Doc's Horse Racing Index for August 13th 2016

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  • docwatson
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-25-08
    • 205

    #1
    Doc's Horse Racing Index for August 13th 2016
    Covering seven tracks today. Arlington, Del Mar, Ellis (still waiting on condition there), Laurel, Monmouth, Saratoga, and Woodbine. Always check back for changes in case of late scratches or track condition changes.

    I keep records of all my races so every race is on this spreadsheet. Anyone can see the results of how each ranking has performed. Around row 750 you'll find running data including average payouts. It's all there for everyone to see.

    At the bottom of the sheet I have wagering bundles, and instruction tabs (3 tabs total). I've tried to come up with the best way to structure tickets for all budgets. I encourage everyone to read this as it explains how the Index works, and the bettor can get the best use out of it.

    Play within your means.

    I'm trying to attach my spreadsheet to the thread, but I'm also including a link to my google documents in case the upload doesn't work.

    URL: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...gid=1929474103

    May The Winners Be Yours!!!!

    Doc
  • Bostongambler
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-01-08
    • 35581

    #2
    What's up Doc?


    Good luck
    Comment
    • docwatson
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-25-08
      • 205

      #3
      Originally posted by Bostongambler
      What's up Doc?


      Good luck
      Eh, just out to hit a tax ticket or two.

      I haven't had any luck with adding the spreadsheet. I went to mysbrforum.com, but no luck there.

      Doc
      Comment
      • slayer14
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-12-13
        • 22007

        #4
        Woodbine the hardest track for me to pick winners
        Comment
        • docwatson
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-25-08
          • 205

          #5
          Originally posted by slayer14
          Woodbine the hardest track for me to pick winners
          Yeah the All-Weather surface there and Arlington add extras to the handicapping process for myself. In fact its just ten minutes to post one at Arlington now. The rest of them for me from there are on the turf though.

          Doc
          Comment
          • docwatson
            SBR High Roller
            • 09-25-08
            • 205

            #6
            One of the best feelings in the world is when you have an 8/1 and a 15/1 for a photo exacta. Then you just giggle when the 15/1 gets the win, and you cash the triple digit exacta ($246.40).

            Race 1 at Arlington in the books, and Doc starts off right!

            6 $32.00 $14.00 $7.40
            4 . $8.40 $5.60
            9 . . $8.20
            $1.00 Exacta 6/4 $123.20
            $0.50 Trifecta 6/4/9 $1048.45
            $0.10 Superfecta 6/4/9/2 $810.52


            Originally posted by docwatson
            Covering seven tracks today. Arlington, Del Mar, Ellis (still waiting on condition there), Laurel, Monmouth, Saratoga, and Woodbine. Always check back for changes in case of late scratches or track condition changes.

            I keep records of all my races so every race is on this spreadsheet. Anyone can see the results of how each ranking has performed. Around row 750 you'll find running data including average payouts. It's all there for everyone to see.

            At the bottom of the sheet I have wagering bundles, and instruction tabs (3 tabs total). I've tried to come up with the best way to structure tickets for all budgets. I encourage everyone to read this as it explains how the Index works, and the bettor can get the best use out of it.

            Play within your means.

            I'm trying to attach my spreadsheet to the thread, but I'm also including a link to my google documents in case the upload doesn't work.

            URL: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...gid=1929474103

            May The Winners Be Yours!!!!

            Doc
            Comment
            • Easy-Rider 66
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-14-12
              • 36081

              #7
              ^Nice score. Who do have Spa race #2?
              Comment
              • biggie12
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-30-05
                • 13783

                #8
                I have a horse racing at woodbine today its brutal out here winds and rain

                Keep posting ur wpodbine picks
                Comment
                • docwatson
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-25-08
                  • 205

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                  ^Nice score. Who do have Spa race #2?
                  Thanks. I'm just locked in for Races 6 & 10 at the Spa today. Just click the link, and its all there. Including how to wager and structure your tickets. That will be located on the tabs at the bottom of the sheet. Horses are Ranked IN ORDER A-B-C-D-E and so on.

                  Good Luck

                  Doc
                  Comment
                  • docwatson
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-25-08
                    • 205

                    #10
                    Originally posted by biggie12
                    I have a horse racing at woodbine today its brutal out here winds and rain

                    Keep posting ur wpodbine picks
                    Good luck to you as well!!!!

                    I'm on races 6-7 & 10 today at the Bine.

                    Current Conditions
                    Woodbine T-bred

                    Updated: 1:45 PM (local time)

                    84 °F
                    feels like:93 °F
                    Cloudy
                    Hi / Low: 86 / 69 °F
                    Humidity: 78%
                    Wind Speed: 16 mph
                    Wind Direction: SSW
                    Visibility: 15 Miles
                    Dew Point: 77 °F
                    Precipitation: 0.08 in
                    Cloud Cover: 95%
                    UV Index: 2 (Low)
                    Today's Forecast
                    (change track)


                    This Afternoon
                    Mostly cloudy and not as hot with a shower or thunderstorm; humid this morning, then turning breezy

                    This Evening
                    Mostly cloudy and humid

                    Extended Forecast

                    Sunday Hi of 84 °F, Low of 66 °F
                    Afternoon Some sun
                    Evening Partly cloudy
                    Monday Hi of 83 °F, Low of 68 °F
                    Afternoon Sun and some clouds
                    Evening Warm with considerable cloudiness
                    Comment
                    • Jayvegas420
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 03-09-11
                      • 28213

                      #11
                      Betting data is very easy to follow. I will be checking this thread often

                      GL Doc
                      Comment
                      • docwatson
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 09-25-08
                        • 205

                        #12
                        Conditions for Ellis Park have been adjusted. I had to drop races 5 & 8 from the list, and added Race 9 there.

                        Doc
                        Comment
                        • gauchojake
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 09-17-10
                          • 34103

                          #13
                          Biggie what's your horses name pal
                          Comment
                          • docwatson
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 09-25-08
                            • 205

                            #14
                            Adjustments made for conditions at Del Mar.

                            Just nailed another one. This time at Laurel a $361.60 Exacta. Had all four horses ranked for a $6K superfecta for the taking as well.

                            11 $33.40 $11.20 $6.00
                            5 . $14.20 $5.40
                            3 . . $3.20
                            $1.00 Exacta 11/5 $180.80
                            $0.50 Trifecta 11/5/3 $338.55
                            $1.00 Superfecta 11/5/3/4 $6030.70
                            Super High Five Carryover $2155.39
                            $1.00 Double 6/11 $60.10
                            $0.50 Pick-3 3,4/6/11 3 of 3 $411.40
                            Comment
                            • biggie12
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-30-05
                              • 13783

                              #15
                              Originally posted by gauchojake
                              Biggie what's your horses name pal
                              Secret gaucho dont want to revel too mich info about myself sorry
                              Comment
                              • gauchojake
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 09-17-10
                                • 34103

                                #16
                                Originally posted by biggie12
                                Secret gaucho dont want to revel too mich info about myself sorry
                                Haha no worries pal - i totally get it. Good luck
                                Comment
                                • docwatson
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 09-25-08
                                  • 205

                                  #17
                                  Next up is the Beverly D at Arlington. The #13 Sea Calisi (B-Ranked) is the 1/2 favorite right now with Chad Brown who's horse Beach Patrol just won the Secretariat in Race 7 at AP. We got a sneaky good Philly as the top ranked A choice #14 Pretty Girl. Has a sweet turn of foot and beat Grade 3 Males her last time out. Then our 3rd ranked #12 Faufiler who also as a great turn of foot, and could surprise if the pace is a modest one.

                                  It's not regularly I go after a 1/2, and I do have the 13 in the exotics. However the 14 & 12 may be worth a win ticket as well.

                                  MTWBY

                                  Doc
                                  Comment
                                  • docwatson
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 09-25-08
                                    • 205

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by docwatson
                                    Next up is the Beverly D at Arlington. The #13 Sea Calisi (B-Ranked) is the 1/2 favorite right now with Chad Brown who's horse Beach Patrol just won the Secretariat in Race 7 at AP. We got a sneaky good Philly as the top ranked A choice #14 Pretty Girl. Has a sweet turn of foot and beat Grade 3 Males her last time out. Then our 3rd ranked #12 Faufiler who also as a great turn of foot, and could surprise if the pace is a modest one.

                                    It's not regularly I go after a 1/2, and I do have the 13 in the exotics. However the 14 & 12 may be worth a win ticket as well.

                                    MTWBY

                                    Doc
                                    Well Chad Brown and the even money Favorite Sea Calisi wins it rather easily for a turf race. Beautiful trip Geroux and this Filly.

                                    Doc
                                    Comment
                                    • slayer14
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-12-13
                                      • 22007

                                      #19
                                      is there a stream online for the arlington racing
                                      Comment
                                      • Easy-Rider 66
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 02-14-12
                                        • 36081

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by slayer14
                                        is there a stream online for the arlington racing
                                        Twinspires used to be good for Arlington and other tracks but I can not seem to access it lately. If you go to NBC sports (Horse racing section) and click watch races it should come up. Let me know if you can access Arlington if you try. Thx.
                                        Comment
                                        • docwatson
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 09-25-08
                                          • 205

                                          #21
                                          Badda-Big-Badda-Boom.

                                          Race 9 at Arlington with the Exacta and Trifecta $244.80 Exacta & $349.10 $0.50 Tr. Next Up Race 10 at Woodbine.

                                          11 $37.40 $13.40 $6.20
                                          2 . $6.20 $4.60
                                          3 . . $3.40
                                          $1.00 Exacta 11/2 $122.40
                                          $0.50 Trifecta 11/2/3 $349.10
                                          Comment
                                          • docwatson
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 09-25-08
                                            • 205

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                            Twinspires used to be good for Arlington and other tracks but I can not seem to access it lately. If you go to NBC sports (Horse racing section) and click watch races it should come up. Let me know if you can access Arlington if you try. Thx.
                                            I always use Twinspires for Arlington.

                                            The B-Ranked #6 gets the 10th at Woodbine, but the A-Ranked couldn't get up for place. So the combinations were off just enough.

                                            On to the Arlington Million.

                                            Doc
                                            Comment
                                            • slayer14
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-12-13
                                              • 22007

                                              #23
                                              Tryster should win it
                                              Comment
                                              • docwatson
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 09-25-08
                                                • 205

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by docwatson
                                                I always use Twinspires for Arlington.

                                                The B-Ranked #6 gets the 10th at Woodbine, but the A-Ranked couldn't get up for place. So the combinations were off just enough.

                                                On to the Arlington Million.

                                                Doc
                                                Got the exacta and Trifecta in the Arlington Million paying $149.8 for $2 exacta & $504.60 for the $0.50 trifecta. Only three races remaining from Del Mar ( Races 6-9- & 10). Profitable day regardless what happens there.

                                                9 $10.80 $6.40 $4.80
                                                6 . $13.20 $9.40
                                                13 . . $7.00
                                                $1.00 Exacta 9/6 $74.90
                                                $0.50 Trifecta 9/6/13 $504.60
                                                Comment
                                                • Easy-Rider 66
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 02-14-12
                                                  • 36081

                                                  #25
                                                  You are on point. Hope to see you post your plays again. Good Job.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • docwatson
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 09-25-08
                                                    • 205

                                                    #26
                                                    Race 6 at Del Mar had the D Rank 8/1 M/L #9 horse close at 4/1 and go on for the win in a head bobbing battle with #12 It's Just Bob who just missed the cut. The B-Ranked #10 got up for Show but wasn't close to getting any piece of the exacta. On To race 9 where the surf meets the turf. Post time in a little over an hour.

                                                    Doc
                                                    Comment
                                                    • docwatson
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 09-25-08
                                                      • 205

                                                      #27
                                                      Race 9 goes well enough with the 9/1 A-Ranked #4 going wire-to-wire holding off the B-Ranked 5/1 #9 for place. I'll take two timed Boxed exacta for $133.00 for every 2-bucks wagered.

                                                      Last one coming up at Del Mar a Maiden Special Weight Race 10, and then I'll call it an evening.

                                                      4 $21.60 $11.00 $7.40
                                                      9 . $6.80 $4.80
                                                      8 . . $8.00
                                                      $1.00 Exacta 4/9 $66.50
                                                      $2.00 Quinella 4/9 $73.60
                                                      Doc
                                                      Comment
                                                      • docwatson
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 09-25-08
                                                        • 205

                                                        #28
                                                        Made for a long day, and a cancellation at the Spa after 16 races here's how it lined up after the 10th at DMR.

                                                        Speaking of the 10th we close out Del Mar in style hitting the $2 Exacta for $145.60 and had the $0.50 Trifecta Times Two for a total of $384.10. The E Horse #5 hits at 10/1 and the A-Ranked #7 and B-Ranked #3 ran for place and show.

                                                        Tickets cashed in 8 of 16 races.

                                                        Exacta $1499.30 Out with $768 In. A ROI of +95.2%

                                                        Trifecta $3778.10 Out with $1440. A ROI of +162%

                                                        5 $23.60 $10.60 $5.60
                                                        7 . $8.40 $5.60
                                                        3 . . $3.20
                                                        $1.00 Exacta 5/7 $73.80
                                                        $2.00 Quinella 5/7 $69.20
                                                        $0.50 Trifecta 5/7/3 $192.05
                                                        Have a good night you guys!

                                                        Doc
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jjgold
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-20-05
                                                          • 388189

                                                          #29
                                                          Doc good stuff
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Booya711
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 12-20-11
                                                            • 27329

                                                            #30
                                                            Doc seems like a horse Pro
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Jayvegas420
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 03-09-11
                                                              • 28213

                                                              #31
                                                              10 to 1 winner in the final race. Well done
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kidcudi92
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-14-11
                                                                • 15434

                                                                #32
                                                                dear god please doc, keep posting
                                                                Comment
                                                                • gauchojake
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 09-17-10
                                                                  • 34103

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I'd be interested in the methodology doc uses to cape the horses he puts in the plays.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Jayvegas420
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 03-09-11
                                                                    • 28213

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Past performances, claiming price changes, driver's/trainer's %......?
                                                                    Horse racing handicapping is kinda limited compared to sports betting.
                                                                    Comment
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