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1. what really is positive expected value but a wrong line that did not move???????

2. Originally Posted by JohnGalt2341
Best case scenario: Let's say I have 2 bags full of marbles. Bag #1 has 53 Blue marbles and 47 Red marbles. Bag #2 has 60 Blue marbles and 40 Red marbles. The Blue marbles will represent Wins and the Red marbles will represent losses. I could reach into Bag #2 five times per month and if I'm REALLY good I will pull out Blue marbles 3 times(Wins) and pull out Red marbles twice(losses). Or, I could reach into Bag #1 as often as possible and have a slight edge over the books and still reach into Bag #2 five times per month. I'm far better off reaching into both bags as often as I can as long as my data says that my expected value is positive. Knowing what kind of bag you are reaching into is the hardest part of the problem. Most guys reach into the bags with almost no idea of how many Blue and Red marbles are in the bag. I agree with some of your points however, I still believe that anything with a positive expected value should be played. For people that have no idea of their expected value it doesn't really matter what they do because they are likely going to lose in the long run anyway.
I swear this guy is bill nye the science guy.

3. Originally Posted by Clutchut12
I swear this guy is bill nye the science guy.
I agree

1. clueless

2. tries to argue points he heard from someone else but wants to apply them

4. Originally Posted by JohnGalt2341
Best case scenario: Let's say I have 2 bags full of marbles. Bag #1 has 53 Blue marbles and 47 Red marbles. Bag #2 has 60 Blue marbles and 40 Red marbles. The Blue marbles will represent Wins and the Red marbles will represent losses. I could reach into Bag #2 five times per month and if I'm REALLY good I will pull out Blue marbles 3 times(Wins) and pull out Red marbles twice(losses). Or, I could reach into Bag #1 as often as possible and have a slight edge over the books and still reach into Bag #2 five times per month. I'm far better off reaching into both bags as often as I can as long as my data says that my expected value is positive. Knowing what kind of bag you are reaching into is the hardest part of the problem. Most guys reach into the bags with almost no idea of how many Blue and Red marbles are in the bag. I agree with some of your points however, I still believe that anything with a positive expected value should be played. For people that have no idea of their expected value it doesn't really matter what they do because they are likely going to lose in the long run anyway.

you are as dumb as bricks

atleast most here realize they don't know math

whereas you get a D- and still raise your hand when the fukkin teacher asks to show your work on the board

5. Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger
I'm not going to listen to a guy that uses his vacation at the grocery store to check in to sbr to get a free vacation

PASS
You are directly disrespecting professional gambler here. Mike is where we all want to be. So what if he's smart/frugal with his money to stretch out his dollar. In this economy & the cost of living comparisons are brutal. I do the same !

6. Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk
You are directly disrespecting professional gambler here. Mike is where we all want to be. So what if he's smart/frugal with his money to stretch out his dollar. In this economy & the cost of living comparisons are brutal. I do the same !
speak for yourself

not many want to be 60 years old, broke, single and lives for the sbr bash

if that is you, ok cool

7. Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger
speak for yourself

not many want to be 60 years old, broke, single and lives for the sbr bash

if that is you, ok cool

Let Mike tell us how his situation really is. I am led to believe he is NOT broke, gambles sensible as you mention in this thread as a key factor for success & lives a "comfortable" life. Mikes been posting profits on here with his picks since inception of SBR. I think your assessment on him is largely false.

8. Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk
Let Mike tell us how his situation really is. I am led to believe he is NOT broke, gambles sensible as you mention in this thread as a key factor for success & lives a "comfortable" life. Mikes been posting profits on here with his picks since inception of SBR. I think your assessment on him is largely false.
at no point do I say that

you are a fukkin dumbass bro

10. Originally Posted by jtoler
that might be true

11. Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger
Big shots

Know everything

Why not play 1 game per month, your absolute best

Well you can take 5 shots per month

If you start in January with \$100 by your last game in December you will have over \$230,000

take \$500 for 5 tries at it

worst case scenario you lose \$500

well I would try it, and did try it but drink too much and always just fukkin go with a 3 teamer within 2 days

You start right now in February and you will have over \$100k

WHY NOT??

I will try again when I stop drinking
Chosen in accordance with wisdom or prudence; likely to be of benefit: I guess I misinterpreted you & gave you way too much credit. So you revert to name calling how lame.

12. Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger
that might be true

and what does this riddle mean Budy.

13. Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk
Chosen in accordance with wisdom or prudence; likely to be of benefit: I guess I misinterpreted you & gave you way too much credit. So you revert to name calling how lame.
the guy that failed as a fukkin electrician wants to give me advice

as they say

ONLY ON SBR

14. Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger
the guy that failed as a fukkin electrician wants to give me advice

as they say

ONLY ON SBR
There's no reasoning with a drunk off the wagon internet attention whore. Failed Electrician ? That's a source of income for me other than gambling. After your idiotic rebuttal of this post. You're on my ignore list, I gave you a chance to be normal. You are not !

15. Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk
There's no reasoning with a drunk off the wagon internet attention whore. Failed Electrician ? That's a source of income for me other than gambling. After your idiotic rebuttal of this post. You're on my ignore list, I gave you a chance to be normal. You are not !
you have admitted you lost in gambling

truth hurts

I know

16. this brings up another point

many guys want to block me

well, the truth hurts

sbr should hire me as a COUNSELOR

you can pay drinking guy 1k per month

17. Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger
you have admitted you lost in gambling

truth hurts

I know
I feel like I could kill you. If given the right opportunity & moment. Now go ahead & be a bitch made mama's boy & complain to SBR about my death threat.

18. Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk
There's no reasoning with a drunk off the wagon internet attention whore. Failed Electrician ? That's a source of income for me other than gambling. After your idiotic rebuttal of this post. You're on my ignore list, I gave you a chance to be normal. You are not !
Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk
I feel like I could kill you. If given the right opportunity & moment. Now go ahead & be a bitch made mama's boy & complain to SBR about my death threat.
wow

things escalated quickly

19. Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger
this brings up another point

many guys want to block me

well, the truth hurts

sbr should hire me as a COUNSELOR

you can pay drinking guy 1k per month
Your version of "my truths" are a whole other life story brought on by your imagination & daily drinking benders.

20. Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk
Your version of "my truths" are a whole other life story brought on by your imagination & daily drinking benders.
let me know where I went wrong

hopefully you know the difference between opinions and facts

21. This thread is motivated me. I'll do that but 1 play a day for 5 days, \$100 bet to win \$3200....

22. Originally Posted by kaliboyz
This thread is motivated me. I'll do that but 1 play a day for 5 days, \$100 bet to win \$3200....
not a long enough span

you will give in

plus your first bet will not matter if its 5 fukkin days

23. How about 1 a week?

24. don't be a cukkold like those that go to bashes

you do you, and if you prove me wrong...great job bro

you will not be back to say damn, I should've done 1 play per month after you lose though
Points Awarded:
 kaliboyz gave RudyRuetigger 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

25. gamblers have old cars, no money and no chicks

26. I like you since day one! Very straight forward and helpful..thanks

27. Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger
you provided nothing other than you like getting your iceberg lettuce paid for
Tough crowd, you left out the bestr part though, I won back to back MVP's and Shaq is still pouting he got ripped off.

28. Originally Posted by stevenash
Tough crowd, you left out the bestr part though, I won back to back MVP's and Shaq is still pouting he got ripped off.
I don't know you or shaq

29. Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger
I don't know you or shaq
Those Miller's still going down smooth?

30. nash you are pretty smart

you leave openings for me to make jokes so I take them

that's all

ok?

we drink buds, rudy has millers

31. Of course this would be smart.

To take a step further divide by 5 whatever you were planning on losing in a year and then do this.

Guys need action is why this doesn't happen

32. Originally Posted by thetrinity
Of course this would be smart.

To take a step further divide by 5 whatever you were planning on losing in a year and then do this.

Guys need action is why this doesn't happen
I thought \$500 would be divided by 5

I didn't account for fukks working at mcdonalds though, you are right

33. Originally Posted by RudyRuetigger
nash you are pretty smart

you leave openings for me to make jokes so I take them

that's all

ok?

we drink buds, rudy has millers
Just like to keep the line moving.

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