Buying the hook

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65220

    #1
    Buying the hook
    I’m watching Daily Wager right now and that Anita lady just told me to buy the hook in the Titan game and make Tennessee 7.5

    I wanted to scream at the TV set buying the hook is a long term losing proposition because of the number of wagers it has mattered versus the ridiculous juice you have to lay.

    Buying the hook is just as ridiculous as crossing zero betting a teaser.
  • Easy-Rider 66
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-12
    • 36081

    #2
    if it was TENN +6.5 would buy it. not at 7 though. A push is AOK.
    Comment
    • KVB
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 05-29-14
      • 74817

      #3
      WTF?

      Did she say she was making a long term winning proposition?

      Probably not.

      So...

      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65220

        #4
        ^
        Stripes, one of my top 5 favorite comedies of all time.
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #5
          Originally posted by stevenash
          ^
          Stripes, one of my top 5 favorite comedies of all time.
          Yeah, I posted that clip just for you. Seen you post it before, you gave me the perfect set-up.



          Now if I can just get Eddy Munny to fall for a Rick Roll.

          Comment
          • Sam Odom
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-30-05
            • 58063

            #6
            Poster 'Smoke' posted always buy the hook
            Comment
            • funnyb25
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 07-09-09
              • 39658

              #7
              I bought the hook twice in my life and both times the bet lost by 30. Never again.
              Comment
              • pilebuck13
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-15-15
                • 17916

                #8
                Idk say mostly the opposite if it’s -6.5 I’m making it -7 for even money if your higher volume the juice is bigger deal at larger wagers. I always feel if you think a hook will make or break your bet then you have no business making the damn bet and the odds makers got the best at you idk about you but when I make a wager I’m confident it will win by a good number or why the fuk am I laying money on it....I had the Warriors +3.5 the other night vs Denver the hook saved me but still I placed the bet expecting a warriors win. When the book already has a mathematical advantage and you make it worse by buying anything your setting up your own funeral.
                Comment
                • Booya711
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-20-11
                  • 27329

                  #9
                  Originally posted by funnyb25
                  I bought the hook twice in my life and both times the bet lost by 30. Never again.
                  I lost $400 and a watch...but did get a sandwich...damn hookers
                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #10
                    Booya!

                    Where you watching the games? What part of the world are you in today?

                    Comment
                    • stevenash
                      Moderator
                      • 01-17-11
                      • 65220

                      #11
                      Let’s say you use a local for arguments sake and he doesn’t offer reduced juice.
                      And let’s say his line is Tennessee +7 -110
                      If you want to make it Titans +7.5 he’s going to charge you an extra .25 for that 1/2 point.
                      Now instead of laying -110 juice on his +7 you’re now laying -135 on +7.5

                      At -110 you have to win slightly more than 52 percent of your wagers to break even.
                      At -135 you have to win 57.45 percent of your wagers to break even.

                      Buying the hook off of 7 to 7.5 is beneficial to a bettor far less than 57 1/2 percent of the time.
                      Comment
                      • pilebuck13
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 05-15-15
                        • 17916

                        #12
                        Originally posted by stevenash
                        Let’s say you use a local for arguments sake and he doesn’t offer reduced juice.
                        And let’s say his line is Tennessee +7 -110
                        If you want to make it Titans +7.5 he’s going to charge you an extra .25 for that 1/2 point.
                        Now instead of laying -110 juice on his +7 you’re now laying -135 on +7.5

                        At -110 you have to win slightly more than 52 percent of your wagers to break even.
                        At -135 you have to win 57.45 percent of your wagers to break even.

                        Buying the hook off of 7 to 7.5 is beneficial to a bettor far less than 57 1/2 percent of the time.
                        The math is obvious but the most obvious is why you laying money on something period you feel might make or break on a hook if your doing this you already loss
                        Comment
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