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So since 4:46 eastern time.
Ohhhh, you mean “ minute” like the cool kids say.Comment -
I can’t get behind this one even for 1st 5 tonight, ranger pitcher hard hit rate is ugly, vs twinks that scary. I love berrios but August ain’t been kind to him in his young career and hasn’t been so hot thus far this August either, he on 5 days rest which for some reason has been his worst throughout career and significantly worse this year. On 4 days or 6+ he has held opponents below a .600 ops this year (microscopic!) 5 days teams push that up to freaking .800!!! Wanted to back twinks ff -.5 but that scared me, still think they prob good but think could be high scoring. Don’t think I loved ump either,, gl buddyComment -
Back to the under well in cincy. Love the ump. Chances cards score much a day after hanging double digits? Not very strong. Mikolas on road hasn’t been great but been better since the asb, has had good starts in cincy previously, with drake, and off a bad start I’d expect him to be good.
Ff under 5 and some fg un 9 since it plus money and both pens solid as well.Comment -
Odd lineups for both teams also, no DeJong a day after a blast which curious since he streaky as shit, cincy sitting few guys. Maybe I’m nuts for playing under cause sure seems like the way to go yet it plus money. Lol. Only negative in lineups for under is weiters in instead of yadi, that makes cards offense a touch better but Munoz at short certainly doesn’t!!Comment -
Can be costly indeed, but did you see that ass ^^^^??Comment -
Man even when I lose these ffs they almost always bottom of the fukkin 5th, tell myself just means I capped it well but still pisses me off! Lol. Giving up the hr wasn’t even the problem, that happens, it was walking a guy ahead of that turning a gopher ball into a crooked number. Fukkin Mikolas ain’t supposed to walk guys, especially when he has a pitcher friendly ump!!
One of few times Splitting total between ff and fg that it was ff that burnt me. looking back wasn’t much reason use ff here, both these pens rock solid, certainly wasn’t looking at it like a situation where had they been under 5 after 5 I’d been worried at all about it getting to 9. Just saw 5 with no juice and thought chances of them getting that were fairly slim, lol.
Fortunately for the fg under didn’t even matter Mikolas let a good game slip away. Cards offense was sadly (from a fans persoective) predictably terrible, you can pretty much book that for any game after they inexplicably hang a big number vs more times than not a teams freaking best starter!! If someone didn’t know better they might mistake that for a sign these overpaid underachieving hitters were finally getting going, lol. Can’t fool a guy as well seasoned in cardinals mediocrity as me!!
Anyone who wants a free win (whether it be total, team total, or side) from time to time just remember after cards hang double digits it don’t matter what kind of bum they face the next day (in fact a career minor leaguer you never heard of, called up for a spot start is the best in these spots, a total gas can works too! Point is don’t much matter who they face so the worst the pitcher thought of the better odds and higher total you will get!!) you can pretty much count on them scoring next to nothing so bet accordingly. You will look back few years from now and be like damn, banker got me 10-20 no capping required wins! Just be smart w this knowledge, doesn’t mean they will lose the game, their pitching could win a low scoring affair, doesn’t mean it a lock to go under, cards pitching could get blown up that day!! Just telling ya the odds cards score even 3 are incredibly low the day after the offense hangs a big number (double digits for sure) if someone told me any given day a team will score 2 or less I’d figure out ways to profit from it whether you simply choose team total (I’ve never been a tt fan in bases for some reason), game total, or fade. Obviously depends on your expected output of the other team on how to go about it any given time!!
Thank me later,,Last edited by 2daBank; 08-17-19, 09:53 PM.Comment -
Results from Saturday, just over even in units...
It's actually been a decent Contrarian weekend despite what I said about Oakland winning on Friday.
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 529 plays...
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 87 plays...904 17-Aug STL/CIN UNDER 9.5 (-115) 0.87 906 PHI -110 -1 916 CLE/NYY UNDER 10 (+105) -1 917 SEA +155 1.55 926 MIN/TEX UNDER 11.5 (-105) -1 Sat -0.58 Weeks 1-5 -1.32 Weeks 6-10 -1.23 Weeks 11-15 -4.9 Weeks 16-20 6.19 Mon 1.25 Tue -1 Wed 4.03 Thu 0.54 Fri -0.24 Total 2.74
Given the couple of mistakes and where these units should be it still appears we are in a double bottom situation, and could still see a rise in the RL Fund.961 12-Aug BOS -1.5 (+135) -1 906 13-Aug MIA +1.5 (+115) -1 932 CHW +1.5 (+182) -1 958 14-Aug MIA +1.5 (+166) -1 902 15-Aug MIA +1.5 (+135) 1.35 913 CLE +1.5 (-135) 0.74 915 17-Aug CLE +1.5 (-120) 0.83 910 ATL +1.5 (-105) 0.95 926 TEX +1.5 (+115) -1 Week 21 -1.13 Weeks 1-5 -4.92 Weeks 6-10 -4.59 Weeks 11-15 4.86 Weeks 16-20 -4.55 Total -10.33
Let's see if that RL Fund flexes...
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