Advice for trying to bet in game bets to middle

**gauchojake** · 03-01-17, 09:06 PM

Almost every game I tale a live middle on is a blowout at the end.

**Chi_archie** · 03-01-17, 09:08 PM

the pros KNOW

its 6.5 point middle if its under 18 mins gone by or less in a 48 min game

the standard deviation and regression analysis would show you that you went from a 77.86% chance of winning bet A

to a 93.454 chance of only winning 1 bet and losing $ on the juice and just a 6.546% chance of winning both, or actually winning money on this game

is the bigger payout worth it?

**Ez Money 77** · 03-01-17, 09:14 PM

Wow only a 6.5% chance of hitting that middle ? That seems awfully low. Though I'm not the pro. Thanks for that info Archie.

**Ez Money 77** · 03-01-17, 10:37 PM

Well didn't hit the middle but glad I made the bet now.

**BuckyOne** · 03-04-17, 01:10 PM

I will say that I don't think you can beat up too bad doing this. The places with the 20 cents juice kill us on these plays. Get in and out a couple more times to improve your chances?

**INVEGA MAN** · 03-04-17, 01:49 PM

You have to bet big money to make money on a middle

**Sam Odom** · 03-04-17, 02:02 PM

Originally posted by INVEGA MAN

You have to bet big money to make money on a middle

they hit few and far between

can lose a lot of $$$ waiting

taking scalps is much better approach even for a few 'cents' each

**jjgold** · 03-04-17, 03:17 PM

Middles a losing prop

Odds stacked against you

Even scalping game got squashed

Lines all basically the same

**Sam Odom** · 03-04-17, 03:20 PM

JJ

you are too fukking negative

need to take a vacation

**BuckyOne** · 03-04-17, 03:55 PM

Originally posted by Sam Odom

they hit few and far between

can lose a lot of $$$ waiting

taking scalps is much better approach even for a few 'cents' each

Good point! Value is where you find it. You have to watch a lot of games to get tuned in-really know teams. In answer to JJ. You need about ten outs and 50k on deposit to play this game well - not in a sock - not blue smoke - not seat of the pants butt scratching and nose picking. This is too hard for a lot of players.

Sam - you could offer free lessons to JJ and show him how to win! After seeing it he would say I am not going to work that hard to win. Will not work at it 10 hours a day - will not fork out 50 k for deposits. What have you got that is easy?

Some people go deer hunting for the sport and entertainment.

Some people are hungry and need the meat to feed their family.

Which one should the deer be worried about?

**jjgold** · 03-04-17, 03:57 PM

You get banned being a scalper everywhere

Vegas even now limits scalpers

Cannot do offshore if you do not have pinnacle

**jayc88** · 03-04-17, 04:05 PM

If you middle a -ev bet with a -ev bet you will lose your bankroll much faster. If you are a recreational gambler it is best to not middle at all.

**Hu$tle** · 03-04-17, 04:13 PM

middle is better in o/u i thnk

all depends what sport!

**Sam Odom** · 03-04-17, 04:17 PM

Originally posted by BuckyOne

Sam - you could offer free lessons to JJ and show him how to win! After seeing it he would say I am not going to work that hard to win. Will not work at it 10 hours a day - will not fork out 50 k for deposits.

Bucky

well known Advantage Gambler in Vegas , Fishhead , laid it all out for jjgold... showed jj the ends and outs

jj was too hard headed and/or lazy... got ran out of Las Vegas broke

**jjgold** · 03-04-17, 04:41 PM

Vegas to many distractions

Escorts
Pimps
Beer
Hot Weather
Slots

**BuckyOne** · 03-04-17, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by Sam Odom

Bucky

well known Advantage Gambler in Vegas , Fishhead , laid it all out for jjgold... showed jj the ends and outs

jj was too hard headed and/or lazy... got ran out of Las Vegas broke

I have met Fishead-he convinced me he knows how to play. Alan Dinkenson can play as well. There are people that can play and it all comes down to their ability to define value and they can do it. jayc88 - you make a good point - each leg has to have value at the time you play it - not just implied value.

**BuckyOne** · 03-04-17, 05:15 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Vegas to many distractions

Escorts
Pimps
Beer
Hot Weather
Slots

Those things are not even variables or factors in identifying value in a sports bet. Those vices are in a lot of cities in America. To be a good sports bettor distractions have to be at an absolute minimum. Absolutely, positively cannot survive if easily distracted. The intensity - give a crap discipline just gets up and goes.