[Ballerholic]

What's up guys! Ballerholic is back to make some money. I know quite a few of you enjoy fading my picks, but no harsh feelings. I've got $400 now and my goal is to hit $1000 this summer. I'll be playing about 5% of my bankroll as a unit, so if I need to drop I will. Let's hope I don't! Everything will be played from straight bets, parlays, teasers, and futures. At around $20 a unit, I'll basically need about 30 units to reach $1000.

First plays...

Future- Cavs to win NBA Championship +525

Teaser- Raptors -2, Hawks pk -105

Parlay- Heat series, Clippers series +111

Parlay- ATL Hawks series, Raptors series +105

[Ballerholic]

Pirates/Brewers Under 7.5 -110

Red Sox ML -125

Athletics ML -105

Blackhawks +100


Following LT profits with MLB

[jjgold]

These roads never have a good ending

Good luck Hallic

[Ballerholic]

Thanks Gold.

Phillies +125

[Jayvegas420]

Thoughts on the Blackhawks?

[Ballerholic]

Last game the Hawks had way more shots on net and missed breakaways. They took it to OT and lost on a fluke goal without their best defender. Hawks are a playoff team and this is a statement game for them. +100 holds value

[texhooper]

dude at 5% with $400 you can make it to $1000 pretty quick. just be cool, you seem to be making a shit-ton of plays early.

knock this out baller.

[Ballerholic]

I'm trying man. I do have a lot of plays though lol

[texhooper]

when are you adjusting your amounts? if you want to be aggressive i'd adjust every $100. then you're talking about roughly +20 units. you can do that with patience, and the summer is long. plus you have like the derby and fights and stuff like that. the only thing is you don't want to knock yourself out in a day or two by taking too much shit. you'll be fine though, i think you'll be fine.

[Ballerholic]

when are you adjusting your amounts? if you want to be aggressive i'd adjust every $100. then you're talking about roughly +20 units. you can do that with patience, and the summer is long. plus you have like the derby and fights and stuff like that. the only thing is you don't want to knock yourself out in a day or two by taking too much shit. you'll be fine though, i think you'll be fine.

You make good points. I think I'll adjust every 100 and yea I'll cut back on the amount of plays.

[Ballerholic]

YTD: 2-3 -1.2 units

Rockets +13

Rockets have a much better team than last year and this is a revenge situation after being knocked out in the playoffs. If you look at the scores between these two teams the past year you'll see 13 having value.

Rockets-Warriors Under 225

I'm going off the scores from their past match ups over the last year and the scores most of the time have stayed under this total, especially in last years playoffs. I expect the Warriors and the Rockets to be a little tired having not rested at the end of the season.

[Ballerholic]

YTD: 3-5 -2.29 units

Pistons +10.5

Pistons have been giving the Cavs trouble all year long. I expect that to possibly continue today, but 10 points is too much

Heat -4

On a neutral site the Heat would be -1 with this spread, I think they're the better team and in a game 1 I would take the -1 any day.

Heat/Hornets Under 200

3 of the 4 games this season have gone under this total. Playoff basketball is usually a bit slower and more defensive.

[Ballerholic]

YTD: 5-6 -1.47 units

Warriors/Rockets Under 218

Curry is questionable here and I think Kerr will try to play Curry as little as possible tonight. These teams don't like each other and will play physical.

Parlay- Raptors -3, Thunder -6 -115

Raptors are in a much win situation here and there's no way the Thunder are going to lose their match. Especially with DWills out.

[Jayvegas420]

Parlay the Raps and OKC?

[GunShard]

Golden State Warriors could win back to back championships.

[Ballerholic]

Jay- Yea I've taken them at alternative point spreads in a parlay.

GunShard- I agree they definitely could. But if we look at the odds we're getting Cavs at +525. So they need to win around 1 in 6 times. I think most would agree they'll win the Eastern Conference 9/10 times. Then they've got to either play a very tired opponent. Warriors have to get through the Clippers (huge rival and the Clips are definitely seeking revenge) and then they'll have to play the Spurs (who are one of the best Spurs teams in years), and then they have to beat the Cavs (who are in a huge revenge situation here and will have both Love and Irving playing this time) with a ton of pressure and expectation put on them. At +525 I think we've got a good bet.

[Ballerholic]

Parlay- Mets ML, Raptors ML +100

Must win for Toronto. Syndergaard has won past two stars against phillies, going up against a pitcher who lost his past matchup with Mets. The Mets are starting to hit well again, and I think they'll give Syndergaard some run support this time.

[jjgold]

Hallic this one I like

[Jayvegas420]

Yes Coach. I like both teasers.

[Ballerholic]

Tottenham Spurs to win -133

Tottenham are trying to close the gap and are in a race for first place in the Barclay's Premier League with Leicester City tying their game and Vardy getting a red. If there is any time to capitalize it's here.

[DeathAdder]

Just take Warriors to win Championship and call it a day. You will hit your goal just with that bet alone!!!

[Ballerholic]

YTD: 7-8 -1.72 units

Newcastle +1 +100

Newcastle were up 1-0 last game against Man City and lost 6-1, their worse lose of the season. They are in the relegation zone and I expect them to play better here. Most games this season again top teams have been ties or loses by 1 goal.

Ducks ML

Ducks need this or the series is over for one of the best teams in the League with plenty of playoff experience.

Rangers ML -105

Great home team, have 3rd best home record in the league. Their goaltender is back and they're up against a 3rd string goalie on the other end.

[sweethook]

your hot streak is coming

[Ballerholic]

YTD: 9-9 -0.81 units

No plays of yet. We'll see how it goes.

[Ballerholic]

your hot streak is coming

I sure hope so man. If only there were more games, I'm not really a MLB bettor

[jjgold]

Holic go all in

I am getting tired of this grind

[Jayvegas420]

He gets into the black tonight

[Ballerholic]

Lol so I looked into a few plays and I actually like a lot...

Miami -4.5

Pistons +10.5

Sharks -120

Athletico Madrid to win

Parlay- Heat ML, Cavs ML, Clippers ML, Thunder ML, Warriors ML, Spurs ML, Man Utd -.5, Real Madrid -.5, Barcelona -.5 (.5 to win 4)

[Ballerholic]

Heat- 3rd best home record in East vs worst away record in East. Miami too experienced and talented. I always thought they could rival the Cavs with Bosh healthy. -4.5 means -1.5 on a neutral site.

Pistons- Physical last game. Pistons were leading into the 4th and threw it away. Pistons will work hard and 10.5 is a good amount to have.

Sharks- knocked out of playoffs by the Kings 2 years ago after going up 3-0. This is the game that will change the series. Sharks outplayed Kings last match and will be motivated here to keep the advantage.

Athletico Madrid -.05- Tied at top of table with Barcelona. They are playing very well and are going for the title with 5 games to play. Athletic Bilbao seem more destined for a Europa spot. Better team here with more motivation.

Parlay- I got a free bet from Bet365 and thought I'd throw in a parlay, but the site used my own cash instead of the free bet! Oh well.

[Jayvegas420]

I have never received a free bet from Bet365, they are always in the form of bonuses which are added directly to my cash balance. I wouldn't know how to use a free BET. Let me know if you figure it out

[Ballerholic]

YTD: 12-10 +.84 units

Finally in the black.

A few plays already for today...

NHL Rangers ML

Rangers should have won the last game agains the Penguins. Rangers have the 3rd best home record in the league and have the more experienced and better quality goaltender. Huge game here for the Rangers to take the advantage.

Blackhawks ML +110

I think the Hawks should have won the last game, they blew both home games and now have to scramble for this one. Big game here for the Hawks and we're getting plus money.

*Pending*

Parlay- Heat ML, Cavs ML, Clippers ML, Thunder ML, Warriors ML, Spurs ML, Man Utd -.5, Real Madrid -.5, Barcelona -.5 (.5 to win 4)

Parlay- Heat Series, Clippers Series

Parlay- Hawks series, Raptors Series

Cavs to win outright

[Ballerholic]

I have never received a free bet from Bet365, they are always in the form of bonuses which are added directly to my cash balance. I wouldn't know how to use a free BET. Let me know if you figure it out

Yea it's strange, in the past I used to only get cash bonuses added to my balance as well. With these "Free bets" I think they can only be used on straight bets. There also is no option to use the free bet or use your cash balance. So whichever straight bet you place first will use the free bet

[jjgold]

[Ballerholic]

Thanks for the voice message

[gdon44]

Yea it's strange, in the past I used to only get cash bonuses added to my balance as well. With these "Free bets" I think they can only be used on straight bets. There also is no option to use the free bet or use your cash balance. So whichever straight bet you place first will use the free bet

Usually the free bet is to live in-play to promote a certain game. I get free bet offers from the a lot but it's on a Champions League game or high profile Soccer match but it comes with strings attached. The free bet is offered if you bet on, say Man U vs Madrid, pre game then they will give you a free bet live on the same game up to the amount of your pregame bet. So you have to bet first and then the free bet can be played after kickoff. That's usually what I've seen from Bet365.