Red Sox have a 58 percent chance of winning tonight's game.

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65238

    #1
    Red Sox have a 58 percent chance of winning tonight's game.
    Sale in KC against the scorching hot Royals.

    All the simulations say Boston has a 58 percent chance of winning, but the line is +182/-192 right now.

    For those unfamiliar, Strahm the lefty for KC is an up an comer, sports a 3 and change ERA with a K an inning ratio.
    He ain't Koufax, but kid is good.

    60/40 (60 percent chance of winning) is 3:2 or -150
    58 percent chance of winning is about -148/+158

    I'm getting +182 on a +158 wager.

    Royals 3 units.
    300 gets 540 and change.

    I'm up 12* so far this year and I'm taking my shot, right here, right now.

    KC is hot, Sale is terrific by no means untouchable.
    KC at +182 in this spot can not be passed up in my opinion, if I'm wrong, so be it, but you have to take a shot sometime and I'm taking it.

    Pass, fade, or tail, it's all good to me.

    I'm out until later, peace all.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    Under 8.5 for me.
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388189

      #3
      KC playing better

      Wrong side
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 65238

        #4
        Originally posted by jjgold
        KC playing better

        Wrong side
        Who's the King of spot plays Coach?

        p.s. typo 58 percent is -148/+138 not +158

        I'm not fading KC right now, they've been there, done that, and everything has been clicking on all 8 cylinders for the past 2 weeks.
        Comment
        • JIBBBY
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-10-09
          • 83691

          #5
          Yanks rebound at home and the Tribe are killing the ball and on a solid winning streak.. Both win today, parlay them both up and thank me later.....

          The over in the Tribe came today isn't a bad idea either..
          Comment
          • pinnerpsk
            SBR MVP
            • 03-16-09
            • 1687

            #6
            Saw Strahm pitch last week, he's not bad. I'm parlaying the Angels and Royals.
            Comment
            • unusialsusp5
              SBR MVP
              • 04-18-10
              • 4198

              #7
              they royals are hot. but not scorching hot. still under .500 but should challenge cleveland for division. red sox are also hot, but not scorching hot having gone 10-6 lately. red sox have injury issues. moreland broken foot. pedroia bruised rib coughing up blood. betts bruised wrist. sandoval put on DL with a cold today. sale definitely overpriced at -180 or so. kc rookie pitcher will only go 5 or 6 anyway. under best bet here.
              Comment
              • GUMMO77
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-23-10
                • 9294

                #8
                Let's do this, Nasherrrrrrr!
                Comment
                • CamNewtonOutfit
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 09-26-16
                  • 525

                  #9
                  avoid totally here
                  Comment
                  • stevenash
                    Moderator
                    • 01-17-11
                    • 65238

                    #10
                    Sale tried to sneak a fast ball by Moose, Moose was sitting on it.
                    Solo shot 1-0 top 3.

                    Red Sox have a lead off double, looking to tie it up here.
                    Mookie just got a cheap jam shot bloop RBI between second and center.
                    1-1.

                    I don't understand Sale, he was cruising on nothing but off speed soft serve stuff, then he tries a heater on Moose.
                    Bad idea.

                    Under looks rock solid here.
                    Comment
                    • teecee
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-18-09
                      • 6295

                      #11
                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                      Yanks rebound at home and the Tribe are killing the ball and on a solid winning streak.. Both win today, parlay them both up and thank me later.....

                      The over in the Tribe came today isn't a bad idea either..
                      Thanks a lot.
                      Comment
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