Post your best bet for Friday (NCAAB, NBA, NHL)

**JIBBBY** · 02-17-17, 02:00 PM

Nothing much to play today.. NHL scares me.. 3 game schedule can't touch.. No NBA...

I don't cap college.. Won't be contributing to this thread today!!

MMA I can contribute...

Try this one fellas, I think it's got a shot.. Kos hasn't fought in a very long time, he's been getting knocked out like crazy when he does.. 5 fight losing streak.. Look for yourself.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Josh-Koscheck-9418

He's fighting an average journeyman fighter basically but I still think he has enough to beat a 39 year old washed up Kos..

Don't load up but try it for a few bucks.. It has a decent chance of hitting and the odds are good at +255..

$50.00

$127.50

Pending

2/18/17 9:31pm Bellator Fighting 3301 Mauricio Alonso +255* vs Josh Koscheck

**2buckluck** · 02-17-17, 02:38 PM

ARKANSAS ST. -7

Arkansas St. is 10-0 at home this season, and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. They have shot 50 percent or better in 12 games this year and at home have outscored opponents an average of 15.5 points per game, 80.2 to 64.7, while shooting 51.3 percent from the field and 38.3 percent beyond the arc. Ark St. has held opponents to 41.3 percent shooting and 30.8 percent behind the 3-point line at home.

Little Rock is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. They are just 4-9 in conference play. Little Rock lost already to Ark St in the first meeting by 5 at home on Jan 14. I believe there’s some value in the line due to Arkansas St. losing their last 2 games so I'm jumping on it.Good luck tonight!

**Notorious_Donk** · 02-17-17, 02:51 PM

Originally posted by 2buckluck

ARKANSAS ST. -7

Arkansas St. is 10-0 at home this season, and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. They have shot 50 percent or better in 12 games this year and at home have outscored opponents an average of 15.5 points per game, 80.2 to 64.7, while shooting 51.3 percent from the field and 38.3 percent beyond the arc. Ark St. has held opponents to 41.3 percent shooting and 30.8 percent behind the 3-point line at home.

Little Rock is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. They are just 4-9 in conference play. Little Rock lost already to Ark St in the first meeting by 5 at home on Jan 14. I believe there’s some value in the line due to Arkansas St. losing their last 2 games so I'm jumping on it.Good luck tonight!

You beat me to it. I got Arkansas St -6.5

Going off buck's explanation above... against Little Rock, Ark St covered both games last year and covered a month ago when they were on the road @ Little Rock. Another interesting thing I saw was they both have a recent common opponent. UT Arlington beat both teams but won by 10 more points against Little Rock. I like looking at recent common opponents so that's just another angle that points to Ark St. BOL

**trytrytry** · 02-17-17, 02:56 PM

6 Anaheim Ducks -128

**PorkChop** · 02-17-17, 02:59 PM

Stanford / Cal Over 127

Penguins/BlueJackets Under 6.5

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 02-17-17, 03:01 PM

02/17/2017 @ 04:00 PM

CBB

[1855] 1H Columbia +4-105

**jjgold** · 02-17-17, 04:26 PM

Princeton ML

**winanyday** · 02-17-17, 04:32 PM

This thread is awesome. Would love to see this everyday. Thanks

**Notorious_Donk** · 02-17-17, 04:34 PM

Originally posted by winanyday

This thread is awesome. Would love to see this everyday. Thanks

Show some love and this will be a daily thread

**Merella** · 02-17-17, 04:51 PM

I really Like the Pens tonight. Sid got the 1k monkey off his back and I feel he's gonna show the surprise CBJ who's boss

Also Ducks just because

**omega** · 02-17-17, 04:54 PM

Originally posted by Notorious_Donk

You beat me to it. I got Arkansas St -6.5

Going off buck's explanation above... against Little Rock, Ark St covered both games last year and covered a month ago when they were on the road @ Little Rock. Another interesting thing I saw was they both have a recent common opponent. UT Arlington beat both teams but won by 10 more points against Little Rock. I like looking at recent common opponents so that's just another angle that points to Ark St. BOL

I'm on this too, for all the reasons listed above.

**intermission** · 02-17-17, 04:56 PM

this ivy league ncaa division is so lame...but i like harvard -8 today

**Sircool1** · 02-17-17, 05:22 PM

Iona to cover -10.5

Marist don't do good enough work off the boards and Iona will capitalise on this. I'm laying more points on Iona, moving the line taking an adjusted spread of -15 @ +162.

Fairfield to cover -1.5

Fairfield blew a 10 point H/T lead when these two met in F'field, going down by 2 points will have them mad as hell. They have some good snipers and will go better downtown than the Bobcats. They have to get the job done around their own hoop as they gave Q'Piac to many possessions by not cleaning up rebounds last meet. Once again I'm moving the line and laying more points for Fairfield, -5 @ +160.

Arkansas St cover -6.5

Although LR have shown good improvement I still have them ranked at 258 as a road side in the conference games. State rank at 52 as a Home side and score on average 12 ppg more at home for this period than what LR does as a road side. Moving the line to -11 @ +160.

**JIBBBY** · 02-17-17, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by 2buckluck

ARKANSAS ST. -7

Arkansas St. is 10-0 at home this season, and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. They have shot 50 percent or better in 12 games this year and at home have outscored opponents an average of 15.5 points per game, 80.2 to 64.7, while shooting 51.3 percent from the field and 38.3 percent beyond the arc. Ark St. has held opponents to 41.3 percent shooting and 30.8 percent behind the 3-point line at home.

Little Rock is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. They are just 4-9 in conference play. Little Rock lost already to Ark St in the first meeting by 5 at home on Jan 14. I believe there’s some value in the line due to Arkansas St. losing their last 2 games so I'm jumping on it.Good luck tonight!

After looking it over this also looks good to me.. I'll try it for a 50 spot.. Thanks, hope it lands!!.. 10 points given..

**JIBBBY** · 02-17-17, 05:40 PM

Originally posted by winanyday

This thread is awesome. Would love to see this everyday. Thanks

I think more people should give bet points to winners or cappers that explain their picks in posts.. I know will.. That will keep up the interest and sharing for sure.. Help you decide which bets to further cap and tail...
These threads have winning potential for sure.. I like them too!!

I'll try and contribute my best plays daily for a while longer and explain why..

Sharing is caring, good Karma..

**PorkChop** · 02-17-17, 05:46 PM

Valpal and UIC both at ML+100 really tempting to me.

**72'RoseBowlChamp** · 02-17-17, 05:54 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Nothing much to play today.. NHL scares me.. 3 game schedule can't touch.. No NBA...

I don't cap college.. Won't be contributing to this thread today!!

MMA I can contribute...

Try this one fellas, I think it's got a shot.. Kos hasn't fought in a very long time, he's been getting knocked out like crazy when he does.. 5 fight losing streak.. Look for yourself.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Josh-Koscheck-9418

He's fighting an average journeyman fighter basically but I still think he has enough to beat a 39 year old washed up Kos..

Don't load up but try it for a few bucks.. It has a decent chance of hitting and the odds are good at +255..

$50.00

$127.50

Pending

2/18/17 9:31pm Bellator Fighting 3301 Mauricio Alonso +255* vs Josh Koscheck

No way! I live in the same town as Kosh, had no clue that guy still even fights! Last time I saw him fight was when I was In college 4 years ago! And Jeeze feel like he was an Ultimate Fighter Coach on the show a million years ago.

**JIBBBY** · 02-17-17, 06:09 PM

Originally posted by 72'RoseBowlChamp

No way! I live in the same town as Kosh, had no clue that guy still even fights! Last time I saw him fight was when I was In college 4 years ago! And Jeeze feel like he was an Ultimate Fighter Coach on the show a million years ago.

Kos was good at one time.. The 39 year old hasn't fought in 2 years.. Even though he's fighting a border line can I think he's just showing up for a pay check.. Lost 5 in row, 2 years off, almost 40 years old.. Tough not to fade that..

Alonso fought some tough guys in the past, he could get put on his back and lose if Kos uses his wrestling.. Big if though? Kos gave up on his MMA wrestling years ago.. This Alonso http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Mauricio-Alonso-20758

Like I said this fight should be a coin toss IMO, for those odds I think it's worth the old college try.. Kos sucks!!!!

**stackz125** · 02-17-17, 06:30 PM

Ducks
UIC

**omega** · 02-17-17, 08:52 PM

How did Harvard blow that lead? How big was that lead?

**Jack Hoverkamp** · 02-17-17, 08:55 PM

Originally posted by omega

How did Harvard blow that lead? How big was that lead?

It wasn't more than around 15 points. How is Brown losing at home by 25 after 1 half?

**winanyday** · 02-17-17, 10:45 PM

Close one for Arkansas St. Glad i tailed it. Many thanks!

**PorkChop** · 02-17-17, 10:57 PM

Originally posted by PorkChop

Stanford / Cal Over 127

Penguins/BlueJackets Under 6.5

Looking good

**winanyday** · 02-17-17, 11:15 PM

Yes, both looking good. Great picks!

What i like about this thread is you dont have to go to different threads to check out top picks from different sports. And almost all are with analysis included.

Great great idea!

**JIBBBY** · 02-18-17, 12:43 AM

Originally posted by 2buckluck

ARKANSAS ST. -7

Arkansas St. is 10-0 at home this season, and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. They have shot 50 percent or better in 12 games this year and at home have outscored opponents an average of 15.5 points per game, 80.2 to 64.7, while shooting 51.3 percent from the field and 38.3 percent beyond the arc. Ark St. has held opponents to 41.3 percent shooting and 30.8 percent behind the 3-point line at home.

Little Rock is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. They are just 4-9 in conference play. Little Rock lost already to Ark St in the first meeting by 5 at home on Jan 14. I believe there’s some value in the line due to Arkansas St. losing their last 2 games so I'm jumping on it.Good luck tonight!

Excellent win!!! Congrats to everyone on board with this play as I see there were several, I know I was on it...
You did post this play up first... Group win here..

**Dollars2Donuts** · 02-18-17, 01:08 AM

Originally posted by trytrytry

6 Anaheim Ducks -128

Every once in a while, it feels like the books really know something. Anaheim at home, starting Gibson, only -128 to beat a weak road team, playing their backup and coming off of an emotional victory.

I went heavy on the Ducks and they got killed.

Odd.

**coolguy73739** · 02-18-17, 07:28 AM

Bookies win close to 70% my estimations.. So they gotta lose 30% that we guys win sparingly plus those wins when we are with the bookies.. So don't be under any wrong impression that Bookies are stupid and don't know how to place their numbers..
YOU ARE ONLY EATING THEIR LEFTOVER...
If you are placing your bets with right numbers, system and analysis and win close to 57-60% then you definitely have a chance of making it Big inside betting world..
These sparring wins don't call for a celebrations and will only make you bet more and lose all finally!!
I WISH ALL THE VERY BEST!!

**JIBBBY** · 02-18-17, 09:51 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Nothing much to play today.. NHL scares me.. 3 game schedule can't touch.. No NBA...

I don't cap college.. Won't be contributing to this thread today!!

MMA I can contribute...

Try this one fellas, I think it's got a shot.. Kos hasn't fought in a very long time, he's been getting knocked out like crazy when he does.. 5 fight losing streak.. Look for yourself.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Josh-Koscheck-9418

He's fighting an average journeyman fighter basically but I still think he has enough to beat a 39 year old washed up Kos..

Don't load up but try it for a few bucks.. It has a decent chance of hitting and the odds are good at +255..

$50.00

$127.50

Pending

2/18/17 9:31pm Bellator Fighting 3301 Mauricio Alonso +255* vs Josh Koscheck

This cashed just now.. Glad I can contribute...

$50.00

$127.50

Win

2/18/17 9:31pm Bellator Fighting 3301 Mauricio Alonso +255* vs Josh Koscheck

**Jack Hoverkamp** · 02-18-17, 09:53 PM

Well done. I tailed.

**Jack Hoverkamp** · 02-18-17, 09:54 PM

Seems like there is a lot to made off of soft lines on these martial arts contests.

**JIBBBY** · 02-18-17, 09:58 PM

Originally posted by Jack Hoverkamp

Seems like there is a lot to made off of soft lines on these martial arts contests.

At times.. Gotta know the fighters and pick the right spots..

Check out the event threads in the UFC section of this forum.. We all cap the fights and do pretty well over there as a group..