1. 05-30-16 06:50 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Monday, 5/30/16

    3 MLB Plays Monday So Far

    Dodgers +134 (Heritage)
    Yankees +145 (Heritage)
    Rays +101 (Heritage)


    YTD: 146-153-7, +0.50

    More Coming
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  2. 05-30-16 07:04 AM #2
    LT Profits
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    4 MLB Plays

    4 MLB Plays Monday

    Dodgers +134 (Heritage)
    Nationals / Phillies OVER 7.5 -105 (Heritage)
    Yankees +145 (Heritage)
    Rays +101 (Heritage)
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  3. 05-30-16 07:26 AM #3
    hit_me90
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    good morning LT does Harvey have anything left in the tank or can we be fair and blame the surgery? thoughts on mets/sox UNDER ?
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  4. 05-30-16 07:29 AM #4
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    Just two 60%ers despite full holiday card:

    San Francisco 64% (-177)
    Seattle 63% (-170)
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  5. 05-30-16 07:30 AM #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by hit_me90 View Post
    good morning LT does Harvey have anything left in the tank or can we be fair and blame the surgery? thoughts on mets/sox UNDER ?
    Harvey ratings have been downgraded BUT I still end up with total of 7.2. No play for me.
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  6. 05-30-16 07:31 AM #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Harvey ratings have been downgraded BUT I still end up with total of 7.2. No play for me.
    I should add that Quintana has quietly been one of the best pitchers in baseball this year too.
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  7. 05-30-16 08:54 AM #7
    Yazworm91
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    No value on Padres +187? I got hooked at +171 last night. Sprinkled a little more this am.
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  8. 05-30-16 08:59 AM #8
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yazworm91 View Post
    No value on Padres +187? I got hooked at +171 last night. Sprinkled a little more this am.
    Theoretically yes, but I want bigger variance than usual here because Karns grades out SO much better than Cashner. A bit surprised model line is not higher.
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  9. 05-30-16 09:02 AM #9
    jjgold
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    Yankees playing well

    ride the streaks
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  10. 05-30-16 09:23 AM #10
    gpet1984
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    Whats your opinion on the Bos/Bal total. Its going to be pretty hard for Wright to control the knuckle ball in the rain. Hes getting a little to much respect to begin with. I get the feeling its going to be a slug fest.
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  11. 05-30-16 09:26 AM #11
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by gpet1984 View Post
    Whats your opinion on the Bos/Bal total. Its going to be pretty hard for Wright to control the knuckle ball in the rain. Hes getting a little to much respect to begin with. I get the feeling its going to be a slug fest.
    Just a small lean of Over for me as I get 9.5. Could become a play if total drops to 8.5, which is possible with the Under 9 now juiced.
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  12. 05-30-16 09:28 AM #12
    gpet1984
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Just a small lean of Over for me as I get 9.5. Could become a play if total drops to 8.5, which is possible with the Under 9 now juiced.
    Thanks and good luck today
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  13. 05-30-16 09:45 AM #13
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Yankees playing well

    ride the streaks
    LT said two weeks ago something to the effect that there are no streaks, worth betting on.
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  14. 05-30-16 10:41 AM #14
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    LT said two weeks ago something to the effect that there are no streaks, worth betting on.
    Right, Yankees play today has nothing to do with streak, you have to handicap each game in its own merit in a vacuum.
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  15. 05-30-16 10:46 AM #15
    Everest
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    BOL bud!
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  16. 05-30-16 10:52 AM #16
    7777KaL
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    3 MLB Plays Monday So Far

    Dodgers +134 (Heritage)
    Yankees +145 (Heritage)
    Rays +101 (Heritage)


    YTD: 146-153-7, +0.50

    More Coming
    BOL today. You REALLY need it. If not back to the negative you go!!
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  17. 05-30-16 11:26 AM #17
    Nateboogy
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    What does model say about stros? Feel like the number is too high and I'm a stros fan.
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  18. 05-30-16 11:32 AM #18
    RavensFan2k3
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    Mets and Athletics today
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  19. 05-30-16 11:33 AM #19
    POOLSIDE
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    How do you factor weather? For example the over in the Nats/phillies game.
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  20. 05-30-16 11:33 AM #20
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nateboogy View Post
    What does model say about stros? Feel like the number is too high and I'm a stros fan.
    Astros just missed being a 60%er, 59% (-144).

    Line seems fine.
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  21. 05-30-16 11:39 AM #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Mets and Athletics today
    I get White Sox 56% (-127) and Athletics just 51% (-104)
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  22. 05-30-16 11:41 AM #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by POOLSIDE View Post
    How do you factor weather? For example the over in the Nats/phillies game.
    Model does not, I have to use judgment Although I rarely pay attention outside of Wrigley and roof in Arizona.
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  23. 05-30-16 11:45 AM #23
    POOLSIDE
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    Gotcha, thanks for the reply
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  24. 05-30-16 12:46 PM #24
    44 Mag
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    [QUOTE=LT Profits;25793836]Model does not, I have to use judgment Although I rarely pay attention outside of Wrigley and roof in Arizona.[/QUOTE]

    What about in April when it is snowing in Colorado ??? And Boston and Detroit and Cleveland and Pitt.
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  25. 05-30-16 12:47 PM #25
    RavensFan2k3
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    What do you know about Edwin Escobar of the Diamond backs?
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  26. 05-30-16 01:12 PM #26
    LT Profits
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    [QUOTE=44 Mag;25794098]
    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Model does not, I have to use judgment Although I rarely pay attention outside of Wrigley and roof in Arizona.[/QUOTE]

    What about in April when it is snowing in Colorado ??? And Boston and Detroit and Cleveland and Pitt.
    I am talking about stadiums tracked regularly year round. Wrigley (wind) and Chase (roof) are really the only two with extreme variances depending on the conditions.
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  27. 05-30-16 01:13 PM #27
    funnyb25
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    [QUOTE=44 Mag;25794098]
    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Model does not, I have to use judgment Although I rarely pay attention outside of Wrigley and roof in Arizona.[/QUOTE]

    What about in April when it is snowing in Colorado ??? And Boston and Detroit and Cleveland and Pitt.
    They play baseball games in the snow?
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  28. 05-30-16 01:33 PM #28
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    What do you know about Edwin Escobar of the Diamond backs?
    He is nothing special, went undrafted and signed as undrafted free agent in 2009, so been around for a while. He has been pitching basically year round too, spending winters in Venezuelan League. Career minor league record of 30-46 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. That WHIP seems adequate because he does not walk a lot of batters, but he does not strike out a lot either, so generally pitches to contact. Primarily a two-pitch pitcher with fastball and changeup. Throws curve at times, but has had trouble commanding it.
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    RavensFan2k3 gave LT Profits 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

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  29. 05-30-16 01:36 PM #29
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    He is nothing special, went undrafted and signed as undrafted free agent in 2009, so been around for a while. He has been pitching basically year round too, spending winters in Venezuelan League. Career minor league record of 30-46 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.37 WHIP. That WHIP seems adequate because he does not walk a lot of batters, but he does not strike out a lot either, so generally pitches to contact. Primarily a two-pitch pitcher with fastball and changeup. Throws curve at times, but has had trouble commanding it.
    Also, Arizona claimed him off waivers from Red Sox in late April, so fact that Boston designated him for assignment is probably not a good sign.
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  30. 05-30-16 02:47 PM #30
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Mets and Athletics today
    Thats one
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  31. 05-30-16 05:03 PM #31
    Yazworm91
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    Cashner is so bad
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  32. 05-30-16 05:08 PM #32
    44 Mag
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    [QUOTE=LT Profits;25794218]
    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post

    I am talking about stadiums tracked regularly year round. Wrigley (wind) and Chase (roof) are really the only two with extreme variances depending on the conditions.
    Hey, don't get so testy. You made a comment, and I commented on it. Jeez !!!!! By the way, they are the only 2 stadiums dependent on conditions. Please ....
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  33. 05-30-16 05:15 PM #33
    LT Profits
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    [QUOTE=44 Mag;25795278]
    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Hey, don't get so testy. You made a comment, and I commented on it. Jeez !!!!! By the way, they are the only 2 stadiums dependent on conditions. Please ....
    Me? Testy? Na.

    And I said only two with extreme variances. That is why books are not scared to post overnight totals everywhere except Wrigley, the wind makes that much difference there. And they post overnights at Chase based on roof schedule, but if there is a late change there on gameday, bettors could have an edge on total if they act quickly.
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  34. 05-30-16 05:53 PM #34
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Mets and Athletics today
    Pound the winners
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  35. 05-30-16 06:35 PM #35
    NardVa
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    What does the model say about Tampa and KC? KC is coming in hot, but the Tampa pitcher seems pretty solid.
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