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Wednesday Plays?? Good Day Action
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388189
#1Wednesday Plays?? Good Day ActionTags: None -
BIGDAYSBR Aristocracy
- 02-17-10
- 48245
#2WSox
Seattle
Phila
Rockies Undah 10.5
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388189
#3Comment -
MackballsSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-01-16
- 5810
#4Puerto Rico -3.5 vs Canada
Michigan +2.5 vs Georgia
South Korea +155 vs Japan
LLWS
You're welcomeComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#5So far this morning I have plays for the Fund with CIN/MIL OVER 9, ATL/PIT OVER 8, and SF/NYM UNDER 7.5.
Good Luck.
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Sam OdomSBR Aristocracy
- 10-30-05
- 58063
#6Moving $$$ today
Things are on holdComment -
BIGDAYSBR Aristocracy
- 02-17-10
- 48245
#7I actually like a good number of Unders today.Comment -
ikid2groove415SBR Posting Legend
- 01-08-18
- 11981
#8российская ракетаComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#10I don't know this language so I looked it up. It turns out there is news and a nuclear powered russian missile fell into the Barents sea.
Crazy. Missiles with nuclear engines.
In honor of all our russian ghost comrades at SBR, all 5700 of them...
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iconSBR MVP
- 01-09-18
- 3404
#11Bal/Tor UNDER 9.5 steamed from +100 to -115 at Pinnacle.
On it.Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#12Good Look here. I know things change as the day moves on but I've also seen what appear to be sharp moves and those who follow in other houses as well on the Under.
This play is on the contrarian fund radar for sure. The bigger money is disagreeing with the public in a pretty significant way, from what I can see, and it looks to be solid enough to trend that way all day.
Good Luck on this icon, I may be on it as well before days end.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#13I didn't pick up the Under in Toronto, I was out and missed it, but I think it was a solid bet.
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iconSBR MVP
- 01-09-18
- 3404
#14
The great thing though is that I can always bet the over live should things change. Right now Pinny has over 5.5 -106.
Not touching it though. Original under 9.5 very strong right now.Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83691
#15GOOD CALL.. Looking great right now Icon.. I was thinking about it myself but I don't trust these early morning games.. I should have taken a stab looking at the score now.. Damnnn!!!
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TheMetsSuckSBR Hall of Famer
- 01-14-12
- 6149
#16why not take oakland ml and runline?Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#17A lot of people like Oakland and they have been solid recently.
The contrarian market sees the other side as a potential play. It's not quite enough for me but I see a lot of tickets, from my samples, on the Oakland moneyline but the money looks to be more split.
The ticket side appears to be pretty extreme and that difference with the money is just one factor I look at for potential plays. As we are an hour to game we will see a few more bets and get a better picture of that "other" side of the market.
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iconSBR MVP
- 01-09-18
- 3404
#18Balti reliever Miguel Castro could give up 10 runs himself here.
Jays with a 5 spot (so far) no outs bottom of 8th.Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#19Ridiculous.Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#20Here's another example of how the contrarian fund could lean towards a play that doesn't appear contrarian from popular numbers and percentages.
In the Atl/Pit game, common ticket percentage numbers show a fairly split game, but I see some showing tickets on Atlanta at around 55% and it has moved upward.
So the bettors appear to be slightly trending on Atlanta. My sources show the money from our samples are heavily placed on Atlanta as well. The volume is light still but the trend shows a big enough difference between the "public" and all the money that is on Atlanta.
There are many factors, including capping the games themselves, but things like this can help put a play like the Atlanta moneyline on the radar. We'll see if the trend continues, but my guess is that tickets will grow relative to the money and Pit can hit then hit the radar. The market can change at any time, but it shows trends and reaches thresholds that trigger indicators that are historically market based.
There are regressions being used based on close to 15 years of market data and movement, including specific books.
That's why capping the game and watching individual books can help to determine a play when the market stirs up dust and makes things difficult to see.
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JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83691
#21I'm going with the Cards again tonight for the sweep!!!! Cards are in a grove right now, Dodgers struggling to score runs and in a funk.... Why not try it again at plus money to close out the series I say? Kershaw isn't on the mound....https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/st-loui...ers-380822119/
The dog is barking and trending - Take a look... I've been cashing in on this series so far.. Dodgers might win this game out of pride but at plus odds I think you gotta try the Cards again..
$100.00 $145.00 Pending 8/22/18 10:10pm MLB Baseball 961 St. Louis Cardinals +145* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (J Flaherty - R must Start W Buehler - R must Start) $100.00 $183.00 Win 8/21/18 10:10pm MLB Baseball 911 St. Louis Cardinals +183* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (D Poncedeleon - R must Start H Ryu - L must Start) $100.00 $168.00 Win 8/20/18 10:10pm MLB Baseball 957 St. Louis Cardinals +168* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (A Gomber - L must Start A Wood - L must Start)
Dodgers lack of performance offensively in this series and the Cards ability to score runs early on has been the story -
Aug 22 vs St. Louis
7:10 PM PDT
FSMW, SNLA, ESPNAug 20 vs St. Louis
L 5 - 3 Aug 21 vs St. Louis
L 5 - 2 Comment -
ikid2groove415SBR Posting Legend
- 01-08-18
- 11981
#22Baltimore lol - 37-90Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#23Great Under in Toronto guys, congrats.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
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ikid2groove415SBR Posting Legend
- 01-08-18
- 11981
#25I always admire guys who bet on them and auctually win - I haven’t bet on them once this year -Last edited by ikid2groove415; 08-22-18, 02:32 PM.Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#27I've added Detroit on the moneyline to the Contrarian Fund. Money, tickets on Chicago but I can identify what I consider sharp action on Detroit, coming from different sources and going into multiple places in the marketplace.
I like this play.
Good Luck
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#29I added the NYY/MIA Under 7.5 to the Fund.
Good Luck.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#30I added yet another play to the Contrarian Fund with STL/LAD OVER 7.5.
Good Luck.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#31I might be looking at 0-5 for those early games unless Detroit can pull it out.
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JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83691
#32^ Not fun my friend coming up short.....
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388189
#33KVB was due for a bad runComment
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