1. 04-05-16 07:23 AM #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    MLB - Tuesday, 4/5/16

    2 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Tigers/ Marlins OVER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
    Padres +115 (Heritage)


    YTD: 4-3, +2.82
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 04-05-16 07:57 AM #2
    Suggartown
    Will work for 1/2 points
    Suggartown's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-06-13
    Posts: 565
    Betpoints: 78

    LT I know I read somewhere yesterday you said at a certain time in the mornings Bookmaker goes to dime lines but I looked all day yesterday and didn't see it happen. There is one now is like to hit if that happens but at current price not worth it. It's .20 instead of dime atm
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 04-05-16 07:59 AM #3
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Surprisingly not one 60%er Tuesday despite the big card.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 04-05-16 08:00 AM #4
    SEAHAWKHARRY
    Northern Lights
    SEAHAWKHARRY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-29-07
    Posts: 26,068
    Betpoints: 2385

    LT. Tell me sgsin what's this 60% stuff?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 04-05-16 08:02 AM #5
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Suggartown View Post
    LT I know I read somewhere yesterday you said at a certain time in the mornings Bookmaker goes to dime lines but I looked all day yesterday and didn't see it happen. There is one now is like to hit if that happens but at current price not worth it. It's .20 instead of dime atm
    Yes at around 10am ET, but they have a low cut-off. Nonetheless, all games have lower juice after 10am than before, but not nearly as low as Heritage / 5D.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 04-05-16 08:03 AM #6
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by SEAHAWKHARRY View Post
    LT. Tell me sgsin what's this 60% stuff?
    Games that model gives at least a 60% chance of winning. Those are NOT plays for me and I oftentimes go against them when the price is right (i.e., Colorado yesterday).
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 04-05-16 08:04 AM #7
    SEAHAWKHARRY
    Northern Lights
    SEAHAWKHARRY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 11-29-07
    Posts: 26,068
    Betpoints: 2385

    Oh ok cool thanks for the info
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 04-05-16 08:06 AM #8
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Suggartown View Post
    LT I know I read somewhere yesterday you said at a certain time in the mornings Bookmaker goes to dime lines but I looked all day yesterday and didn't see it happen. There is one now is like to hit if that happens but at current price not worth it. It's .20 instead of dime atm
    There were some on the games with lower odds. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/bett.../mlb-baseball/

    I THINK their dime lines cut off at -140
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 04-05-16 08:12 AM #9
    burtonrider726
    burtonrider726's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-15-13
    Posts: 247
    Betpoints: 6656

    I'm from the West coast and currently on vacation on the East coast. I don't know how y'all do it, games starting at 7pm and late games ending 1-2am!! Drives me crazy how late game start. Thanks for the plays LT. Long season grind and I thank ya!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 04-05-16 08:19 AM #10
    blackHIPPY
    THESE NIGGAS PLANKTON
    blackHIPPY's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-01-14
    Posts: 3,867
    Betpoints: 1610

    Quote Originally Posted by burtonrider726 View Post
    I'm from the West coast and currently on vacation on the East coast. I don't know how y'all do it, games starting at 7pm and late games ending 1-2am!! Drives me crazy how late game start. Thanks for the plays LT. Long season grind and I thank ya!
    yea but 9 am football games
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 04-05-16 08:42 AM #11
    Suggartown
    Will work for 1/2 points
    Suggartown's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-06-13
    Posts: 565
    Betpoints: 78

    You are right, I'm getting terrible lines. I need to move more $ out of bookmaker to the others. Thanks LT
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 04-05-16 09:05 AM #12
    TheChamp1
    TheChamp1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-20-15
    Posts: 811
    Betpoints: 6383

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    2 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Tigers/ Marlins OVER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
    Padres +115 (Heritage)


    YTD: 4-3, +2.82
    LOVE that Padres pick, LT.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 04-05-16 09:38 AM #13
    jgold254
    jgold254's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-12
    Posts: 886
    Betpoints: 1840

    Quote Originally Posted by burtonrider726 View Post
    I'm from the West coast and currently on vacation on the East coast. I don't know how y'all do it, games starting at 7pm and late games ending 1-2am!! Drives me crazy how late game start. Thanks for the plays LT. Long season grind and I thank ya!
    I ask the same thing about yal... Who the heck wants to get up at 9am on a Sunday to watch the NFL? East Coast 1pm games please and thank you.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 04-05-16 10:17 AM #14
    Smoke
    Smoke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-09
    Posts: 48,111
    Betpoints: 1510

    Any 60%ers?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 04-05-16 10:19 AM #15
    POOLSIDE
    POOLSIDE's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-06-14
    Posts: 2,839
    Betpoints: 586

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Surprisingly not one 60%er Tuesday despite the big card.
    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    Any 60%ers?
    ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 04-05-16 10:31 AM #16
    funnyb25
    Go Get Laid Man!
    funnyb25's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-09-09
    Posts: 39,622
    Betpoints: 24008

    Quote Originally Posted by POOLSIDE View Post
    ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
    Classic, the laziness and lack of effort to even try never ceases to amaze me around here..
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 04-05-16 10:37 AM #17
    agendaman
    agendaman's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-01-11
    Posts: 3,660
    Betpoints: 14010

    in 6 career starts at progressive field david price is 4-0 with a 2.14 era and 39 k's in 37 innings nuff said for me
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 04-05-16 10:40 AM #18
    mikefan1034
    mikefan1034's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-29-12
    Posts: 2,448
    Betpoints: 1233

    Quote Originally Posted by agendaman View Post
    in 6 career starts at progressive field david price is 4-0 with a 2.14 era and 39 k's in 37 innings nuff said for me
    Tell that to ilose the pink hat sox fan
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 04-05-16 10:48 AM #19
    l7ustin
    l7ustin's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-08
    Posts: 3,914
    Betpoints: 2724

    Nice hit on the rockies. Good to see you start out in the +
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 04-05-16 12:55 PM #20
    jgold254
    jgold254's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-12
    Posts: 886
    Betpoints: 1840

    Quote Originally Posted by agendaman View Post
    in 6 career starts at progressive field david price is 4-0 with a 2.14 era and 39 k's in 37 innings nuff said for me
    Good call. Threw some on them myself.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 04-05-16 02:20 PM #21
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    2 MLB Additions

    4 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Mets -117 (Bookmaker)
    Tigers/ Marlins OVER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox -114 (Heritage)
    Padres +115 (Heritage)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 04-05-16 02:39 PM #22
    oChRoNiCo
    DON'T TALK ABOUT IT, BE ABOUT IT SON!
    oChRoNiCo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-18-09
    Posts: 2,984
    Betpoints: 12049

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    4 MLB Plays Tuesday

    Mets -117 (Bookmaker)
    Tigers/ Marlins OVER 7.5 +102 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox -114 (Heritage)
    Padres +115 (Heritage)
    We match up on the Padres with Mets & White Sox just missing as being plays for me GL with the plays LT!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 04-05-16 03:14 PM #23
    HendoNation
    HendoNation's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-15-11
    Posts: 78
    Betpoints: 1194

    Can I ask why you fade your model when it shows > 60% chance of winning?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 04-05-16 03:17 PM #24
    ATLIEN6
    ATLIEN6's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-15-16
    Posts: 1,472
    Betpoints: 435

    Quote Originally Posted by HendoNation View Post
    Can I ask why you fade your model when it shows > 60% chance of winning?
    I think he said he fades when there is alot of value on the other side
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 04-05-16 03:37 PM #25
    oChRoNiCo
    DON'T TALK ABOUT IT, BE ABOUT IT SON!
    oChRoNiCo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-18-09
    Posts: 2,984
    Betpoints: 12049

    Quote Originally Posted by HendoNation View Post
    Can I ask why you fade your model when it shows > 60% chance of winning?
    It was a value bet even though Arizona was a 60% play the value on Colorado was more than what his percentage had so he went against the 60% play which LT stated he doesn't play just because they're 60% he only posts those as others on the site have requested him to do so.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 04-05-16 03:52 PM #26
    jgold254
    jgold254's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-12
    Posts: 886
    Betpoints: 1840

    Quote Originally Posted by ATLIEN6 View Post
    I think he said he fades when there is alot of value on the other side
    If you bet thos 60%ers all season, you're gonna lose money. Sometimes the risk isn't worth the juice.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 04-05-16 05:11 PM #27
    gino22193
    gino22193's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-05-16
    Posts: 1
    Betpoints: 6

    What's your percentage on the cards game?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 04-05-16 07:58 PM #28
    GotGreek
    GotGreek's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-14
    Posts: 335
    Betpoints: 11727

    These Marlins need to get on the board
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 04-05-16 08:02 PM #29
    jgold254
    jgold254's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-12
    Posts: 886
    Betpoints: 1840

    Quote Originally Posted by GotGreek View Post
    These Marlins need to get on the board

    Doesn't bother me if they get shutout. As long as Detroit scores 8! :-D
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 04-05-16 08:18 PM #30
    GotGreek
    GotGreek's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-14-14
    Posts: 335
    Betpoints: 11727

    Not lookin good noe that chen is out of the game, miami will get shut out
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 04-05-16 08:33 PM #31
    afgballer56
    afgballer56's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-14
    Posts: 1,312
    Betpoints: 417

    bang theirs the over
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 04-05-16 08:35 PM #32
    jgold254
    jgold254's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-12
    Posts: 886
    Betpoints: 1840

    Quote Originally Posted by afgballer56 View Post
    bang theirs the over
    Cha ching.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 04-06-16 01:57 AM #33
    POOLSIDE
    POOLSIDE's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-06-14
    Posts: 2,839
    Betpoints: 586

    LT, I like the pace
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Baseball Betting | Next Thread »