ATP final in Quito

[Dollars2Donuts]

Victor Estrello Burgos is +163 to beat Lorenzi in the finals at Quito. The match starts in an hour or so.

Burgos is a lower ranked player, and had to struggle a bit through his match in the semi's, while Lorenzi cruised through his....but Burgos is 14-0 at Quito and is the two time defending champion.

I like Burgos in a tough match, and I also took the over 23 games.

[jjgold]

good luck Dollar

Will tail but very very small

[Dollars2Donuts]

Freerolling now, as the over is assured. Burgos lost the first set in a tie break and is up 5-4 in set two (on serve). I would say he still has a 35% chance of taking this down the way it is playing out.

Either way, it's a no lose scenario now.

[Dollars2Donuts]

And Burgos break in game #12 to take this to a third set.

He is looking very good and he is challenging on Lorenzi's serve almost every game and at the same time his serve is improving. This has a very solid shot at coming in now.

[Dollars2Donuts]

And Burgos wins in a tough 3rd set for a +163 cash.

6-7/7-5/7-6

Nice start to my day with the Sharks winning easily, plus the over and W here.

[jjgold]

Good call

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Good call

Yep, nice winner. Good logic. Win or lose, sure looks like u were getting 40%+ on a +163 price.

[bettingmosquito]

I was surprised by this win as I thought Lorenzi was fresher and looked more solid overall that week.
The best play yesterday was fading Estrella in Buenos Aires against Monteiro.

[jjgold]

A lot of tennis this week

Stick with hot players

Stay away from the women