NHL bye week

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  • MickeyMan
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-20-09
    • 5091

    #1
    NHL bye week
    So far teams are 3-8 in the first game following this week where teams aren't even allowed to practice. One of the games doesn't really count as the leafs and rangers played each other coming off their bye weeks.

    Coaches obviously hate this new addition this year and it makes sense that teams would come out flat. In all but one of the teams' games coming out of their bye weeks the game has been on home ice. This means you get even more value as you are generally betting the road team.

    Youd be making a killing so far auto fading these teams, going to track and blindly bet it going forward.

    Tomorrow the flames are a fade with zona being +163 right now.
  • gunslinger572
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-31-11
    • 458

    #2
    Crunched the numbers for the teams so far and looked up the schedule for the remaining teams. Small sample size but looks like you could be on to something. Not only are the teams 3-8 overall, but 6/11 have lost by 2 goals or more

    1/6: New York Islanders (L 2-1 @ Colorado in OT)
    1/7: Ottawa Senators (L 1-0 vs. Washington)
    1/8: Pittsburgh Penguins (W 6-2 vs. Tampa Bay)
    1/12: Colorado Avalanche (L 4-1 vs. Anaheim)
    *1/13: New York Rangers (L 4-2 vs. Toronto)
    *1/13: Toronto Maple Leafs (W 4-2 @ NY Rangers)
    1/13: Arizona Coyotes (W 4-3 vs. Winnipeg)
    1/21: Philadelphia Flyers (L 4-1 vs. New Jersey)
    2/9: Florida Panthers (L 6-3 vs. Los Angeles)
    2/11: Edmonton Oilers (L 5-1 vs. Chicago)
    2/12: New Jersey Devils (L 4-1 vs. San Jose)

    2/13: Calgary Flames (vs. Arizona)
    2/16: Los Angeles Kings (vs. Arizona)
    2/17: Carolina Hurricanes (vs. Colorado)
    2/17: Washington Capitals (@ Detroit)
    2/17: Tampa Bay Lightning (@ Dallas)
    2/18: Chicago Blackhawks (vs. Edmonton)
    2/18: Nashville Predators (@ Minnesota)
    2/18: Montreal Canadiens (vs. Winnipeg)
    2/19: Boston Bruins (@ San Jose)
    2/24: Dallas Stars (vs. Arizona)
    2/25: Columbus Blue Jackets (vs. NY Islanders)
    *2/25: San Jose Sharks (@ Vancouver)
    *2/25: Vancouver Canucks (vs. San Jose)
    2/25: Buffalo Sabres (@ Colorado)
    2/26: Saint Louis Blues (@ Chicago)
    2/27: Minnesota Wild (vs. Los Angeles)
    2/28: Detroit Red Wings (@ Vancouver)
    2/28: Winnipeg Jets (vs. Minnesota)
    3/3: Anaheim Ducks (vs. Toronto)
    Comment
    • lakerboy
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-02-09
      • 94367

      #3
      Terrible idea to have a whole week off.
      Comment
      • MickeyMan
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 10-20-09
        • 5091

        #4
        Originally posted by gunslinger572
        Crunched the numbers for the teams so far and looked up the schedule for the remaining teams. Small sample size but looks like you could be on to something. Not only are the teams 3-8 overall, but 6/11 have lost by 2 goals or more

        1/6: New York Islanders (L 2-1 @ Colorado in OT)
        1/7: Ottawa Senators (L 1-0 vs. Washington)
        1/8: Pittsburgh Penguins (W 6-2 vs. Tampa Bay)
        1/12: Colorado Avalanche (L 4-1 vs. Anaheim)
        *1/13: New York Rangers (L 4-2 vs. Toronto)
        *1/13: Toronto Maple Leafs (W 4-2 @ NY Rangers)
        1/13: Arizona Coyotes (W 4-3 vs. Winnipeg)
        1/21: Philadelphia Flyers (L 4-1 vs. New Jersey)
        2/9: Florida Panthers (L 6-3 vs. Los Angeles)
        2/11: Edmonton Oilers (L 5-1 vs. Chicago)
        2/12: New Jersey Devils (L 4-1 vs. San Jose)

        2/13: Calgary Flames (vs. Arizona)
        2/16: Los Angeles Kings (vs. Arizona)
        2/17: Carolina Hurricanes (vs. Colorado)
        2/17: Washington Capitals (@ Detroit)
        2/17: Tampa Bay Lightning (@ Dallas)
        2/18: Chicago Blackhawks (vs. Edmonton)
        2/18: Nashville Predators (@ Minnesota)
        2/18: Montreal Canadiens (vs. Winnipeg)
        2/19: Boston Bruins (@ San Jose)
        2/24: Dallas Stars (vs. Arizona)
        2/25: Columbus Blue Jackets (vs. NY Islanders)
        *2/25: San Jose Sharks (@ Vancouver)
        *2/25: Vancouver Canucks (vs. San Jose)
        2/25: Buffalo Sabres (@ Colorado)
        2/26: Saint Louis Blues (@ Chicago)
        2/27: Minnesota Wild (vs. Los Angeles)
        2/28: Detroit Red Wings (@ Vancouver)
        2/28: Winnipeg Jets (vs. Minnesota)
        3/3: Anaheim Ducks (vs. Toronto)


        Thanks.

        Should be some nice doggies to bet upcoming, hopefully this trend continues.
        Comment
        • Philmill
          SBR MVP
          • 09-30-11
          • 4275

          #5
          Great info
          Comment
          • cashmoneyholla
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-19-13
            • 836

            #6
            Just pick some ducking winners pal. No need for stats

            avs beat islanders 5-1

            Book it

            holla
            Comment
            • MickeyMan
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-20-09
              • 5091

              #7
              Originally posted by cashmoneyholla
              Just pick some ducking winners pal. No need for stats

              avs beat islanders 5-1

              Book it

              holla
              Thanks for the insight cash.

              holla
              Comment
              • agendaman
                SBR MVP
                • 12-01-11
                • 3727

                #8
                tx for the fade holla
                Comment
                • afgballer56
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-11-14
                  • 1312

                  #9
                  so we on the cayotes night
                  Last edited by afgballer56; 02-13-17, 06:47 PM.
                  Comment
                  • swordsandtequila
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-23-12
                    • 9756

                    #10
                    Flames keeping the trend alive
                    Comment
                    • cankid
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-22-08
                      • 7209

                      #11
                      crappy coyotes team up 4-0 and the line went up towards Calg
                      Comment
                      • vividjohn45
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-21-10
                        • 6331

                        #12
                        Thanks bro. I took rangers ml. Rangers ov5.5 and ariz ml tonite becuz of this awesome thread. Good shit.
                        Comment
                        • AskJonny4Notes
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-08-17
                          • 511

                          #13
                          Great analysis Mikey, keep up the good work. I parlayed Coyotes/Rangers ML thanks to you.
                          Comment
                          • gunslinger572
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 10-31-11
                            • 458

                            #14
                            Teams are now 3-9 with a -18 GD in 12 games. Appreciate the points but I suggest heading them Mickey's way next time. Really think he stumbled upon something great here.

                            Got the coyotes next up on the 16th lets do this!
                            Comment
                            • agendaman
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-01-11
                              • 3727

                              #15
                              system says zona again on thurs.
                              Comment
                              • MickeyMan
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-20-09
                                • 5091

                                #16
                                Nice to have a +180 no sweat win
                                Comment
                                • cashmoneyholla
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-19-13
                                  • 836

                                  #17
                                  This system has ran its course . Congrats to anyone who made a tiny bit of money on it . I was talking to my friend who works at a book here in Brooks . They have caught on and will react accordingly.

                                  Holla
                                  Comment
                                  • MickeyMan
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-20-09
                                    • 5091

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by cashmoneyholla
                                    This system has ran its course . Congrats to anyone who made a tiny bit of money on it . I was talking to my friend who works at a book here in Brooks . They have caught on and will react accordingly.

                                    Holla
                                    Cash if you are ever looking for a new bookie, I'll gladly take your action.

                                    Holla
                                    Comment
                                    • gunslinger572
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 10-31-11
                                      • 458

                                      #19
                                      Pretty sure we'll be able to get at least +200 on Arizona Thursday but time will tell. As of Monday they hadn't adjusted, since line for Calgary vs Arizona was about same as it was when they faced off in December
                                      Comment
                                      • MickeyMan
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-20-09
                                        • 5091

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by gunslinger572
                                        Pretty sure we'll be able to get at least +200 on Arizona Thursday but time will tell. As of Monday they hadn't adjusted, since line for Calgary vs Arizona was about same as it was when they faced off in December
                                        Yeah if they were +180 to the flamers, should be close to 200 in LA
                                        Comment
                                        • El Nino
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-03-12
                                          • 18426

                                          #21
                                          Good stuff
                                          Comment
                                          • MickeyMan
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-20-09
                                            • 5091

                                            #22
                                            I really like the look of fading the hawks at home vs the oilers. Should be around +145 and oilers looking for revenge after getting spanked by the hawks a couple days ago.
                                            Comment
                                            • cashmoneyholla
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 12-19-13
                                              • 836

                                              #23
                                              I see that oilers game as a typical trap game for rookie cappers . Looks like a great spot for oil? WRONG. We need to take hawks that night . Probably my best bet of the week. Will talk about it the night before guys.

                                              Holla
                                              Comment
                                              • vividjohn45
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 11-21-10
                                                • 6331

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by cashmoneyholla
                                                This system has ran its course . Congrats to anyone who made a tiny bit of money on it . I was talking to my friend who works at a book here in Brooks . They have caught on and will react accordingly.

                                                Holla
                                                What does 'holla' mean? is it street slang? Like ghetto?
                                                Comment
                                                • MickeyMan
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 10-20-09
                                                  • 5091

                                                  #25
                                                  Disregard cashmoneyholla guys, he dropped out of school in grade 8 to work on the oil rigs which is clearly reflected by his spelling and grammar on here.

                                                  He's had a lot of spare time on his hands since the price of oil went in the shitter but I don't think he used that time to learn to read or write.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Scrivero
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-30-17
                                                    • 673

                                                    #26
                                                    Sounds awesome for winning money! Though even the media is catching up to it, so yea, the odds could be affected: http://www.nj.com/devils/index.ssf/2...hl_bye_we.html Theres many more as well, which were posted ca 20 hours ago. Sounds like they were inspired by MickeyMan.

                                                    EDIT: Do tell if I one is not allowed to post links to articles and I will delete it.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • agendaman
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-01-11
                                                      • 3727

                                                      #27
                                                      i love detroit vs. caps on friday
                                                      Comment
                                                      • gunslinger572
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 10-31-11
                                                        • 458

                                                        #28
                                                        Coyotes +185 is the system play tomorrow
                                                        Comment
                                                        • vividjohn45
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-21-10
                                                          • 6331

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by gunslinger572
                                                          Coyotes +185 is the system play tomorrow
                                                          I haves coyotes +197. I.d shop around a bit find best price.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cankid
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-22-08
                                                            • 7209

                                                            #30
                                                            got +203
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MickeyMan
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 10-20-09
                                                              • 5091

                                                              #31
                                                              +203 for me as well. Not really liking this strategy as much now that the media is talking about it and teams will definitely be aware of the struggles other teams have had.

                                                              Hopefully it continues
                                                              Comment
                                                              • agendaman
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-01-11
                                                                • 3727

                                                                #32
                                                                i got zona -1 at plus 312
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TheCaliforniaKid
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 07-29-16
                                                                  • 338

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I think we can toss the theory that "word is out" on this pattern. Yotes opened at plus 185 and now stand at plus 225 with my book. I think these $100 bettors on this site are giving themselves too much credit...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Scrivero
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-30-17
                                                                    • 673

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Yea its +218 on Pinnacle. I took it at +195 yesterday thinking that it will go down. The word is certainly not out to the masses.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MickeyMan
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 10-20-09
                                                                      • 5091

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by TheCaliforniaKid
                                                                      I think we can toss the theory that "word is out" on this pattern. Yotes opened at plus 185 and now stand at plus 225 with my book. I think these $100 bettors on this site are giving themselves too much credit...
                                                                      What? I thought pinny line moves were mostly driven by betpoints bettors.
                                                                      Comment
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