Golf play (+EV)

[RangeFinder]

Spencer Levin +825

This guy is playing as well as anyone in the field and has the most strokes gained through putting. He has a big chance at erasing a 2 stroke deficit on Lingmerth who has had a lot of luck along the way. I expect Levin to make a big run on the front 9 and position himself on the back 9 and win it with putting. I have him winning this 25% (3-1) of the time, and he's sitting up there at better than 7-1. +EV city, I'll bite.

Good luck f you follow along.

[Otters27]

What time he tee off

[RangeFinder]

What time he tee off

2:05pm Eastern, 11:05 Pacific

[jjgold]

No golf play is ever +even play

It's the one sport a great player can I have 12 bad rounds in a row unlike any other sport

There's so many very good players that have not won in years and years it's amazing

[RangeFinder]

Of course golf can be +EV. Anything can be. In this case I think Levin has the game to catch and beat the 2 that ate ahead of him. He has momentum, a short game and can putt. That being said, so will only cash this about 25% of the time, however, I'm getting over 7-1. +EV in my opinion.

[mackave]

dead

[RangeFinder]

Yep. He caved in. Tried too hard to make perfect shots instead of taking what the course gave. He went all in early and couldn't hit the shot.

[jjgold]

forget golf

consistency of a player very hard

[RangeFinder]

jj,

Anyone with the winner today is getting paid, That's the beauty of betting golf.

[Otters27]

Damn did he bogey the 18th?

[jjgold]

Also golf has terrible liquidity which means your getting terrible odds

[RangeFinder]

Damn did he bogey the 18th?

3 holes killed him. 2 bogies and a double bogie. Take those away and he's -8 and wins. But, that's golf.