[cincinnatikid513]

not much of an off season for the pga tour

safeway open this week us open next week

weak field as expected



Golf PGA Futures
Safeway Open - 9/10/2020 10:00 AM (EST)
Si Woo Kim +1630
Phil Mickelson +1925
Shane Lowry +2500
Brendan Steele +2500
Emiliano Grillo +2800
Sergio Garcia +2800
Joel Dahmen +3000
Jordan Spieth +3000
Cameron Davis +3000
Brandt Snedeker +3300
Harold Varner III +3300
Erik Van Rooyen +3300
Doc Redman +3300
Chez Reavie +3300
Kevin Streelman +4000
Luke List +4000
Keegan Bradley +5000
Bud Cauley +5000
Sam Burns +5000
Mark Hubbard +5500
Denny McCarthy +5500
Charl Schwartzel +6000
Tyler Duncan +6000
Will Gordon +6000
Talor Gooch +6600
Patrick Rodgers +6600
Henrik Norlander +6600
Jim Furyk +6600
Lucas Glover +6600
Branden Grace +6600
Cameron Tringale +6600
Maverick McNealy +7000
Charley Hoffman +7000
Chesson Hadley +7500
Rafa Cabrera-Bello +7500
Ryan Armour +8000
Sepp Straka +8000
Harry Higgs +8000
Kristoffer Ventura +8000
Kyle Stanley +8000
Brice Garnett +8000
Carlos Ortiz +8000
Adam Schenk +8000
Robby Shelton +8500
Scott Piercy +9000
Troy Merritt +9000
Xinjun Zhang +9000
Wyndham Clark +10000
Wesley Bryan +10000
Tom Hoge +10000
Scott Stallings +10000
Aaron Wise +10000
Jhonattan Vegas +10000
Martin Laird +10000
J.B. Holmes +10000
Kevin Chappell +11000
Roger Sloan +11000
Russell Knox +12500
Peter Uihlein +12500
Patton Kizzire +12500
Pat Perez +12500
Seamus Power +12500
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +12500
Jason Dufner +12500
Austin Cook +14000
Brandon Hagy +14000
Brian Stuard +15000
Beau Hossler +15000
Andrew Putnam +15000
Bo Hoag +15000
Chris Baker +15000
Fabian Gomez +15000
Joseph Bramlett +15000
Nate Lashley +15000
Sam Ryder +15000
Nick Watney +15000
Peter Malnati +16000
C.T. Pan +16000
Cameron Percy +17500
Matthew NeSmith +17500
Josh Teater +17500
Johnson Wagner +17500
Chase Seiffert +17500
Zac Blair +17500
Tim Wilkinson +20000
Ryan Brehm +20000
Scott Brown +20000
Rob Oppenheim +20000
Stewart Cink +20000
Bill Haas +20000
Grayson Murray +20000
Hudson Swafford +20000
Doug Ghim +20000
K.J. Choi +20000
Kevin Tway +20000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +20000
Kramer Hickok +22500
Michael Gligic +22500
Luke Donald +22500
J.J. Spaun +22500
Graham DeLaet +22500
Aaron Baddeley +22500
Scott Harrington +22500
Sahith Theegala +22500
Robert Streb +22500
Vincent Whaley +22500
Wes Roach +22500
Sean O'Hair +25000
Brian Gay +25000
Jamie Lovemark +25000
Isaiah Salinda +25000
Rhein Gibson +27500
Shawn Stefani +30000
Zack Sucher +30000
Hunter Mahan +30000
Hank Lebioda +30000
David Hearn +30000
Chris Stroud +30000
Kelly Kraft +30000
Camilo Villegas +30000
Akshay Bhatia +30000
Anirban Lahiri +30000
Roberto Castro +32500
Ricky Barnes +35000
D.J. Trahan +35000
James Hahn +35000
Dominic Bozzelli +40000
Mark Anderson +40000
Matt Every +40000
Michael Gellerman +40000
Bo Van Pelt +40000
Sebastian Cappelen +40000
William McGirt +40000
Tyler McCumber +40000
Ted Potter, Jr. +40000
Michael Kim +45000
Ryan Blaum +50000
Rafael Campos +60000
Peter Kuest +60000
Jim Knous +60000
Ben Taylor +60000
Nelson Ledesma +75000
Martin Trainer +100000
John Senden +100000
D.A. Points +100000
Steve Watanabe, Jr. +100000

[keely85]

This is a good spot for Spieth to randomly play well then miss the cut next weekend at the open.

[cincinnatikid513]

if luke list were to ever win a tournament this could be the one, brandon steele has won here twice

[lonegambler23]

garbage list

[Unrivaled]

Best bet is a no bet.

[pimike]

This is a good spot for Spieth to randomly play well then miss the cut next weekend at the open.

Spieth has a good shot

[keely85]

After this thread I dropped a few units on top 10 finish. Was still +350 on DK

[pimike]

After this thread I dropped a few units on top 10 finish. Was still +350 on DK

DK?

[jjgold]

Pass better chance playing Baccarat with $50

[KVB]

Pass better chance playing Baccarat with $50

[cincinnatikid513]

Pass better chance playing Baccarat with $50

jj would u rather pay for poker or pay for pusee, or pay for poker win big and pay for expensive pusee or pay for poker lose it all pay for dollar menu mdonalds

[keely85]

DK?

DraftKings. They had some IL specials I couldn’t pass up lol. Figured I’d try them out for a bit.

[KVB]

Ok I have some course info here.

We're in Napa California at the Silverado Resort and Spa, the North Course.

It’s a par 72 set up at about 7166 yards but I've noticed some of these holes will change significantly depending of course on whether we're talking to the pin or green, and the pin can really change throughout the weekend as they alter position.

Plenty of room to place pins as these greens average about 6200 square feet and are Bentgrass with Poa Annua. The stimp is 11.5 ft. and there will be pretty decent slopes on these greens.

The fairways are Bermuda grass with Poa Annua and Rye and the rough is Kentucky Bluegrass and Rye cut at 3" to start.

I count just a couple of potential in play water hazards, on the 11th and 15h par 3s. These fairway widths are about the same as the last two weeks and like last week this course is a tree lined classic set up. There will be dog legs and the fairways will not be easy to hit. This rough should be a little easier to climb out of than last week's Tifway Bermuda grass, even if it is a half inch taller than last week.

This course has those Napa Valley Oaks and even some Redwoods and the trees are placed to mess with the approach shots. Play is going to be all about placement and not just placing that drive for a good approach.

In my opinion, the most important placement will be on the green as pin positions can be in difficult to reach spots and these greens have undulations and like I said are considered sloping. When it comes to proximity to the pin when compared to other course on Tour, this one is in the top 50 percentile in difficulty.

Some of these greens will have short grass runoffs that will cause problems with misfired approaches so being able to scramble out of that rough to stick the green is going to be important. I'm looking for a golfer familiar with the west coast area that can step up in this lighter field, and can play well in this classical type course with these Poa Annua infested greens.

There's a lot of attention on two time winner Brendan Steele here and it's true, when it comes to driving accuracy, greens in regulation and scrambling in my recent performance skill metrics he is top 15, 20, and 10 respectively. When it comes to my recent strokes gained metrics he shows up as one of the best in nearly every category.

Si Woo Kim also ranks high in my putting per greens in regulation metric relative to the field but really shows up in all but the putting for the recent performance strokes gained metric. I can see why he is favored against the field in many spots.

I’m going to shy away from these two golfers here and stretch my blend of metrics, comfort, experience and spot betting.

Phil Mickelson may only be on my list of recent skills for scramblers and putters and recent performance for strokes gained around the green but those may be what count this weekend. On top of that, there might not be any golfer more comfortable playing some classic golf on a classic course, in California, on a Bentgrass/Poa Annua green than Lefty.

There's a spot here too as I believe he has been on the radar to draw money and I don't believe the senior tour victory settled those funds completely.

They could have settled though, putting could be the weakness and stamina is always an issue so I am striking at the first round leader as well and picked up…

Phil Mickelson +2706
Phil Mickelson 1^st Round Leader +3300

BM with the best tourney winner line and Heritage, BOL, bet105, etc are holding the +3300 1^st round price.

Good Luck.

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[KVB]

I'd say that's working out about how we all expected.

[KVB]

Lefty might have to resort to some aggressive green play if we are to get back in this...

[cincinnatikid513]

Lefty might have to resort to some aggressive green play if we are to get back in this...

so glad fox doesn't have us open any more they were terrible

[cincinnatikid513]

so who had old man stewart cink

200-1 odds

few holes left

[jjgold]

Nobody