NCAAF Trends

[kingdom]

gonna start with early games.

michigan is 8-2 o/u last 10 as they blow out or get blown out. should be former today.

cmu is 7-2 o/u as they give up 31ppg

TxAm is 12-3 ats run and 8-1 ats home. utsa is terrible.

Houston as road dog is 10-3 ats and 7-2 o/u avg. 34 ppg. UCF is 20-11 ats but have lost 4 of 5 ats.

BC is 11-3 ats run as a road dog.

WF is 3-9 as HF. NC ST sucks on road at 2-8 ats. think line will make difference for NC St. cover at +8

EMU is 15-5 as dog last 20

[kingdom]

PIT has strongest trend of the week. Road favs after scoring less than 17 previous week are 42-12 ats following week with line greater than a td

https://killersports.com/ncaafb/query?sdql=%28p%3Apoints%3C17%20and%20-20%20%3C%20line%3C%3D-6.5%20and%20F%20and%20A%20and%20season%3E2014%20and%20division%3D1A%29%20as%20%22p%3Apoints%3C17%20and%20-20%20%3C%20line%3C%3D-6.5%20and%20F%20and%20A%20and%20season%3E2014%20and%20division%3D1A%22

[kingdom]

SMU has a strong fade against them. teams that are outgained by 120+ yds in a win and are a road dog following week are 3-34 su and 10-27 ats since oct '15. memphis is also 11-3-1 ats at home

[kingdom]

Tulsa has a rare trend going against them. teams that are home dogs and lose by 1 as they did last week, are 6-29 ats the following week scoring only 22 ppg and giving up an avg of 37 ppg. Tulane is also 12-4 ats at home last 3 seasons so that won't help.

https://killersports.com/ncaafb/query?sdql=%28p%3Asite%20%3D%20home%20and%20%28H%29%20%3D%20False%20and%20date%20%3E%2019901110%20and%20p%3Aline%20%3E%20-1%20and%20p%3Amargin%20%3D%20-1%20and%200%20%3C%20line%20%3C%2013%20and%20game%20number%20%3E%203%20and%20division%20%3D%201A%29%20as%20%22p%3Asite%20%3D%20home%20and%20%28H%29%20%3D%20False%20and%20date%20%3E%2019901110%20and%20p%3Aline%20%3E%20-1%20and%20p%3Amargin%20%3D%20-1%20and%200%20%3C%20line%20%3C%2013%20and%20game%20number%20%3E%203%20and%20division%20%3D%201A%22

[kingdom]

If youre looking for dogs this week there are 3 off an upset win of 7+. oregon st., vandy, and gtech. over past 5 seasons teams in this situation are 38-18 ats (67.9%). ore st. is also 13-3 o/u streak on the road.

[Chi_archie]

Marshall is 0-5 as a favorite this year. 5-16 the past 3 years.

they are double digit road faves today

[kingdom]

AF and army have a heavy under trend today. non/conf. faves are 35-76-2 o/u (31.5%) since 2016. army also on a 4-12 o/u run as road dog. and 10-5-1 ats as well for army road dog stretch.

https://killersports.com/ncaafb/query?sdql=total+%3C+48.5+and+not+C+and+division+%3D+o%3Adivision+and+F+and+season+%3E+2015+and+game+type+%21%3D+BG&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

[kingdom]

Ark is on a 5-14 o/u run and state is on a 2-8 o/u road streak.

[kingdom]

Ole Miss is on a 2-8 ats dog run and 0-10 su. Aub is 7-1 ATS with only L at Florida

[kingdom]

KU seems to be turning things around and are on a 7-2 ats dog run.

Lafayette is 14-3 ats since last sept and have been off since oct 17th. they are catching TX St. who has only one ats win this year.

[kingdom]

BG 2-11 o/u avg 17 ppg

Charlotte 8-1 Home o/u avg 33ppg

Clemson 10-21 o/u and 1-6 last 7 giving up less than 13ppg.

[kingdom]

Marshall is 0-5 as a favorite this year. 5-16 the past 3 years.

they are double digit road faves today

good stuff

[kingdom]

Ok St 18-3 o/u at home after giving up at least 17 pts previous week.

https://killersports.com/ncaafb/query?sdql=team%3DOKST+and+H+and+po%3Apoints%3E%3D17+and+date%3E%3D20151107&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

[kingdom]

NW 11-1 ATS road dog last 12 and 6 straight unders.

VT is 3-1 su and 4-0 ats as road dog avg 37.5 ppg and giving up 35.5 ppg for a 4-0 o/u

Clemson is 18-0 su and 15-3 ats since oct '18. ats is strong considering monster lines they are beating.

Memphis 18-5 over at home since '16

[kingdom]

Rutgers 0-5 SU and ats in conf. avg 2.8 ppg and giving up 41.4 ppg

ucla 4-7 su and 3-8 ats home including losing 4 of last 5 su/ats. colorado a good ats and ml play.