KVB Putting This One in Early. Need Line

**mpaschal34** · 08-13-18, 07:26 AM

per SBR Book.

Aug 13	1905	1H SF	M BUMGARNER -L	+165	o3½EV	+½+115
	10:10 PM	1906	1H LAD	C KERSHAW -L	-195	u3½-120	-½-135

**USCPHILLYGUY** · 08-13-18, 07:39 AM

So 3.5 -120?

**mpaschal34** · 08-13-18, 07:42 AM

yep

**JAKEPEAVY21** · 08-13-18, 07:46 AM

contrarian

**KVB** · 08-13-18, 09:13 AM

Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY

So 3.5 -120?

This is pretty much it and it has moved little this morning.

This was early today, sorry I'm so late.

For the game, the Dodgers and Under are receiving the heavy action but there are many more bets to be counted by game time.

**USCPHILLYGUY** · 08-13-18, 12:19 PM

Locked in Miami +183 game 1

+220 game 2

**Heltah Skeltah** · 08-13-18, 12:21 PM

KVB do you try and bet to beat the line and get beat value? Or do you strictly wait till right before game to make your bets which most your posts suggest. If so why

**KVB** · 08-13-18, 12:22 PM

Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY

Locked in Miami +183 game 1

+220 game 2

All you need is one, could be too easy.

After the favorable market action we've both seen on that contrarian side, something stinks with this early game and the doubleheader in general.

Good Luck Philly

Seems too easy though, I passed on this first game.

**KVB** · 08-13-18, 12:26 PM

Originally posted by Heltah Skeltah

KVB do you try and bet to beat the line and get beat value? Or do you strictly wait till right before game to make your bets which most your posts suggest. If so why

For the contrarian fund I do project price targets (that don't always hit, lol) and do want the best number, but I am willing to pay in that price to wait for information to trigger the play.

Other strategies are different, sometimes I buy at the open regardless, even if I think I can get a better number (CFL Sharp Forecast Fund), sometimes it's a wait and see with other types of strategies.

With the Contrarian Fund, the best price is not always mandatory and waiting can cost me or help me on any given day.

I try to do my best though, but I need to see those market triggers. Some triggers are sharp and they move the line, nothing I can do about that.

I have lost too many times anticipating the sharp move that never came, now I'm patient. We've had a few games this last week where I said I was looking but it never came and I passed.

**Heltah Skeltah** · 08-13-18, 12:46 PM

Ok I gues