Anyone betting the Heat should be asking some very important questions.
manny24
SBR Posting Legend
10-22-07
20046
#2
Jaker what's the play?
don't fuk us here
Comment
Machba
SBR Hall of Famer
01-08-19
6747
#3
Looks like heat advance according to that line?
Comment
carolinakid
SBR Posting Legend
01-12-11
19106
#4
i just took a look and it heat-455 and the dog+355
Comment
gauchojake
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
09-17-10
34103
#5
Heat are up 3-1. Lakers are up 3-1. Series prices are ridiculously different especially given the Nuggets propensity to come back. I am hammering the Celtics ($5.00)
Comment
Eddy Munny
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
15748
#6
But the series prices are relative to launch point price.
So the Nuggets being down 3-1 would fetch more than the Celtics (original series favorite) being down 3-1.
Comment
gauchojake
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
09-17-10
34103
#7
Originally posted by Eddy Munny
But the series prices are relative to launch point price.
So the Nuggets being down 3-1 would fetch more than the Celtics (original series favorite) being down 3-1.
right I get that but the relative spread of the two prices is significant since statistically most teams don't come back from a 3-1 deficit. The Nuggets have already proven they can do it. twice. this year. once against the favorite to win the title.
This screams Celtics to me. Maybe I am wrong.
Comment
thetrinity
SBR Posting Legend
01-25-11
22430
#8
Originally posted by Eddy Munny
But the series prices are relative to launch point price.
So the Nuggets being down 3-1 would fetch more than the Celtics (original series favorite) being down 3-1.
Right, this. Books don’t care Denver beat the odds twice.
Comment
Wrongside
SBR MVP
09-26-15
3579
#9
Just Jeidi tricks for fools like us. Heat take it (most likely tonight). I see five or six scenarios for tonight - Heat take 4 or five of them. 80% confident Heat win tonight
If Celtics can win tonight, the thing is very live though.
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#10
On Cetlics futures since the bubble was inflated.
Common Kemba and Co, we need a run!!!!!
Comment
asiagambler
SBR Hall of Famer
07-23-17
6831
#11
Celtics line has basically been same all series (-3). That roughly equates to -150 moneyline or about 60% chance of winning
Parlayed 3 times is about 20% which is just about what +355 implies. I don't think there's anything fishy about these odds. Can also make case that longer series favours Celtics more so might even be bigger favourite if it gets to Game 7
Comment
hehfest
SBR Hall of Famer
09-28-08
7934
#12
Originally posted by Eddy Munny
But the series prices are relative to launch point price.
So the Nuggets being down 3-1 would fetch more than the Celtics (original series favorite) being down 3-1.
Numbnuts here (not you munny). Of course. The Nuggets are what seed and the Lakers? The Celtics are the lower seed number and have a better record than the Heat. Of course, if both are down 3-1 the Celtics would have way less odds.
Comment
habitualwinning
SBR MVP
01-22-12
1569
#13
The odds have been off for this whole series. It reminds me of the Stars/Avs series. The difference though, the odds in that series kept creeping toward the team that was winning, the Stars. In this Heat/celts series the odds are moving the wrong way. Odds have been increasing on the team losing. Holy fukk. I've never seen anything like this in my life. The team that keeps losing, the celts, are more and more favored as the games go on. Something is screwy here. Either vegas has this series way wrong on the celts are just taking all the money from the public. Nothing else makes sense. Heat should be favored by now in games this series after what they've shown but their bigger dogs now gm 5 up 3-1 than they were gm 1 and gm 2.
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94368
#14
It was actually+315 early on after game 4.
Comment
lonegambler23
SBR Hall of Famer
06-22-16
9761
#15
real shady line. anyone else would be about +1000 or more
Comment
Chi_archie
SBR Aristocracy
07-22-08
63165
#16
+355 translates to a game ml parlay of
-150
-185
-185
Comment
hehfest
SBR Hall of Famer
09-28-08
7934
#17
Originally posted by habitualwinning
The odds have been off for this whole series. It reminds me of the Stars/Avs series. The difference though, the odds in that series kept creeping toward the team that was winning, the Stars. In this Heat/celts series the odds are moving the wrong way. Odds have been increasing on the team losing. Holy fukk. I've never seen anything like this in my life. The team that keeps losing, the celts, are more and more favored as the games go on. Something is screwy here. Either vegas has this series way wrong on the celts are just taking all the money from the public. Nothing else makes sense. Heat should be favored by now in games this series after what they've shown but their bigger dogs now gm 5 up 3-1 than they were gm 1 and gm 2.
Celts should of won games 1 and 2. At the very least, they should've won one of those games. Thanks for some good insight habitual. That is very strange. Never heard of that happening actually. Now, if an injured star returned, and then another injured star returned the following game I could maybe see this happening. Heyward returned after what game 1? Not a star. I'm trying to find any other reason here...
No, a 3 pick parlay with those numbers would pay 2.9554 units, or +296.
3 straight -150's would pay +363, you need just about 3 -152's to get +356 units.
Comment
hehfest
SBR Hall of Famer
09-28-08
7934
#20
Originally posted by hehfest
Celts should of won games 1 and 2. At the very least, they should've won one of those games. Thanks for some good insight habitual. That is very strange. Never heard of that happening actually. Now, if an injured star returned, and then another injured star returned the following game I could maybe see this happening. Heyward returned after what game 1? Not a star. I'm trying to find any other reason here...
major major chasing is my only other explanation
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#21
Originally posted by asiagambler
Those odds would be roughly +295
I get 3 x -152 for it to be exactly +355
Comment
Chi_archie
SBR Aristocracy
07-22-08
63165
#22
Originally posted by KVB
No, a 3 pick parlay with those numbers would pay 2.9554 units, or +296.
3 straight -150's would pay +363, you need just about 3 -152's to get +356 units.
those are true parlay odds though
you don't get those from a book
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#23
Originally posted by Chi_archie
those are true parlay odds though
you don't get those from a book
That's not true, not at all.
If you're not getting a proper payout, you're playing at the wrong book.
But in your example, there's no way you're getting +355 with those -185s in there.
And if you spent -185 on those plays, why would a book only charge you -150 or so?
Archie, you're not making sense here.
Tell me where I can get +296 parlays for +355.
I'll put all my money there.
Comment
lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94368
#24
Oh and btw Boston to win 4-3 is+400. So the series price is not worth the time