Why are the patriots -5 on thursday?

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  • krk1030
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-13-08
    • 17610

    #1
    Why are the patriots -5 on thursday?
    If this was generic team A, this would be a PK.

    People betting logos here boys.

    Pats defense is an absolute train wreck. Bellicheck and company will fix it but not on a short week going to tampa against an explosive offense.
  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94368

    #2
    TB ml might be my biggest play all season.
    Comment
    • krk1030
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-13-08
      • 17610

      #3
      Originally posted by lakerboy
      TB ml might be my biggest play all season.
      same

      usually just take points but tampa wins this game.
      Comment
      • jtoler
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-17-13
        • 30967

        #4
        Right, why is it -5 when it should be no more than -3.
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94368

          #5
          Originally posted by jtoler
          Right, why is it -5 when it should be no more than -3.
          Cause everyone will take the pats cause they can't lose 2 in a row. This might be the year when the books get all of there ne money back.
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          • jtoler
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-17-13
            • 30967

            #6
            Originally posted by lakerboy
            Cause everyone will take the pats cause they can't lose 2 in a row. This might be the year when the books get all of there ne money back.
            Yea I think this is the year. I would have made it -4 myself instead of -5 and watch it get bet closer to 7, more money on Pats that way, closer to game time it will come back down some, but opening at -5 it may not move towards Pats much.
            Comment
            • brooks85
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-05-09
              • 44709

              #7
              has anyone looked at the o/u record for pats, it's been great.
              Comment
              • Harry N. Lloyd
                SBR MVP
                • 03-26-08
                • 4810

                #8
                New England is 36-13 ATS after a loss going all the way back to 2003. That's 75%, boyz. Fade 'em in this situation at your own risk.
                Comment
                • A4K
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-08-12
                  • 5243

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
                  New England is 36-13 ATS after a loss going all the way back to 2003. That's 75%, boyz. Fade 'em in this situation at your own risk.
                  Comment
                  • jtoler
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-17-13
                    • 30967

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
                    New England is 36-13 ATS after a loss going all the way back to 2003. That's 75%, boyz. Fade 'em in this situation at your own risk.
                    What about in the last 2 or 3 years and what about on the road in those last 2 or 3 years. I just dont factor trends going back that far different team and times, sure Brady is still great but he's older also. Pats are 1-3 ats so far this year.
                    Comment
                    • tony_come
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-31-10
                      • 21695

                      #11
                      whos the qb for pats?
                      Comment
                      • A4K
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-08-12
                        • 5243

                        #12
                        Originally posted by tony_come
                        whos the qb for pats?
                        Thomas Brady
                        Comment
                        • tony_come
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-31-10
                          • 21695

                          #13
                          Originally posted by A4K
                          Thomas Brady
                          do we trust thomas?
                          Comment
                          • A4K
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-08-12
                            • 5243

                            #14
                            Originally posted by tony_come
                            do we trust thomas?
                            He's old as Moses in NFL terms
                            Comment
                            • krk1030
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-13-08
                              • 17610

                              #15
                              Thomas played great at home on sunday and they still lost.

                              pats will score, but tampa will score more.
                              Comment
                              • LT Profits
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-27-06
                                • 90963

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
                                New England is 36-13 ATS after a loss going all the way back to 2003. That's 75%, boyz. Fade 'em in this situation at your own risk.
                                Means nothing because their defense has never been this bad all those years.
                                Comment
                                • paco
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-07-09
                                  • 62873

                                  #17
                                  Will close probably 6, everyone will have em in all teasers. And Pat's will likely lose straight up
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388189

                                    #18
                                    Tampa huge
                                    Comment
                                    • WWCD
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-22-13
                                      • 1957

                                      #19
                                      I liked Tampa Bay as soon as I saw the number. That makes me worry.

                                      For what it's worth, TB 0-4 in TNF.
                                      Comment
                                      • MalikHusam
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-07-16
                                        • 2662

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                        Means nothing because their defense has never been this bad all those years.
                                        It was, in 2014 I think
                                        Comment
                                        • shocka1212
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-06-12
                                          • 16788

                                          #21
                                          they covered at NO... they'll probably cover this off a deflection or two (last night still has me salty)
                                          Comment
                                          • DOM_Toretto
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 01-28-13
                                            • 9035

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Harry N. Lloyd
                                            New England is 36-13 ATS after a loss going all the way back to 2003. That's 75%, boyz. Fade 'em in this situation at your own risk.
                                            Yeah well Pats were also something like 14-2 ATS last season. Last year they had an elite defense, this year they have the worst defense.

                                            Bucs SU
                                            Comment
                                            • krk1030
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-13-08
                                              • 17610

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by shocka1212
                                              they covered at NO... they'll probably cover this off a deflection or two (last night still has me salty)

                                              Tampa is much better than NO.
                                              Comment
                                              • JayDr3am
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 05-06-14
                                                • 18260

                                                #24
                                                Last time Pats were on the road at saints the line did some funky shit as well. opened -4.5 and ended ended -7. probably similar movement here as well
                                                Comment
                                                • JayDr3am
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 05-06-14
                                                  • 18260

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by shocka1212
                                                  they covered at NO... they'll probably cover this off a deflection or two (last night still has me salty)
                                                  lol man i dont know what i would have done if i was the opposite side of that. still cant believe it
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sweep
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-09-10
                                                    • 16753

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by krk1030
                                                    If this was generic team A, this would be a PK.

                                                    People betting logos here boys.

                                                    Pats defense is an absolute train wreck. Bellicheck and company will fix it but not on a short week going to tampa against an explosive offense.

                                                    how about a hundy for charity you broke roosterlicker
                                                    Comment
                                                    • biggie12
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-30-05
                                                      • 13784

                                                      #27
                                                      <------- have new england at -4 on the open for a large amount.

                                                      SQUARED UP! i also lost about 12k last sunday so what the fukk do i know.

                                                      I highly doubt the number will be pushed up to -6
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Goat Milk
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 03-24-10
                                                        • 25850

                                                        #28
                                                        Risky either way

                                                        Tampa bay defense is hurting right now, Gerald Mccoy is banged up, not 100%, and their best two linebackers David and I think Alexander? forgot his name...are out. Their CBs are atrocious. Safety play sucks. Who's gonna cover Gronk? Cooks? I don't see a pass rush getting to Brady in this game.

                                                        Tampa has some good weapons but we are talking about Winston at the end of the day. Never put your life savings on an avg qb.
                                                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                        Comment
                                                        • grease lightnin
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-01-12
                                                          • 16015

                                                          #29
                                                          Over is the play on this one, imo
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Harry N. Lloyd
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-26-08
                                                            • 4810

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                            Means nothing because their defense has never been this bad all those years.
                                                            Come on, LT. Regression to the mean. You gotta know they won't keep this up. Look for a better effort, more man to man coverage. Gilmore is too dumb to know his role in a zone.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jjgold
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 07-20-05
                                                              • 388189

                                                              #31
                                                              Pats look too easy

                                                              They have many faults
                                                              Comment
                                                              • paco
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-07-09
                                                                • 62873

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                                Risky either way

                                                                Tampa bay defense is hurting right now, Gerald Mccoy is banged up, not 100%, and their best two linebackers David and I think Alexander? forgot his name...are out. Their CBs are atrocious. Safety play sucks. Who's gonna cover Gronk? Cooks? I don't see a pass rush getting to Brady in this game.

                                                                Tampa has some good weapons but we are talking about Winston at the end of the day. Never put your life savings on an avg qb.
                                                                Who's gonna cover Evans?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Demonata
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 07-12-11
                                                                  • 25829

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I wont take winston over tom brady. Patriots play fine on the road.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Rich Boy
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-01-09
                                                                    • 9713

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Just take Pats OVERs every game and watch them throw up a TD and then their D give it back in a couple minutes.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • krk1030
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-13-08
                                                                      • 17610

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by paco
                                                                      Who's gonna cover Evans?
                                                                      With the way the patriots are playing either nobody will be on him or 3 guys will mistakenly be on him with everyone else open.
                                                                      Comment
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