Dame has dropped to -2.5, which is slightly towards my line of Dame winning by less than 2 points. I actually think, at this point that this could benefit Notre Dame, but still a good pass.
I know for certain which type of money is hit (or at least is being reflected and anticipated in bookie protection) and can say the books often use this type of movement from these groups to piggyback hoping for some steam. There could very well be an attempt to pick up more bets on Michigan, or even create more action in general. Let’s see if it ticks back to 3.
The market has experienced some public chaos as Michigan State lost today. To keep it in perspective, while many unsophisticated forecasters had Michigan State winning by almost 20 points, my sharper conclusions had a closer game of Michigan St. winning by about 4 points.
The chaos isn’t as big as the news will have you believe but this environment, in my opinion, makes this Notre Dame game, already with a pretty sharp line, more of a gamble.
Comment
MoMoneyMoVaughn
SBR Posting Legend
05-08-14
14988
#38
Corbin knew.
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388189
#39
Thanks Mo
Comment
MoMoneyMoVaughn
SBR Posting Legend
05-08-14
14988
#40
Originally posted by jjgold
Thanks Mo
Credit where it's due.
JJ I will page you.
Comment
vividjohn45
SBR Hall of Famer
11-21-10
6331
#41
Originally posted by jjgold
I recommend every SBR poster go fishing at the lake, River, or an ocean or go fishing for pussy tomorrow
Ive got one nhl wager today. And im debating to hit da pussy hard tonite or save it for a different gal tomorrow who is proly going to go eat dinner with me. . Smh.
Comment
vividjohn45
SBR Hall of Famer
11-21-10
6331
#42
Back in the day. Id hit it b2b to b2b different gals. Im not so good at that anymore. I seriously dont want to under perform on day 2 gal. Lol
Comment
MoMoneyMoVaughn
SBR Posting Legend
05-08-14
14988
#43
Vivid John you need to reassess your life pal.
What in the fukk are you talking about?
Comment
Antibet
SBR MVP
10-30-09
1688
#44
I see non predictive unsophisticated models giving you guys a chance to win in sportsbetting. However, more sophisticated models clearly indicate that you guys are, and always be, just a bunch of pathetic losers
Comment
ThaTopMoron
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-30-10
27018
#45
gave u another easy winner with Syracuse +1
games are not impossible... not as easy as conf tourney but easier than most of the reg season
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#46
If this thread successfully took you off of Iowa -7 or put you onto Bakersfield +14.5 or +15, then it was a success.
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#47
Originally posted by The Kraken
Bet against OU and you will be profitable
Nice.
Comment
MoMoneyMoVaughn
SBR Posting Legend
05-08-14
14988
#48
Originally posted by KVB
If this thread successfully took you off of Iowa -7 or put you onto Bakersfield +14.5 or +15, then it was a success.
Thread massive failure for me.
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388189
#49
mo nobody knows anything
Comment
KVB
SBR Aristocracy
05-29-14
74817
#50
JJ introduces yet another good point.
Bettors like JJ, who are always the "victim" over some "uncontrollable" circumstance are part of the reason why many market participants end up taking long term profit out of the pool.
JJ it's best to learn from mistakes than to rationalize them as impossible tasks to begin with, just because you failed or can't see the path to success.
Comment
INVEGA MAN
SBR Hall of Famer
01-30-08
6792
#51
going into today, Favorites were cleaning up
Comment
jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388189
#52
Buried
games are pure guesses even money lines
Comment
INVEGA MAN
SBR Hall of Famer
01-30-08
6792
#53
How is anything IMPOSSLE when is a 5050 pick. If it was 12 horses, YES, but 2 teams. 50/50