Is Denver favored only because of home court. OKC didn't have it over Portland

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  • seaborneq
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-08-06
    • 22556

    #1
    Is Denver favored only because of home court. OKC didn't have it over Portland
    Denver series price doesn't seem like the play. Portland should be favored.
  • pilebuck13
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-15-15
    • 17916

    #2
    Unfortunately Denver defends the 3 ball better then anyone in the nba this is major problem for Portland
    Comment
    • homie1975
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-24-13
      • 15448

      #3
      Originally posted by seaborneq
      Denver series price doesn't seem like the play. Portland should be favored.
      2 seed, home court advantage, strong in all phases. correctly favored.

      OKC only favored over portland because of perception that it was two stars on OKC vs only one on Portland. also portland swept out of the first round the last two seasons.

      DENVER NUGGETS correctly favored to win series. I predict they win in 6/7
      Comment
      • thomorino
        Restricted User
        • 06-01-17
        • 45842

        #4
        Kanter's shoulder is seperated and Nurkic is out, that's the main reason Denver is favored, Denver has also been great at home all year.
        Comment
        • thomorino
          Restricted User
          • 06-01-17
          • 45842

          #5
          This looks like a series where the home team should likely win and cover most games.
          Comment
          • lakerboy
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-02-09
            • 94367

            #6
            Media doing the whole Lillard dick touch. Don't be fooled. Portland has nothing outside of him and the other clown(McCollum) who plays no defense.
            Comment
            • asiagambler
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 07-23-17
              • 6831

              #7
              Just shows how little respect the market has for the Nuggets. Not sure if it's warranted or not.

              However, Portland should NOT be favoured. Home court obviously plays a factor but I'm not certain they should be favoured even if on neutral court which is what the odds would suggest.
              Comment
              • krk1030
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-13-08
                • 17610

                #8
                Who's going to guard jokic? Kanter lol
                Comment
                • seaborneq
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-08-06
                  • 22556

                  #9
                  Originally posted by asiagambler
                  Just shows how little respect the market has for the Nuggets. Not sure if it's warranted or not.

                  However, Portland should NOT be favoured. Home court obviously plays a factor but I'm not certain they should be favoured even if on neutral court which is what the odds would suggest.
                  Why was OKC such a heavy favorite over Portland then??
                  Comment
                  • asiagambler
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 07-23-17
                    • 6831

                    #10
                    Originally posted by seaborneq
                    Why was OKC such a heavy favorite over Portland then??
                    Not sure I understand your point. OKC also wasn't a heavy favourite. They opened around -130 and were bet up to about -150
                    Comment
                    • homie1975
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-24-13
                      • 15448

                      #11
                      Originally posted by seaborneq
                      Why was OKC such a heavy favorite over Portland then??
                      I already answered this in post #3
                      Comment
                      • seaborneq
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 09-08-06
                        • 22556

                        #12
                        Originally posted by asiagambler
                        Not sure I understand your point. OKC also wasn't a heavy favourite. They opened around -130 and were bet up to about -150
                        You are saying the home court is obviously a factor. How can it not be a factor when Portland is at home at OKC but a factor when Denver is at home for Portland??
                        Comment
                        • homie1975
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-24-13
                          • 15448

                          #13
                          Seaborn: what part of "the trail gangsters were 0-8 The last two playoffs and have only one brand name player" do.u not understand ?

                          The market perception was Westbrook + Paul George > lillard.

                          They missed it.

                          Last two years Portland got run off the court in the 1st rd to the tune of two sweeps. They needed to show the marketplace somethimg first, and they did.

                          It was a shock that they won so easily.
                          Comment
                          • asiagambler
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 07-23-17
                            • 6831

                            #14
                            Originally posted by seaborneq
                            You are saying the home court is obviously a factor. How can it not be a factor when Portland is at home at OKC but a factor when Denver is at home for Portland??
                            Of course home court was a factor with Portland and OKC. If Thunder had the home court, they would have approached -300 for the series. You have to remember how big a part of the team Nurkic was. But then Westbrook and his selfish play happened, along with incompetent coaching from Donovan, Paul George's underreported injury and Damian Lillard playing the best basketball of his career.

                            Before the playoffs started, Denver actually had worse odds than OKC to win the West.
                            Comment
                            • Big Bear
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 11-01-11
                              • 43253

                              #15
                              Yes ever since they legalized weed the fans have been cheering louder

                              It’s also paid dividends to the concession stand

                              deep fried cheetos have been a hit at the arena

                              mu cousin goes to games there sometimes he loves the deep fried cheetos
                              Comment
                              • thetrinity
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-25-11
                                • 22430

                                #16
                                road wins should be hard pressed to come by in this series

                                portland game 1 appears to have the best chance to steal one
                                Comment
                                • seaborneq
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-08-06
                                  • 22556

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by thetrinity
                                  road wins should be hard pressed to come by in this series

                                  portland game 1 appears to have the best chance to steal one
                                  Both teams should be able to steal a road game since the books have this one as nearly a pickem.
                                  Comment
                                  • TheMoneyShot
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 02-14-07
                                    • 28672

                                    #18
                                    NBA needs Portland to win the series....

                                    I think the ratings would be like sh#$ if Denver took on Golden State in the Western Conference Finals...
                                    Comment
                                    • seaborneq
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-08-06
                                      • 22556

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by homie1975
                                      Seaborn: what part of "the trail gangsters were 0-8 The last two playoffs and have only one brand name player" do.u not understand ?

                                      The market perception was Westbrook + Paul George > lillard.

                                      They missed it.

                                      Last two years Portland got run off the court in the 1st rd to the tune of two sweeps. They needed to show the marketplace somethimg first, and they did.

                                      It was a shock that they won so easily.
                                      So Portland has undone ALL of that damage by beating a team that has been put out of the first round of the playoffs the last three years. None of those series even went 7 games either, yet now Portland is nearly a pickem for the Denver series??? The marketplace has corrected all of this in 5 playoff games against OKC. What a joke??
                                      Comment
                                      • asiagambler
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 07-23-17
                                        • 6831

                                        #20
                                        Without home court, Portland should not be favoured against Denver in this series, that is for certain. Especially considering that Denver has 1 of the 2 best home court advantages in the league because of the altitude.

                                        Denver opening at around -130 was definitely a bit light. It's already moved out to -150 at Pinnacle.
                                        Comment
                                        • homie1975
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-24-13
                                          • 15448

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by seaborneq
                                          So Portland has undone ALL of that damage by beating a team that has been put out of the first round of the playoffs the last three years. None of those series even went 7 games either, yet now Portland is nearly a pickem for the Denver series??? The marketplace has corrected all of this in 5 playoff games against OKC. What a joke??
                                          Well I guess the egg yolk is on u brother because they were underdogs in the first round and now in the second.
                                          Comment
                                          • seaborneq
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 09-08-06
                                            • 22556

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by homie1975
                                            Well I guess the egg yolk is on u brother because they were underdogs in the first round and now in the second.
                                            You missed the whole premise of the thread. Reading in fundamental.
                                            Comment
                                            • Cuse0323
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-09-09
                                              • 30169

                                              #23
                                              All I know is that Portland wins the series.
                                              Comment
                                              • seaborneq
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-08-06
                                                • 22556

                                                #24
                                                Looks like Portland should have been favored.
                                                Comment
                                                • 2daBank
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 88966

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Cuse0323
                                                  All I know is that Portland wins the series.
                                                  God dammit cuse, you called this yet you made that dumb ass “Denver wins gm 7 or you will leave” thread?
                                                  Comment
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