[jjgold]

what really is positive expected value but a wrong line that did not move???????

[Clutchut12]

Best case scenario: Let's say I have 2 bags full of marbles. Bag #1 has 53 Blue marbles and 47 Red marbles. Bag #2 has 60 Blue marbles and 40 Red marbles. The Blue marbles will represent Wins and the Red marbles will represent losses. I could reach into Bag #2 five times per month and if I'm REALLY good I will pull out Blue marbles 3 times(Wins) and pull out Red marbles twice(losses). Or, I could reach into Bag #1 as often as possible and have a slight edge over the books and still reach into Bag #2 five times per month. I'm far better off reaching into both bags as often as I can as long as my data says that my expected value is positive. Knowing what kind of bag you are reaching into is the hardest part of the problem. Most guys reach into the bags with almost no idea of how many Blue and Red marbles are in the bag. I agree with some of your points however, I still believe that anything with a positive expected value should be played. For people that have no idea of their expected value it doesn't really matter what they do because they are likely going to lose in the long run anyway.

I swear this guy is bill nye the science guy.

[RudyRuetigger]

I swear this guy is bill nye the science guy.

I agree

1. clueless

2. tries to argue points he heard from someone else but wants to apply them

[RudyRuetigger]

Best case scenario: Let's say I have 2 bags full of marbles. Bag #1 has 53 Blue marbles and 47 Red marbles. Bag #2 has 60 Blue marbles and 40 Red marbles. The Blue marbles will represent Wins and the Red marbles will represent losses. I could reach into Bag #2 five times per month and if I'm REALLY good I will pull out Blue marbles 3 times(Wins) and pull out Red marbles twice(losses). Or, I could reach into Bag #1 as often as possible and have a slight edge over the books and still reach into Bag #2 five times per month. I'm far better off reaching into both bags as often as I can as long as my data says that my expected value is positive. Knowing what kind of bag you are reaching into is the hardest part of the problem. Most guys reach into the bags with almost no idea of how many Blue and Red marbles are in the bag. I agree with some of your points however, I still believe that anything with a positive expected value should be played. For people that have no idea of their expected value it doesn't really matter what they do because they are likely going to lose in the long run anyway.

how about I made your thread look like a fukkin 4th grader question with the boy/girl paradox

you are as dumb as bricks

atleast most here realize they don't know math

whereas you get a D- and still raise your hand when the fukkin teacher asks to show your work on the board

[BeatTheJerk]

I'm not going to listen to a guy that uses his vacation at the grocery store to check in to sbr to get a free vacation

PASS

You are directly disrespecting professional gambler here. Mike is where we all want to be. So what if he's smart/frugal with his money to stretch out his dollar. In this economy & the cost of living comparisons are brutal. I do the same !

[RudyRuetigger]

You are directly disrespecting professional gambler here. Mike is where we all want to be. So what if he's smart/frugal with his money to stretch out his dollar. In this economy & the cost of living comparisons are brutal. I do the same !

speak for yourself

not many want to be 60 years old, broke, single and lives for the sbr bash

if that is you, ok cool

[BeatTheJerk]

speak for yourself

not many want to be 60 years old, broke, single and lives for the sbr bash

if that is you, ok cool

Let Mike tell us how his situation really is. I am led to believe he is NOT broke, gambles sensible as you mention in this thread as a key factor for success & lives a "comfortable" life. Mikes been posting profits on here with his picks since inception of SBR. I think your assessment on him is largely false.

[RudyRuetigger]

Let Mike tell us how his situation really is. I am led to believe he is NOT broke, gambles sensible as you mention in this thread as a key factor for success & lives a "comfortable" life. Mikes been posting profits on here with his picks since inception of SBR. I think your assessment on him is largely false.

at no point do I say that

you are a fukkin dumbass bro

[jtoler]

Budy doesnt follow his own advice.

[RudyRuetigger]

Budy doesnt follow his own advice.

that might be true

but your fukkin fingers cant even follow your brain

[BeatTheJerk]

Big shots

Know everything

Why not play 1 game per month, your absolute best




Well you can take 5 shots per month


If you start in January with $100 by your last game in December you will have over $230,000

take $500 for 5 tries at it

worst case scenario you lose $500





well I would try it, and did try it but drink too much and always just fukkin go with a 3 teamer within 2 days

You start right now in February and you will have over $100k

WHY NOT??

I will try again when I stop drinking

Chosen in accordance with wisdom or prudence; likely to be of benefit: I guess I misinterpreted you & gave you way too much credit. So you revert to name calling how lame.

[jtoler]

that might be true

but your fukkin fingers cant even follow your brain

and what does this riddle mean Budy.

[RudyRuetigger]

Chosen in accordance with wisdom or prudence; likely to be of benefit: I guess I misinterpreted you & gave you way too much credit. So you revert to name calling how lame.

the guy that failed as a fukkin electrician wants to give me advice

as they say

ONLY ON SBR

[BeatTheJerk]

the guy that failed as a fukkin electrician wants to give me advice

as they say

ONLY ON SBR

There's no reasoning with a drunk off the wagon internet attention whore. Failed Electrician ? That's a source of income for me other than gambling. After your idiotic rebuttal of this post. You're on my ignore list, I gave you a chance to be normal. You are not !

[RudyRuetigger]

There's no reasoning with a drunk off the wagon internet attention whore. Failed Electrician ? That's a source of income for me other than gambling. After your idiotic rebuttal of this post. You're on my ignore list, I gave you a chance to be normal. You are not !

you have admitted you lost in gambling

you admitted you had to quit your job and now have nothing

truth hurts

I know

[RudyRuetigger]

this brings up another point

many guys want to block me

well, the truth hurts


sbr should hire me as a COUNSELOR

you can pay drinking guy 1k per month

[BeatTheJerk]

you have admitted you lost in gambling

you admitted you had to quit your job and now have nothing

truth hurts

I know

I feel like I could kill you. If given the right opportunity & moment. Now go ahead & be a bitch made mama's boy & complain to SBR about my death threat.

[RudyRuetigger]

There's no reasoning with a drunk off the wagon internet attention whore. Failed Electrician ? That's a source of income for me other than gambling. After your idiotic rebuttal of this post. You're on my ignore list, I gave you a chance to be normal. You are not !

I feel like I could kill you. If given the right opportunity & moment. Now go ahead & be a bitch made mama's boy & complain to SBR about my death threat.

wow

things escalated quickly

[BeatTheJerk]

this brings up another point

many guys want to block me

well, the truth hurts


sbr should hire me as a COUNSELOR

you can pay drinking guy 1k per month

Your version of "my truths" are a whole other life story brought on by your imagination & daily drinking benders.

[RudyRuetigger]

Your version of "my truths" are a whole other life story brought on by your imagination & daily drinking benders.

let me know where I went wrong

hopefully you know the difference between opinions and facts


so please don't continue your usual drivel

[kaliboyz]

This thread is motivated me. I'll do that but 1 play a day for 5 days, $100 bet to win $3200....

[RudyRuetigger]

This thread is motivated me. I'll do that but 1 play a day for 5 days, $100 bet to win $3200....

not a long enough span

you will give in

plus your first bet will not matter if its 5 fukkin days

[kaliboyz]

How about 1 a week?

[RudyRuetigger]

don't be a cukkold like those that go to bashes

you do you, and if you prove me wrong...great job bro

if you want to piss away your money, go ahead

you will not be back to say damn, I should've done 1 play per month after you lose though

[jjgold]

gamblers have old cars, no money and no chicks

[kaliboyz]

I like you since day one! Very straight forward and helpful..thanks

[stevenash]

you provided nothing other than you like getting your iceberg lettuce paid for

Tough crowd, you left out the bestr part though, I won back to back MVP's and Shaq is still pouting he got ripped off.

[RudyRuetigger]

Tough crowd, you left out the bestr part though, I won back to back MVP's and Shaq is still pouting he got ripped off.

I don't know you or shaq

[stevenash]

I don't know you or shaq

Those Miller's still going down smooth?

[RudyRuetigger]

nash you are pretty smart

you leave openings for me to make jokes so I take them

that's all

ok?


we drink buds, rudy has millers

[thetrinity]

Of course this would be smart.

To take a step further divide by 5 whatever you were planning on losing in a year and then do this.

Guys need action is why this doesn't happen

[RudyRuetigger]

Of course this would be smart.

To take a step further divide by 5 whatever you were planning on losing in a year and then do this.

Guys need action is why this doesn't happen

I thought $500 would be divided by 5

I didn't account for fukks working at mcdonalds though, you are right

[stevenash]

nash you are pretty smart

you leave openings for me to make jokes so I take them

that's all

ok?


we drink buds, rudy has millers

Just like to keep the line moving.