for Biden.

    George H Bush was a -700 favorite to win the election in 1988 which he did but lost the election to Clinton in 1992. Things change after 4 years. Quit living in the past.
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  12. #152
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fishhead View Post
    Wasn't Trump +300 or better at 5D a couple nights before the 2016 election ?
    Yes.

    That experience is the reason why Biden is not priced correctly where it should be now, which is more like -800.

  13. #153
    deeppckts
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    Trump isn't perfect but if you vote for Biden and his entourage of insane socialists, you're out of your fukking mind

  14. #154
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by deeppckts View Post
    Trump isn't perfect but if you vote for Biden and his entourage of insane socialists, you're out of your fukking mind
    Off Topic.

  15. #155
    navyblue81
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Yes.

    That experience is the reason why Biden is not priced correctly where it should be now, which is more like -800.
    Nah, I think around -200 or -300 is where it should be. I think Trump has real shots at MN, Fla., Pa, Mich, NC, and Wisky. Problem is heís got to win pretty much all of them which is doable, but difficult. I do think thereís some truth behind the energy factor which I think is why Trump will outdo the polls, but in the end, I think Biden wins by a couple in Pa and AZ and that gives him the election.

    But I donít buy the notion this a slam dunk for Biden. Will he win? Probably. But I wouldnít be making any premature celebrations. No matter who wins, itís a funeral for America. Biden may be President and is the worst candidate BY FAR the Dems ever had.

  16. #156
    navyblue81
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    By the way, the approval rating is HUGE. This is why I wouldnít count Trump out. A few polls have shown his rating creep close to or over 50% the last week. If itís 48% or higher, I think heís re-elected. Anything less, he loses. So a poll like Hill/Harris (which isnít known for bias looking at its history) having Trump at 49% is a good sign for him.

    And if Trump wins, the polling gods will bow down to Rasmussen and TG.

  17. #157
    Judge Crater
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    If Trump wins without SCOTUS doing something crazy and unprecedented, the entire polling industry is finished.

  18. #158
    Fishhead
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    I'm ordering DOMINOS for the big fiasco Tuesday night

  19. #159
    ace7550
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fishhead View Post
    I'm ordering DOMINOS for the big fiasco Tuesday night
    I had dominos on Tuesday. They partially burned it. Usually they make a great pizza. I still ate it of course.

  20. #160
    Fishhead
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    Quote Originally Posted by ace7550 View Post
    I had dominos on Tuesday. They partially burned it. Usually they make a great pizza. I still ate it of course.
    Underrated , they've have dramatically changed for the better the past 3 years.

    It's cool to see the FRESH INGREDIENTS truck at Dominos on my morning commute everyday by the local chain here, makes one feel good about America, from your health and to the oil industry and beyond.

  21. #161
    homie1975
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    Over 100K COVID cases today. The higher the cases the worse Trump's betting odds will get to win. Inversely proportional relationship imo.

  22. #162
    ChiLLx
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    Quote Originally Posted by homie1975 View Post
    Over 100K COVID cases today. The higher the cases the worse Trump's betting odds will get to win. Inversely proportional relationship imo.
    Wrong. Dems will stay home if they fear COVID. Trump voters will drag themselves to the polls on ED

  23. #163
    Fishhead
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    Quote Originally Posted by homie1975 View Post
    Over 100K COVID cases today. The higher the cases the worse Trump's betting odds will get to win. Inversely proportional relationship imo.
    Most of us will get or have had it, SO WHAT
    NON-ISSUE
    Lots of really, really stupid people in the USA....................thank GOD for the smart minds

  24. #164
    Unrivaled
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Yes.

    That experience is the reason why Biden is not priced correctly where it should be now, which is more like -800.
    I have Biden capped at -1600. There is almost no chance Trump repeats. He has way too much going against him with social unrest, the virus response and people wanting change.

    And no, I'm not a liberal and yes I would prefer Trump to win. I bet him in 2016 so shut up thanks.

  25. #165
    Fishhead
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    Quote Originally Posted by Unrivaled View Post
    I have Biden capped at -1600. There is almost no chance Trump repeats. He has way too much going against him with social unrest, the virus response and people wanting change.

    And no, I'm not a liberal and yes I would prefer Trump to win. I bet him in 2016 so shut up thanks.
    BROCK LANDERS agrees with you(although he prefers Biden to win)
    What's in it for LANDERS with a BIDEN win????????????????????????????????

  26. #166
    flyingillini
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    By the 3rd , Trump could be +200

  27. #167
    homie1975
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fishhead View Post
    Most of us will get or have had it, SO WHAT
    NON-ISSUE
    Lots of really, really stupid people in the USA....................thank GOD for the smart minds
    Yeah Fishy we all know you're the smartest guy in the roo. Whenever you go

  28. #168
    Fishhead
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    Quote Originally Posted by homie1975 View Post
    Yeah Fishy we all know you're the smartest guy in the roo. Whenever you go
    Easy when only one in the room 99% of the time, get a clue Homer

  29. #169
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fishhead View Post
    I'm ordering DOMINOS for the big fiasco Tuesday night
    You do know the outcome won't be determined on Tuesday night right? Ballots will still be coming in for a week or so after election night and continue to be counted in many States..

  30. #170
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    You do know the outcome won't be determined on Tuesday night right? Ballots will still be coming in for a week or so after election night and continue to be counted in many States..
    Still gonna be popcorn-worthy. Dominos blows though.

  31. #171
    timbo46
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    Quote Originally Posted by Unrivaled View Post
    I have Biden capped at -1600. There is almost no chance Trump repeats. He has way too much going against him with social unrest, the virus response and people wanting change.

    And no, I'm not a liberal and yes I would prefer Trump to win. I bet him in 2016 so shut up thanks.

    Unfortunately, this is the most accurate post in this thread.

  32. #172
    pavyracer
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    +186 at Pinny. Hurry boys he will be chalk Monday night. Don't leave money on the table.

  33. #173
    CanuckG
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    Trump a dog in Arizona is laughable. Hammer it.

  34. #174
    thechaoz
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    Lol no

  35. #175
    thechaoz
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    You do know the outcome won't be determined on Tuesday night right? Ballots will still be coming in for a week or so after election night and continue to be counted in many States..
    Young intelligent educated people are voting.

    It's over.

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