1. 07-12-17 04:42 PM #1
    thomorino
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    Rybarikova v. Muguruza - Pick and Write-Up

    I like Rybarikova at +4. Muguruza has been playing well, but Kerber wasn't in top form and Kuzetnesova at age 32 is not an elite player anymore. Rybarikova beat the tournament favorite, Pliskova, and also dominated vandeweghe. Rybarikova is a defensive player who is 18-1 her last 19 grass matches, and if she gets an aggresive player Muguruza into longer points I think she will struggle to be consistent.
    Last edited by thomorino; 07-12-17 at 04:46 PM.
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  2. 07-12-17 07:14 PM #2
    bondi_slacker
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    I like it the other way. Rybarikova has done a great tournament but I think she reached her limit. She's 18-1 in her last 19 grass matches, but have won 10 of those 18 in two meaningles challengers. The rankings of the players in those 10 matches were 113, 187, 75, 62, 111, 366, 54, 98, 78 and 130. Not good enough for me to beat Muguruza ranked at 6, and showing her real power when she beat Kerber.
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  3. 07-12-17 07:16 PM #3
    jjgold
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    Mugsy lots of big tourney experience

    Mugsy the play
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  4. 07-12-17 07:30 PM #4
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by bondi_slacker View Post
    I like it the other way. Rybarikova has done a great tournament but I think she reached her limit. She's 18-1 in her last 19 grass matches, but have won 10 of those 18 in two meaningles challengers. The rankings of the players in those 10 matches were 113, 187, 75, 62, 111, 366, 54, 98, 78 and 130. Not good enough for me to beat Muguruza ranked at 6, and showing her real power when she beat Kerber.
    She beat Pliskova who was the favorite to win the tournament - if that is her ceiling she should certainly have a shot to beat Muguruza - Kerber hasn't played well for a while.
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  5. 07-12-17 07:51 PM #5
    jjgold
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    Pliskova a big choke


    She loses to everyone
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  6. 07-12-17 08:06 PM #6
    thomorino
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Pliskova a big choke

    She loses to everyone
    I wouldn't call Murgruza clutch - she's been to the final round twice in 16 majors and won 1 major in 5 years.
    Last edited by thomorino; 07-12-17 at 08:34 PM.
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  7. 07-12-17 08:48 PM #7
    Tboonepickem
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    Over is the play, it's written all over the wall. Rybarikova has been steamrolling out there, side really could go either way
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  8. 07-12-17 09:28 PM #8
    Plaza23
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    H2H it is 2-2 and Rybarikova smoked her in 2015 at Wimbledon 6-1 6-3.

    +4 seems to obvious of play. Not sure why Mugs is a -250 favorite
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  9. 07-12-17 09:43 PM #9
    thomorino
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    Plaza I think if you look at players who aren't ranked very high that go on big runs they tend to be undervalued -look at Ostapenko at the French Open - Murguruza is the big name
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  10. 07-12-17 11:32 PM #10
    Plaza23
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    Quote Originally Posted by thomorino View Post
    Plaza I think if you look at players who aren't ranked very high that go on big runs they tend to be undervalued -look at Ostapenko at the French Open - Murguruza is the big name
    Mugs was -455 vs Rybar when she lost to her in 2015 too. If it's happened before, it can happen again. And Rybar is 35-5 this year. She's playing the best she's ever played in her career.
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  11. 07-12-17 11:35 PM #11
    Darkside Magick
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    MuGu -4.5 (104)
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  12. 07-12-17 11:58 PM #12
    El Nino
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    Pliskova beat herself in that match. Tons of unforced errors. Missed an overhead smash that would have all but sealed the third set. Mugu takes this one.
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  13. 07-13-17 01:58 AM #13
    juicername
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    Good points in both of the first two posts of the thread. I'm staying away!
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  14. 07-13-17 02:42 AM #14
    MiDNiTe
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    Earlier round mugs might of been upset but I think kerber was perfect match for mugs to set her up for kuz and Magdalena, magdalena serve not good enough for the big matches
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  15. 07-13-17 03:30 AM #15
    gorwin068
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    Don't think Muguruza will choke at this stage at all...if this is a first round match, it could happen...

    But that's a grand slam semi-final for     Muguruza, I can't see how Rybarikova can still pull another huge upset
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  16. 07-13-17 05:13 AM #16
    jjgold
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    What is funny is that nobody knows how anyone will play on a given day


    When bet wins we guessed right
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  17. 07-13-17 06:46 AM #17
    Igor_1965
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    You can only back Muguruza here if you think she is a level above Coco and Karolina in terms of character. Can she grind it out?

    If uncertain, just bet the dog or stay away. Rybarikova is having the tournament of her life and is injury free on her favorite, most successful surface.
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  18. 07-13-17 07:05 AM #18
    killawookie
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    Hard to sift through the degen point of views and those who actually keep up with the sports. Guess if you bet for action that it makes you a subject expert. This game is clearly a coin flip because neither side is consistent. Value says that take the +points or +money in a coin flip situation. Just wait for venus a little later
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  19. 07-13-17 07:12 AM #19
    MiDNiTe
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    Mugs is getting better each match and has won a gs, Magdalena has choked in big matches before when it's super tight, this is the biggest match of her life, mugs 2-0 or live bet if she's behind, Magdalena chances of winning this so so small, watched the f.o match where Magdalena nearly won that so many times but kept choking at the end then remembered all the times she has choked
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  20. 07-13-17 07:22 AM #20
    gorwin068
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    Muguruza is ripping Rybarikova
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  21. 07-13-17 07:23 AM #21
    w@lt
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    How the fuk did this chick beat Coco? Looks weak AF.
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  22. 07-13-17 07:26 AM #22
    MiDNiTe
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    Yeah her serve gets even worse if it's a tight match at the end
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  23. 07-13-17 07:29 AM #23
    gorwin068
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    Quote Originally Posted by w@lt View Post
    How the fuk did this chick beat Coco? Looks weak AF.
    She also beat the potential no.1 Pliskova
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  24. 07-13-17 07:34 AM #24
    MiDNiTe
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    Maybe a bagel
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  25. 07-13-17 07:48 AM #25
    MiDNiTe
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    What a beat down
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  26. 07-13-17 07:50 AM #26
    jjgold
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    Easy

    Some
    People
    Here do not watch tennis
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  27. 07-13-17 08:01 AM #27
    crackerjack
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Easy

    Some
    People
    Here do not watch tennis
    This. If you saw Muguruza in her last match where she beat a solid Kuznetsova player 2-0, you knew she'd handle business today. Wish I'd seen this thread earlier to pipe in and maybe save some Ryb backers some cash
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  28. 07-13-17 08:03 AM #28
    jjgold
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    Cannot go by rankings either

    They mean nothing in tennis
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  29. 07-13-17 08:04 AM #29
    shadymcgrady
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    OP disappeared. Oh well, he was a great fade as evidenced by all his trash posts with regards to tennis
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  30. 07-13-17 08:10 AM #30
    crackerjack
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    Will Venus beat Konta? Should be a good match. Venus has looked really strong all tournament.
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  31. 07-13-17 08:12 AM #31
    thomorino
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    Rybarikova didn't play well today - will back venus williams in next match.
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  32. 07-13-17 08:21 AM #32
    MiDNiTe
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    Got Venus to win the first set and then will have a good day
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  33. 07-13-17 08:39 AM #33
    mackave
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    On Venus as well, sprinkle on the 2-1
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  34. 07-13-17 08:41 AM #34
    Darkside Magick
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    Venus +113
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  35. 07-13-17 08:45 AM #35
    shadymcgrady
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    Alot of late money on konta pushed up to -135 and Venus at +120

    This thread with a bonus, 2 for 1
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