7-5 on plays I posted as picks, I like Buffalo at +3, the line is +2.5 but you can buy to 3 at -120. Denver was strong at home in the first 2 games, but against teams with very mediocre defenses. The Chargers defense has struggled and the Cowboys secondary with Scandrick out has been below average with Carroll struggling. Denver has always had a strong home advantage, and the home advantage is stronger early in the year when the altitude can tire teams out. The Bills front 7 is strong with Dareus and Hughes, and the Bills defense kept the teams in the game on the road against Carolina with the offense doing nothing the entire first half. The Bills secondary is solid as well with Hyde and White has been good. Denver's new offensive line is still very average, and the Bills have been much better at home over the last several years. This is a must win game for Buffalo, and Denver has Oakland coming up.