Wednesday Plays?? Good Day Action

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388189

    #1
    Wednesday Plays?? Good Day Action
    Thank You
  • BIGDAY
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 02-17-10
    • 48245

    #2
    WSox
    Seattle
    Phila
    Rockies Undah 10.5

    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388189

      #3
      Comment
      • Mackballs
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-01-16
        • 5810

        #4
        Puerto Rico -3.5 vs Canada

        Michigan +2.5 vs Georgia

        South Korea +155 vs Japan

        LLWS

        You're welcome
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #5
          So far this morning I have plays for the Fund with CIN/MIL OVER 9, ATL/PIT OVER 8, and SF/NYM UNDER 7.5.

          Good Luck.

          Comment
          • Sam Odom
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-30-05
            • 58063

            #6
            Moving $$$ today

            Things are on hold
            Comment
            • BIGDAY
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 02-17-10
              • 48245

              #7
              I actually like a good number of Unders today.
              Comment
              • ikid2groove415
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-08-18
                • 11981

                #8
                российская ракета
                Comment
                • icon
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-09-18
                  • 3404

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                  российская ракета
                  this
                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #10
                    Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                    российская ракета
                    I don't know this language so I looked it up. It turns out there is news and a nuclear powered russian missile fell into the Barents sea.

                    Crazy. Missiles with nuclear engines.

                    In honor of all our russian ghost comrades at SBR, all 5700 of them...

                    Comment
                    • icon
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-09-18
                      • 3404

                      #11
                      Bal/Tor UNDER 9.5 steamed from +100 to -115 at Pinnacle.

                      On it.
                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #12
                        Originally posted by icon
                        Bal/Tor UNDER 9.5 steamed from +100 to -115 at Pinnacle.

                        On it.
                        Good Look here. I know things change as the day moves on but I've also seen what appear to be sharp moves and those who follow in other houses as well on the Under.

                        This play is on the contrarian fund radar for sure. The bigger money is disagreeing with the public in a pretty significant way, from what I can see, and it looks to be solid enough to trend that way all day.

                        Good Luck on this icon, I may be on it as well before days end.


                        Comment
                        • KVB
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-29-14
                          • 74817

                          #13
                          I didn't pick up the Under in Toronto, I was out and missed it, but I think it was a solid bet.

                          Comment
                          • icon
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-09-18
                            • 3404

                            #14
                            Originally posted by KVB
                            I didn't pick up the Under in Toronto, I was out and missed it, but I think it was a solid bet.

                            Looking good early.

                            The great thing though is that I can always bet the over live should things change. Right now Pinny has over 5.5 -106.

                            Not touching it though. Original under 9.5 very strong right now.
                            Comment
                            • JIBBBY
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-10-09
                              • 83691

                              #15
                              Originally posted by icon
                              Bal/Tor UNDER 9.5 steamed from +100 to -115 at Pinnacle.

                              On it.
                              GOOD CALL.. Looking great right now Icon.. I was thinking about it myself but I don't trust these early morning games.. I should have taken a stab looking at the score now.. Damnnn!!!

                              Comment
                              • TheMetsSuck
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-14-12
                                • 6149

                                #16
                                why not take oakland ml and runline?
                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by TheMetsSuck
                                  why not take oakland ml and runline?
                                  A lot of people like Oakland and they have been solid recently.

                                  The contrarian market sees the other side as a potential play. It's not quite enough for me but I see a lot of tickets, from my samples, on the Oakland moneyline but the money looks to be more split.

                                  The ticket side appears to be pretty extreme and that difference with the money is just one factor I look at for potential plays. As we are an hour to game we will see a few more bets and get a better picture of that "other" side of the market.

                                  Comment
                                  • icon
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-09-18
                                    • 3404

                                    #18
                                    Balti reliever Miguel Castro could give up 10 runs himself here.

                                    Jays with a 5 spot (so far) no outs bottom of 8th.
                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #19
                                      Ridiculous.
                                      Comment
                                      • KVB
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 05-29-14
                                        • 74817

                                        #20
                                        Here's another example of how the contrarian fund could lean towards a play that doesn't appear contrarian from popular numbers and percentages.

                                        In the Atl/Pit game, common ticket percentage numbers show a fairly split game, but I see some showing tickets on Atlanta at around 55% and it has moved upward.

                                        So the bettors appear to be slightly trending on Atlanta. My sources show the money from our samples are heavily placed on Atlanta as well. The volume is light still but the trend shows a big enough difference between the "public" and all the money that is on Atlanta.

                                        There are many factors, including capping the games themselves, but things like this can help put a play like the Atlanta moneyline on the radar. We'll see if the trend continues, but my guess is that tickets will grow relative to the money and Pit can hit then hit the radar. The market can change at any time, but it shows trends and reaches thresholds that trigger indicators that are historically market based.

                                        There are regressions being used based on close to 15 years of market data and movement, including specific books.

                                        That's why capping the game and watching individual books can help to determine a play when the market stirs up dust and makes things difficult to see.

                                        Comment
                                        • JIBBBY
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-10-09
                                          • 83691

                                          #21
                                          I'm going with the Cards again tonight for the sweep!!!! Cards are in a grove right now, Dodgers struggling to score runs and in a funk.... Why not try it again at plus money to close out the series I say? Kershaw isn't on the mound....https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/st-loui...ers-380822119/

                                          The dog is barking and trending - Take a look... I've been cashing in on this series so far.. Dodgers might win this game out of pride but at plus odds I think you gotta try the Cards again..


                                          $100.00 $145.00 Pending 8/22/18 10:10pm MLB Baseball 961 St. Louis Cardinals +145* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (J Flaherty - R must Start W Buehler - R must Start)
                                          $100.00 $183.00 Win 8/21/18 10:10pm MLB Baseball 911 St. Louis Cardinals +183* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (D Poncedeleon - R must Start H Ryu - L must Start)
                                          $100.00 $168.00 Win 8/20/18 10:10pm MLB Baseball 957 St. Louis Cardinals +168* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (A Gomber - L must Start A Wood - L must Start)

                                          Dodgers lack of performance offensively in this series and the Cards ability to score runs early on has been the story -

                                          Aug 22 vs St. Louis 7:10 PM PDT
                                          FSMW, SNLA, ESPN
                                          Aug 20 vs St. Louis L 5 - 3
                                          Aug 21 vs St. Louis L 5 - 2
                                          Comment
                                          • ikid2groove415
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-08-18
                                            • 11981

                                            #22
                                            Baltimore lol - 37-90
                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #23
                                              Great Under in Toronto guys, congrats.

                                              Comment
                                              • KVB
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 05-29-14
                                                • 74817

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                                                Baltimore lol - 37-90
                                                Before the game, when they were 37-89, anyone who bet them every game, 1 unit, regardless of the price, fave or dog, always just one unit, would be down almost 42 units, depending on the numbers they got.

                                                Now I it's 43...lol.

                                                Comment
                                                • ikid2groove415
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-08-18
                                                  • 11981

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                                  Before the game, when they were 37-89, anyone who bet them every game, 1 unit, regardless of the price, fave or dog, always just one unit, would be down almost 42 units, depending on the numbers they got.

                                                  Now I it's 43...lol.

                                                  I always admire guys who bet on them and auctually win - I haven’t bet on them once this year -
                                                  Last edited by ikid2groove415; 08-22-18, 02:32 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mackballs
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-01-16
                                                    • 5810

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Mackballs
                                                    Puerto Rico -3.5 vs Canada

                                                    Michigan +2.5 vs Georgia

                                                    South Korea +155 vs Japan

                                                    LLWS

                                                    You're welcome
                                                    Nothing but fukkin winners here
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #27
                                                      I've added Detroit on the moneyline to the Contrarian Fund. Money, tickets on Chicago but I can identify what I consider sharp action on Detroit, coming from different sources and going into multiple places in the marketplace.

                                                      I like this play.

                                                      Good Luck

                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                                                        российская ракета
                                                        Originally posted by icon

                                                        this
                                                        Hey. if you guys know Russian, what are they saying in the video I posted above? I have no clue but I like the song.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KVB
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-29-14
                                                          • 74817

                                                          #29
                                                          I added the NYY/MIA Under 7.5 to the Fund.

                                                          Good Luck.

                                                          Comment
                                                          • KVB
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-29-14
                                                            • 74817

                                                            #30
                                                            I added yet another play to the Contrarian Fund with STL/LAD OVER 7.5.

                                                            Good Luck.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #31
                                                              I might be looking at 0-5 for those early games unless Detroit can pull it out.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • JIBBBY
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-10-09
                                                                • 83691

                                                                #32
                                                                ^ Not fun my friend coming up short.. ...

                                                                Comment
                                                                • jjgold
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                                  • 388189

                                                                  #33
                                                                  KVB was due for a bad run
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                                    ^ Not fun my friend coming up short.. ...

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • KVB
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                                      • 74817

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                      KVB was due for a bad run
                                                                      Yeah, I had that 0-4 day not long ago and been fairly solid since.

                                                                      Let's see how the market responds going forward. It starts with the Dodgers tonight, I hope.

                                                                      We grind on.

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...