I will never understand this about gamblers

[RudyRuetigger]

Big shots

Know everything

Why not play 1 game per month, your absolute best


Well you can take 5 shots per month


If you start in January with $100 by your last game in December you will have over $230,000

take $500 for 5 tries at it

worst case scenario you lose $500





well I would try it, and did try it but drink too much and always just fukkin go with a 3 teamer within 2 days

You start right now in February and you will have over $100k

WHY NOT??

I will try again when I stop drinking

[RudyRuetigger]

most guys here laugh at $100 bets

so why not just fukkin set that aside?

[pimike]

Rudy stop drinking

[RudyRuetigger]

Rudy stop drinking

mike I have been on your side lately

you act like a big shot

maybe you are I do not know

why not stop trying to winning grocery money and free sbr trips?

[firedawg]

Go all in 5x
It’s the only way

[RudyRuetigger]

yea but if you hit 60%

it is hard to pick 5 out of 10 plays

better to pick 5 out of 10,000 plays

[Sam Odom]

mBR = Mini Bankroll

3 bets max... 100% mBR -- win -- 75% mBR -- win -- 50% mBR

start over

[RudyRuetigger]

instead we have posters betting in terms of UNITS

that is the problem

GUYS WITHOUT MODELS SHOULD NOT BET UNITS



smart guys with models laughed and said FUKKIN obviously bet anything with an edge

that's just flat out wrong for the majority

[RudyRuetigger]

by the way, I'm not even trolling

this is a great service I am offering

[Sam Odom]

Rudy relax

no one cares

[RudyRuetigger]

Rudy relax

no one cares

well if mike would follow my advice

he might afford his own vacation instead of using SBR for a free one

[arie1985]

There isn't any 5 best picks, I can't see it happening, you can never guess a random outcome accurately.

[A4K]

HMMMMMMM....gamble less and make more you say.....hmmmmm

[RudyRuetigger]

HMMMMMMM....gamble less and make more you say.....hmmmmm

many preach to bet more

including all sharps

[Sam Odom]

There isn't any 5 best picks, I can't see it happening, you can never guess a random outcome accurately.

thats the problem with 'Kelly' ... only a handful of posters can accurately calculate their advantage on a wager. Rest are guessing

[hotcross]

agree with everything said,

except units - although I do understand the point Rudy makes about units

Units can be relative to anyone's bankroll, whether a 10, 50, 100, 500, 1000 dollar bettor

in other words I use the units as a standardized measurement format

[jjgold]

spot bettors always the most successful

Less occurrences apply to about 90% of players if you want to win

[Sam Odom]

spot bettors always the most successful

jjgold is one of the best... spot bettor that is

[firedawg]

JJ is correct
It’s the only way to win

[pimike]

Rudy,

Please stop drinking.

I care pal.

[Cuse0323]

Action is most of the fun. Money is just a result of the real reason most of us gamble.

[RudyRuetigger]

set $500 for action

$500 for all in type plays once per month only and break them to 5 categories

BEST CHANCE YOU HAVE

[RudyRuetigger]

what do I know?

well I am living the good life at 12:53 pm on a Thursday while drinking millers

[Cuse0323]

set $500 for action

$500 for all in type plays once per month only and break them to 5 categories

BEST CHANCE YOU HAVE

Solid idea right there.

[firedawg]

Problem is discipline
I have NONE

[RudyRuetigger]

Solid idea right there.

I don't post bad ideas to exercise my fingers

if I post it

it is worth reading and thinking about

OK?

[Cuse0323]

I don't post bad ideas to exercise my fingers

if I post it

it is worth reading and thinking about

OK?

Gotcha.

[pimike]

what do I know?

well I am living the good life at 12:53 pm on a Thursday while drinking millers

Patience is the KEY to winning big money long term. Action junkies are like all junkies addicted losers.

If you add beer to he equation it will influence your patience. .

Just at least slow down your drinking bud.

This can work if you can be patient.

I think your a great guy otherwise. Willing to help you in anyway you need bro.

Cheers!

[RudyRuetigger]

If we could have SPONSORS, like AA

it would ensure many win 100k per year

I should come up with that idea

[RudyRuetigger]

Patience is the KEY to winning big money long term. Action junkies are like all junkies addicted losers.

If you add beer to he equation it will influence your patience. .

Just at least slow down your drinking bud.

This can work if you can be patient.

I think your a great guy otherwise. Willie ng to help you in anyway you need bro.

Cheers!

I'm not going to listen to a guy that uses his vacation at the grocery store to check in to sbr to get a free vacation

PASS

[jjgold]

Thank you all

[RudyRuetigger]

Thank you all

sorry wrong account

mods change this post to RUDYRUETIGGER

[stevenash]

yea but if you hit 60%

it is hard to pick 5 out of 10 plays

better to pick 5 out of 10,000 plays

MLB, spot play live 'dogs.

If you play 80 games during the course of the season, with 100 dollar flat bets, you only need to go 33 and 37 to turn a profit.
You would lose 3700 for the 37 losses.
You would collect 4125 dollara for the 33 wins.
That's net a profit of 425 dollars by losing 59 percent of your selections (33/80 = 41.25%) even though the implied odds of winning one game at +125 is 44.44%

*aside to Rudy, not trying to be a showoff here, not trying to prove anything to anybody, just wanted to add my insight.

[RudyRuetigger]

MLB, spot play live 'dogs.

If you play 80 games during the course of the season, with 100 dollar flat bets, you only need to go 33 and 37 to turn a profit.
You would lose 3700 for the 37 losses.
You would collect 4125 dollara for the 33 wins.
That's net a profit of 425 dollars by losing 59 percent of your selections (33/80 = 41.25%) even though the implied odds of winning one game at +125 is 44.44%

*aside to Rudy, not trying to be a showoff here, not trying to prove anything to anybody, just wanted to add my insight.

you provided nothing other than you like getting your iceberg lettuce paid for

[JohnGalt2341]

Best case scenario: Let's say I have 2 bags full of marbles. Bag #1 has 53 Blue marbles and 47 Red marbles. Bag #2 has 60 Blue marbles and 40 Red marbles. The Blue marbles will represent Wins and the Red marbles will represent losses. I could reach into Bag #2 five times per month and if I'm REALLY good I will pull out Blue marbles 3 times(Wins) and pull out Red marbles twice(losses). Or, I could reach into Bag #1 as often as possible and have a slight edge over the books and still reach into Bag #2 five times per month. I'm far better off reaching into both bags as often as I can as long as my data says that my expected value is positive. Knowing what kind of bag you are reaching into is the hardest part of the problem. Most guys reach into the bags with almost no idea of how many Blue and Red marbles are in the bag. I agree with some of your points however, I still believe that anything with a positive expected value should be played. For people that have no idea of their expected value it doesn't really matter what they do because they are likely going to lose in the long run anyway.