Live Betting is Profitable
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#36Comment -
DukeSniderSBR High Roller
- 06-20-18
- 129
#37so SB's are run by idiots...doubt that very much.Comment -
johnnyvegas13BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 05-21-15
- 27818
#38Guys who think live betting is long term just had a good run
I challenge anyone to start a live bet only thread and make it workComment -
milwaukee mikeBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-22-07
- 26914
#40
the simple fact that sportsbooks will impose limits and delays on live players means some people are winningComment -
RudyRuetiggerSBR Aristocracy
- 08-24-10
- 65086
#41live betting is like my sex life
UP AND DOWN with many swings
but in the end, it is hard as rock and you still only have the HOPE to get what you actually wantComment -
milwaukee mikeBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-22-07
- 26914
#42Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388189
#43It’s fun but that’s allComment -
milwaukee mikeBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-22-07
- 26914
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PharaohUBSBR MVP
- 01-23-07
- 4865
#46Tennis only one I ever found profitable. If you know players tendencies and have a feel for certain guys you can find some good value in live games. Getting harder though the younger players coming up seem to Be mentally tougher. Gravy train might be over in the next few yearsComment -
xKMACKxSBR MVP
- 11-16-08
- 1274
#47Books offer live betting hoping people on tilt chase and blow their roll.Comment -
jacharron17SBR Sharp
- 01-22-19
- 261
#48I love to live bet basketball totals. What I do is parse halftime stats, and then use Dean Oliver's possessions formula (Four Factors) to get a rough estimation of possessions. Then I use another resource for pace (Dunksandthrees), and I halve whatever the pace comes out as (I know it isn't a one-size fits all approach as pace changes throughout each interval of the game, but it is a fair approximation). I then look for anomalies such as teams that scored a lot more in the first half than expected (Betting line as a reference), while the pace was a lot less than expected. What this tells me is teams were lucky in their shooting, as to get a lot of points with fewer possessions you'd obviously need to be shooting hot, and teams aren't hot forever. I would be inclined to bet unders in these situations - perhaps if one team was blowing out another.Comment -
trytrytrySBR Posting Legend
- 03-13-06
- 23649
#49Colorado AvalancheTampa Bay Lightning-200 3units- after 1stComment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388189
#50Jacks that seems complicated you must be a proComment
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