Celtics Series Price

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  • gauchojake
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 09-17-10
    • 34103

    #1
    Celtics Series Price
    +355?????????????????

    WTF

    Anyone betting the Heat should be asking some very important questions.
  • manny24
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-22-07
    • 20046

    #2
    Jaker what's the play?

    don't fuk us here
    Comment
    • Machba
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-08-19
      • 6747

      #3
      Looks like heat advance according to that line?
      Comment
      • carolinakid
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-12-11
        • 19106

        #4
        i just took a look and it heat-455 and the dog+355
        Comment
        • gauchojake
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-17-10
          • 34103

          #5
          Heat are up 3-1. Lakers are up 3-1. Series prices are ridiculously different especially given the Nuggets propensity to come back. I am hammering the Celtics ($5.00)
          Comment
          • Eddy Munny
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-13-13
            • 15748

            #6
            But the series prices are relative to launch point price.

            So the Nuggets being down 3-1 would fetch more than the Celtics (original series favorite) being down 3-1.
            Comment
            • gauchojake
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 09-17-10
              • 34103

              #7
              Originally posted by Eddy Munny
              But the series prices are relative to launch point price.

              So the Nuggets being down 3-1 would fetch more than the Celtics (original series favorite) being down 3-1.
              right I get that but the relative spread of the two prices is significant since statistically most teams don't come back from a 3-1 deficit. The Nuggets have already proven they can do it. twice. this year. once against the favorite to win the title.

              This screams Celtics to me. Maybe I am wrong.
              Comment
              • thetrinity
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-25-11
                • 22430

                #8
                Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                But the series prices are relative to launch point price.

                So the Nuggets being down 3-1 would fetch more than the Celtics (original series favorite) being down 3-1.
                Right, this. Books don’t care Denver beat the odds twice.
                Comment
                • Wrongside
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-26-15
                  • 3579

                  #9
                  Just Jeidi tricks for fools like us. Heat take it (most likely tonight). I see five or six scenarios for tonight - Heat take 4 or five of them. 80% confident Heat win tonight

                  If Celtics can win tonight, the thing is very live though.
                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #10
                    On Cetlics futures since the bubble was inflated.

                    Common Kemba and Co, we need a run!!!!!

                    Comment
                    • asiagambler
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 07-23-17
                      • 6831

                      #11
                      Celtics line has basically been same all series (-3). That roughly equates to -150 moneyline or about 60% chance of winning

                      Parlayed 3 times is about 20% which is just about what +355 implies. I don't think there's anything fishy about these odds. Can also make case that longer series favours Celtics more so might even be bigger favourite if it gets to Game 7
                      Comment
                      • hehfest
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-28-08
                        • 7934

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                        But the series prices are relative to launch point price.

                        So the Nuggets being down 3-1 would fetch more than the Celtics (original series favorite) being down 3-1.

                        Numbnuts here (not you munny). Of course. The Nuggets are what seed and the Lakers? The Celtics are the lower seed number and have a better record than the Heat. Of course, if both are down 3-1 the Celtics would have way less odds.
                        Comment
                        • habitualwinning
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-22-12
                          • 1569

                          #13
                          The odds have been off for this whole series. It reminds me of the Stars/Avs series. The difference though, the odds in that series kept creeping toward the team that was winning, the Stars. In this Heat/celts series the odds are moving the wrong way. Odds have been increasing on the team losing. Holy fukk. I've never seen anything like this in my life. The team that keeps losing, the celts, are more and more favored as the games go on. Something is screwy here. Either vegas has this series way wrong on the celts are just taking all the money from the public. Nothing else makes sense. Heat should be favored by now in games this series after what they've shown but their bigger dogs now gm 5 up 3-1 than they were gm 1 and gm 2.
                          Comment
                          • lakerboy
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 04-02-09
                            • 94368

                            #14
                            It was actually+315 early on after game 4.
                            Comment
                            • lonegambler23
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 06-22-16
                              • 9761

                              #15
                              real shady line. anyone else would be about +1000 or more
                              Comment
                              • Chi_archie
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-22-08
                                • 63165

                                #16
                                +355 translates to a game ml parlay of

                                -150
                                -185
                                -185



                                Comment
                                • hehfest
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-28-08
                                  • 7934

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by habitualwinning
                                  The odds have been off for this whole series. It reminds me of the Stars/Avs series. The difference though, the odds in that series kept creeping toward the team that was winning, the Stars. In this Heat/celts series the odds are moving the wrong way. Odds have been increasing on the team losing. Holy fukk. I've never seen anything like this in my life. The team that keeps losing, the celts, are more and more favored as the games go on. Something is screwy here. Either vegas has this series way wrong on the celts are just taking all the money from the public. Nothing else makes sense. Heat should be favored by now in games this series after what they've shown but their bigger dogs now gm 5 up 3-1 than they were gm 1 and gm 2.

                                  Celts should of won games 1 and 2. At the very least, they should've won one of those games. Thanks for some good insight habitual. That is very strange. Never heard of that happening actually. Now, if an injured star returned, and then another injured star returned the following game I could maybe see this happening. Heyward returned after what game 1? Not a star. I'm trying to find any other reason here...
                                  Last edited by hehfest; 09-25-20, 05:08 PM.
                                  Comment
                                  • asiagambler
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 07-23-17
                                    • 6831

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                    +355 translates to a game ml parlay of

                                    -150
                                    -185
                                    -185



                                    Those odds would be roughly +295

                                    I get 3 x -152 for it to be exactly +355
                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                      +355 translates to a game ml parlay of

                                      -150
                                      -185
                                      -185



                                      No, a 3 pick parlay with those numbers would pay 2.9554 units, or +296.

                                      3 straight -150's would pay +363, you need just about 3 -152's to get +356 units.

                                      Comment
                                      • hehfest
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-28-08
                                        • 7934

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by hehfest
                                        Celts should of won games 1 and 2. At the very least, they should've won one of those games. Thanks for some good insight habitual. That is very strange. Never heard of that happening actually. Now, if an injured star returned, and then another injured star returned the following game I could maybe see this happening. Heyward returned after what game 1? Not a star. I'm trying to find any other reason here...

                                        major major chasing is my only other explanation
                                        Comment
                                        • KVB
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 05-29-14
                                          • 74817

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by asiagambler
                                          Those odds would be roughly +295

                                          I get 3 x -152 for it to be exactly +355
                                          Comment
                                          • Chi_archie
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 07-22-08
                                            • 63165

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by KVB
                                            No, a 3 pick parlay with those numbers would pay 2.9554 units, or +296.

                                            3 straight -150's would pay +363, you need just about 3 -152's to get +356 units.

                                            those are true parlay odds though

                                            you don't get those from a book
                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                              those are true parlay odds though

                                              you don't get those from a book
                                              That's not true, not at all.

                                              If you're not getting a proper payout, you're playing at the wrong book.

                                              But in your example, there's no way you're getting +355 with those -185s in there.

                                              And if you spent -185 on those plays, why would a book only charge you -150 or so?

                                              Archie, you're not making sense here.

                                              Tell me where I can get +296 parlays for +355.

                                              I'll put all my money there.
                                              Comment
                                              • lakerboy
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-02-09
                                                • 94368

                                                #24
                                                Oh and btw Boston to win 4-3 is+400. So the series price is not worth the time
                                                Comment
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