Calgary Flames have lost 28 straight in Anaheim

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  • dlowilly
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-09-16
    • 13862

    #1
    Calgary Flames have lost 28 straight in Anaheim
    and Anaheim is only -150

    I'm wary of data mining but this seems like a pretty significant stat
  • Harry N. Lloyd
    SBR MVP
    • 03-26-08
    • 4810

    #2
    Wow. That is one incredibly bad run by Calgary in a league where parity is prevalent.
    Comment
    • paco
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 05-07-09
      • 62873

      #3
      And another L again lol
      Comment
      • dlowilly
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-09-16
        • 13862

        #4
        Originally posted by paco
        And another L again lol
        No I think they come back and win this

        *I just jinxed ur reverse jinx
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94366

          #5
          Big play on the flames ml for me tonight. Anyway cashed on the leafs. Now need those even more.
          Comment
          • paco
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-07-09
            • 62873

            #6
            Flames got screwed with that no goal #homecooking
            Comment
            • goduke
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-17-10
              • 11580

              #7
              Originally posted by lakerboy
              Big play on the flames ml for me tonight. Anyway cashed on the leafs. Now need those even more.
              Buy out of your bet at intermission if ducks don't score before end of 2nd Calgary is not winning this game
              Comment
              • ronald
                SBR MVP
                • 10-31-05
                • 4918

                #8
                What a stupid thread.
                Comment
                • dlowilly
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-09-16
                  • 13862

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ronald
                  What a stupid thread.
                  They can't all be classics like your awesome 2800th post celebration thread
                  Comment
                  • manny24
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-22-07
                    • 20046

                    #10
                    how about the stoppage time volley from Larin Willy !??!?!?!!
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388189

                      #11
                      Originally posted by ronald
                      What a stupid thread.

                      Comment
                      • ronald
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-31-05
                        • 4918

                        #12
                        Originally posted by dlowilly
                        They can't all be classics like your awesome 2800th post celebration thread
                        Some of my threads are certainly pointless/annoying.

                        But if you actually believe the premise of your thread, you are downright stupid.
                        Comment
                        • MickeyMan
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-20-09
                          • 5091

                          #13
                          Originally posted by ronald
                          Some of my threads are certainly pointless/annoying.

                          But if you actually believe the premise of your thread, you are downright stupid.
                          Romald did your boyfriend cheat on you with a bear? Why are you so cranky today?
                          Comment
                          • dlowilly
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-09-16
                            • 13862

                            #14
                            Originally posted by manny24
                            how about the stoppage time volley from Larin Willy !??!?!?!!
                            Very nice

                            That's what they get for having herbaLife across the front of their jersey
                            Comment
                            • dlowilly
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-09-16
                              • 13862

                              #15
                              Originally posted by ronald
                              But if you actually believe the premise of your thread, you are downright stupid.
                              Is that so?

                              The avg. line over those 28 games was Ducks -162

                              The odds of winning 27 in a row (you wouldn't count the first loss when the streak started) at -162 is 1 in 433,737

                              Now, you might say, "Look at all the professional sports teams, there are bound to be some bad streaks like this". Well over the 4 major sports, there are 3,602 possible away streak situations (NHL + NBA + MLB + NFL = (30*29)+(30*29)+(30*29)+(32*31)=3,602

                              433,737/3,602 = 120

                              So basically there is a 1 in 120 chance this 28 game in a row statistic is random instead of significant at comparable odds (-162)

                              Many streaks, such as left handed pitchers on turf against a team with 2 or more switch hitters on an overcast day, are completely worthless. Some have merit though.

                              Is home court in basketball significant? Why? All the measurements are the same. Same court length, same basket height, same 3 point distance. There are intangibles though, like crowd psychology and familiar peripheral vision while shooting which are significant.

                              I think there are significant intangibles travelling to Anaheim for Calgary above and beyond home ice advantage, and the numbers say it isn't delusional to think so.

                              NOW YOU GO
                              Comment
                              • Dollars2Donuts
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-07-13
                                • 8803

                                #16
                                Anaheim was clearly the way to bet this.....last night I was happy to get such a nice price.

                                Thanks
                                Comment
                                • ronald
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-31-05
                                  • 4918

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by dlowilly
                                  Is that so?

                                  The avg. line over those 28 games was Ducks -162

                                  The odds of winning 27 in a row (you wouldn't count the first loss when the streak started) at -162 is 1 in 433,737

                                  Now, you might say, "Look at all the professional sports teams, there are bound to be some bad streaks like this". Well over the 4 major sports, there are 3,602 possible away streak situations (NHL + NBA + MLB + NFL = (30*29)+(30*29)+(30*29)+(32*31)=3,602

                                  433,737/3,602 = 120

                                  So basically there is a 1 in 120 chance this 28 game in a row statistic is random instead of significant at comparable odds (-162)

                                  Many streaks, such as left handed pitchers on turf against a team with 2 or more switch hitters on an overcast day, are completely worthless. Some have merit though.

                                  Is home court in basketball significant? Why? All the measurements are the same. Same court length, same basket height, same 3 point distance. There are intangibles though, like crowd psychology and familiar peripheral vision while shooting which are significant.

                                  I think there are significant intangibles travelling to Anaheim for Calgary above and beyond home ice advantage, and the numbers say it isn't delusional to think so.

                                  NOW YOU GO
                                  It's a totally different roster, you moron. Not to mention different coaches, different management, etc. Literally the only constant variable that we're sure of between now and the beginning of the streak is the team name.

                                  Unless you are suggesting that the emblem on their uniform somehow drains energy from the players once they are in Anaheim since ducks are warm blooded animals. But alas, even their logo has changed during the streak.
                                  Comment
                                  • dlowilly
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-09-16
                                    • 13862

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ronald
                                    It's a totally different roster, you moron. Not to mention different coaches, different management, etc. Literally the only constant variable that we're sure of between now and the beginning of the streak is the team name.

                                    Unless you are suggesting that the emblem on their uniform somehow drains energy from the players once they are in Anaheim since ducks are warm blooded animals. But alas, even their logo has changed during the streak.
                                    You have the same geographical change and the same playing venues (Honda center and Saddledome). Actually I find it hard to believe as an SBR founder you are still this dense. But go ahead and ignore the mathematical evidence I gave and just call me names
                                    Comment
                                    • dlowilly
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-09-16
                                      • 13862

                                      #19
                                      Oh and make that 29 in a row
                                      Comment
                                      • ronald
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-31-05
                                        • 4918

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by dlowilly
                                        You have the same geographical change and the same playing venues (Honda center and Saddledome). Actually I find it hard to believe as an SBR founder you are still this dense. But go ahead and ignore the mathematical evidence I gave and just call me names
                                        I can see I'm not gonna win this battle of wits.

                                        Suitably admonished.
                                        Comment
                                        • dlowilly
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-09-16
                                          • 13862

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ronald
                                          I can see I'm not gonna win this battle of wits.

                                          Suitably admonished.
                                          The books thank you
                                          Comment
                                          • ronald
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-31-05
                                            • 4918

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by dlowilly
                                            The books thank you
                                            Speaking of books, which are your top 5 to play at?
                                            Comment
                                            • dlowilly
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-09-16
                                              • 13862

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ronald
                                              Speaking of books, which are your top 5 to play at?
                                              I used to have outs at all of them 5dimes, bookmaker, betonline, heritage, dsi, bodog, betmania, etc. and some upstarts i was lucky enough to get out of in time. Still have accounts but got all of my money out now since I got blackballed by ** and ** limits are low, and have no interest in doing banking transactions or gambling with bitcoin. Then several of my outs have limited and/or delayed my account. Just use locals now and honestly am doing less gambling these days and concentrating on my own business since the time/payoff is better.
                                              Comment
                                              • ronald
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-31-05
                                                • 4918

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by dlowilly
                                                I used to have outs at all of them 5dimes, bookmaker, betonline, heritage, dsi, bodog, betmania, etc. and some upstarts i was lucky enough to get out of in time. Still have accounts but got all of my money out now since I got blackballed by ** and ** limits are low, and have no interest in doing banking transactions or gambling with bitcoin. Then several of my outs have limited and/or delayed my account. Just use locals now and honestly am doing less gambling these days and concentrating on my own business since the time/payoff is better.
                                                I have no doubt that this is true.
                                                Comment
                                                • dlowilly
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-09-16
                                                  • 13862

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by ronald
                                                  I have no doubt that this is true.
                                                  Oh yeah I got cutoff and limited because they were making too much off me and felt bad
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MiDNiTe
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-11-13
                                                    • 7684

                                                    #26
                                                    no doubt losing against the same team and same venue that much times would have a psyhcological effect on a team, you would of thought it would be discussed at the flames meetings eg time to break this run of losses
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dlowilly
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-09-16
                                                      • 13862

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by MiDNiTe
                                                      no doubt losing against the same team and same venue that much times would have a psyhcological effect on a team, you would of thought it would be discussed at the flames meetings eg time to break this run of losses
                                                      Absolutely

                                                      Something is at play here above and beyond a random streak

                                                      I'm not saying they have no chance but there is huge value in fading them at Anaheim at these prices

                                                      Take for example professional pitchers who throw pickoffs to 1st in the dirt or pro golfers with the yips. If you just looked at overall data for throwing errors or putting it would seem like an unlucky streak but we can logically deduce other things are at work.
                                                      Comment
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