TIP : If a line seems 'Off' and looks too Easy

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  • Sam Odom
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-30-05
    • 58063

    #36
    good thread , boys
    Comment
    • Da Manster!
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 07-13-07
      • 17720

      #37
      Originally posted by Thor4140
      i can't believe there are still idiots in my lifetime that still believe this crock of shit. Good lord
      you are the one who is clueless and the idiot...any bookie will tell you this...it's a fact...accept it...you'll sleep better...as a matter of fact, several years ago, ESPN did a special on how Vegas bookmakers set their lines and this was the common theme...why do you think the number moves up or down you dumbass?...
      Comment
      • JIBBBY
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-10-09
        • 83691

        #38
        Originally posted by Da Manster!
        wrong again, Sammy...it's a theory that's older than the semen stains in your boxer shorts...first of all, that is not a tip...secondly, it's called being contrarian...i.e. fading the public....but most importantly...it's a 50/50 proposition in the long run...no empirical data or concrete evidence to support it one way or the other...especially in today's internet age of advance computer models, algorithms, and the plethora of information available at our disposal...Vegas puts out a number to get equal action on both sides...you either take the points or you lay them...simple as that...I can't figure out why idiots on this forum have a hard time grasping this concept...they eventually make out in the long run because of the vig and/or juice...good luck, god bless, and Happy New Year!...
        Sharp post.. Always gotta play the numbers, streaks, trends, match up comparisons, who's hot and who's not, etc. Can't go by feel, trap, or anything that seems mystical or you will lose over time.....

        Although Sunday late games, Holiday late games, and sometimes even nationally televised late games I often like to take the dog, only in those rare situations will I go against normal capping logic and reason if I must bet.... It seems to work out more often then not, and even on the ML too....

        Teams rebounding after an embarrassing loss theory can sometimes work too.. That works outside of normal capping logic..
        Last edited by JIBBBY; 12-30-17, 12:49 AM.
        Comment
        • Thor4140
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-09-08
          • 22296

          #39
          Originally posted by Da Manster!
          you are the one who is clueless and the idiot...any bookie will tell you this...it's a fact...accept it...you'll sleep better...as a matter of fact, several years ago, ESPN did a special on how Vegas bookmakers set their lines and this was the common theme...why do you think the number moves up or down you dumbass?...
          of course it its cause they are all full of shit and u are to dumb to realize it. Do u know how hard it would be to try and get equal action on both sides with teasars, parlays, reverses u fuking idiot. It is impossible. i would believe a politician before i believed a bookmaker. Wow just wow. Oh and when JIbby calls a post sharp it verifies that u are an idiot lol.
          Comment
          • ChuckyTheGoat
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-04-11
            • 36762

            #40
            Manster adds nothing here.

            Niner/Ram game a huge litmus test.
            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
            Comment
            • Da Manster!
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-13-07
              • 17720

              #41
              Originally posted by Thor4140
              of course it its cause they are all full of shit and u are to dumb to realize it. Do u know how hard it would be to try and get equal action on both sides with teasars, parlays, reverses u fuking idiot. It is impossible. i would believe a politician before i believed a bookmaker. Wow just wow. Oh and when JIbby calls a post sharp it verifies that u are an idiot lol.

              hey dumbass....it's the gamblers themselves (sharps, squares, public, etc) that determine line movement...the number is an arbitrary one put forth by books and vegas alike and then it gets adjusted accordingly by the amount of money being wagered on either side...you are exactly whats wrong with SBR...you have your head up your ass and no fukkin' clue what you are talking about.
              Comment
              • Da Manster!
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-13-07
                • 17720

                #42
                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                Manster adds nothing here.

                Niner/Ram game a huge litmus test.
                I spoke the truth you bloody wanker...Niner/Ram game don't mean jack shit...Rams are sitting their starters...that is why the line jumped 7.5 pts from San Fran (+4) to San Fran (-3.5)...it's not a litmus test...basically just another glorified preseason game with no meaning.
                Comment
                • Sam Odom
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-30-05
                  • 58063

                  #43
                  Da

                  relax

                  and... Happy New Years
                  Comment
                  • Da Manster!
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-13-07
                    • 17720

                    #44
                    Originally posted by Sam Odom
                    Da

                    relax

                    and... Happy New Years
                    Sammy...I love you, man...no homo...Happy New Years!...
                    Comment
                    • Fidel_CashFlow
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-03-12
                      • 53970

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Da Manster!
                      wrong again, Sammy...it's a theory that's older than the semen stains in your boxer shorts...first of all, that is not a tip...secondly, it's called being contrarian...i.e. fading the public....but most importantly...it's a 50/50 proposition in the long run...no empirical data or concrete evidence to support it one way or the other...especially in today's internet age of advance computer models, algorithms, and the plethora of information available at our disposal...Vegas puts out a number to get equal action on both sides...you either take the points or you lay them...simple as that...I can't figure out why idiots on this forum have a hard time grasping this concept...they eventually make out in the long run because of the vig and/or juice...good luck, god bless, and Happy New Year!...
                      Originally posted by Thor4140

                      i can't believe there are still idiots in my lifetime that still believe this crock of shit. Good lord
                      lmfao at Thor on this one
                      Dude, Manster is dead fukking on and your comment back to him
                      is what makes this instant gold . Like he is the dummy or the one not in the know
                      Manster

                      Thor ..... this is not a myth for fukk sake , I was offered a job AS ONE OF THESE LINESMAKERS in Vegas
                      MY ONLY JOB was to sit in a room surrounded by other LINESMAKERS and SET LINES
                      what was our goal in the THINK TANK ? One thing and one thing only
                      To set a line so that it will provide the best chance at equal money coming in from both sides

                      Get it ... as a LINESMAKER , that was the only goal . Nothing more , nothing less
                      Manster hit it square on the head
                      Comment
                      • Da Manster!
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-13-07
                        • 17720

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                        lmfao at Thor on this one
                        Dude, Manster is dead fukking on and your comment back to him
                        is what makes this instant gold . Like he is the dummy or the one not in the know
                        Manster

                        Thor ..... this is not a myth for fukk sake , I was offered a job AS ONE OF THESE LINESMAKERS in Vegas
                        MY ONLY JOB was to sit in a room surrounded by other LINESMAKERS and SET LINES
                        what was our goal in the THINK TANK ? One thing and one thing only
                        To set a line so that it will provide the best chance at equal money coming in from both sides

                        Get it ... as a LINESMAKER , that was the only goal . Nothing more , nothing less
                        Manster hit it square on the head
                        Clint, you can't argue with stupid...it's the very reason why I hardly post any more aside from my picks thread...too many dumb fuks like Thor on this forum that couldn't tell you the difference between apple butter and jar of shit...but SBR should copy, paste, and bronze your response for any future reference on this subject!..well said my friend.
                        Comment
                        • RudyRuetigger
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 08-24-10
                          • 65086

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                          lmfao at Thor on this one
                          Dude, Manster is dead fukking on and your comment back to him
                          is what makes this instant gold . Like he is the dummy or the one not in the know
                          Manster

                          Thor ..... this is not a myth for fukk sake , I was offered a job AS ONE OF THESE LINESMAKERS in Vegas
                          MY ONLY JOB was to sit in a room surrounded by other LINESMAKERS and SET LINES
                          what was our goal in the THINK TANK ? One thing and one thing only
                          To set a line so that it will provide the best chance at equal money coming in from both sides

                          Get it ... as a LINESMAKER , that was the only goal . Nothing more , nothing less
                          Manster hit it square on the head
                          guy trying to act mighty BIGLY

                          the linesmakers in vegas have easiest jobs in the world

                          COPY/PASTE offshore books
                          Comment
                          • Fidel_CashFlow
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-03-12
                            • 53970

                            #48
                            Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                            guy trying to act mighty BIGLY

                            the linesmakers in vegas have easiest jobs in the world

                            COPY/PASTE offshore books
                            Glanced at my post above and all I say was someone stating facts throughout

                            kinda like my 4-0 day in nfl (if San Fran holds up)

                            just facts , facts cannot be manipulated by human emotions or bias

                            Comment
                            • Sam Odom
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-30-05
                              • 58063

                              #49
                              Originally posted by No coincidences


                              Used to be true.


                              Still True...

                              Doing it 1.5 yrs later
                              Comment
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