Live Betting is Profitable

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  • KVB
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-29-14
    • 74817

    #36
    Originally posted by inter1097
    Sometimes I've seen this happen, they update the odds but never give me a chance to bet with the new odds They're greyed out. What's the point of showing new odds if it's temporary locked? I've seen it change several times before I'm allowed to bet again!


    I hear that...

    Originally posted by KVB
    ..I really meant those times where lines are being offered and you can't get them. They change, they bounce off the board and back on. It's like the system is figuring out first what the market wants by putting the bet out there, but not really letting anyone transact until it can make a market.

    You hit confirm and it pauses or tells you it changed, when it didn't. Delays in broadcasts have also been a part of the same problem...
    Comment
    • DukeSnider
      SBR High Roller
      • 06-20-18
      • 129

      #37
      so SB's are run by idiots...doubt that very much.
      Comment
      • johnnyvegas13
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 05-21-15
        • 27818

        #38
        Guys who think live betting is long term just had a good run

        I challenge anyone to start a live bet only thread and make it work
        Comment
        • firedawg
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 10-08-08
          • 39219

          #39
          Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
          Guys who think live betting is long term just had a good run

          I challenge anyone to start a live bet only thread and make it work
          Agreed
          The vig is too much
          Comment
          • milwaukee mike
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-22-07
            • 26914

            #40
            Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
            Guys who think live betting is long term just had a good run

            I challenge anyone to start a live bet only thread and make it work
            why would anyone decent want to share their secrets?

            the simple fact that sportsbooks will impose limits and delays on live players means some people are winning
            Comment
            • RudyRuetigger
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 08-24-10
              • 65086

              #41
              live betting is like my sex life

              UP AND DOWN with many swings

              but in the end, it is hard as rock and you still only have the HOPE to get what you actually want
              Comment
              • milwaukee mike
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-22-07
                • 26914

                #42
                Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                live betting is like my sex life

                UP AND DOWN with many swings

                but in the end, it is hard as rock and you still only have the HOPE to get what you actually want
                live betting should be the opposite of your sex life

                stale is good in betting, not so much in sex
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388189

                  #43
                  It’s fun but that’s all
                  Comment
                  • RudyRuetigger
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 08-24-10
                    • 65086

                    #44
                    Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                    live betting should be the opposite of your sex life

                    stale is good in betting, not so much in sex
                    yea bro

                    when you move up to double digits your account will be banned

                    so stick with those $5 wagers
                    Comment
                    • milwaukee mike
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-22-07
                      • 26914

                      #45
                      Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                      yea bro

                      when you move up to double digits your account will be banned

                      so stick with those $5 wagers
                      can't afford $10 bets anyway

                      and betonline/others would freeroll you on live betting if you play that game
                      Comment
                      • PharaohUB
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-23-07
                        • 4865

                        #46
                        Tennis only one I ever found profitable. If you know players tendencies and have a feel for certain guys you can find some good value in live games. Getting harder though the younger players coming up seem to Be mentally tougher. Gravy train might be over in the next few years
                        Comment
                        • xKMACKx
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-16-08
                          • 1274

                          #47
                          Books offer live betting hoping people on tilt chase and blow their roll.
                          Comment
                          • jacharron17
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-22-19
                            • 261

                            #48
                            I love to live bet basketball totals. What I do is parse halftime stats, and then use Dean Oliver's possessions formula (Four Factors) to get a rough estimation of possessions. Then I use another resource for pace (Dunksandthrees), and I halve whatever the pace comes out as (I know it isn't a one-size fits all approach as pace changes throughout each interval of the game, but it is a fair approximation). I then look for anomalies such as teams that scored a lot more in the first half than expected (Betting line as a reference), while the pace was a lot less than expected. What this tells me is teams were lucky in their shooting, as to get a lot of points with fewer possessions you'd obviously need to be shooting hot, and teams aren't hot forever. I would be inclined to bet unders in these situations - perhaps if one team was blowing out another.
                            Last edited by jacharron17; 06-26-22, 08:07 PM. Reason: Elaborating
                            Comment
                            • trytrytry
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-13-06
                              • 23649

                              #49
                              Colorado AvalancheTampa Bay Lightning-200 3units- after 1st
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388189

                                #50
                                Jacks that seems complicated you must be a pro
                                Comment
                                • jacharron17
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-22-19
                                  • 261

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by jjgold
                                  Jacks that seems complicated you must be a pro
                                  Aha thanks, but I’m just a guy with lots of time on his hands. I wish I had the discipline to not bet and give some back in the off-season, lol.
                                  Comment
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