Interesting NBA situation going tonight!

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  • JMon
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-11-09
    • 9800

    #1
    Interesting NBA situation going tonight!
    I ran across this situation, not mine, but looked interesting and back tested it. Interesting numbers to say the least. It only happens with the elite and perhaps subjective, tired team. Anyway...it goes a favorite winning 18+ out their last 20 games; playing 6+ out their last 10, with an oppt. on less than 3 days rest.

    Since 2011:

    SU: 35-1 (15.33, 97.2%)
    ATS: 30-6-0 (7.06, 83.3%)

    The teams that streak on this situation are:

    The 2011 Spurs: 3-0 SU and ATS
    The 2012 Clippers: 1-0 SU and ATS
    The 2012 Heat: 13-1 SU and 10-4 ATS
    The 2013 Trailblazers: 1-0 SU and 0-1 ATS
    The 2013 Spurs: 6-0 SU and ATS
    The 2014 Hawk: 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS
    The 2015 Warriors: 2-0 SU and ATS

    Pending Warriors vs. Trailblazers tonight! Btw...the Heat lost to the Bulls 97-101 as 6 pt favs on Mar. 27 2013 for the lone SU loss.

    What's the play?
  • FortySix
    SBR High Roller
    • 02-18-14
    • 134

    #2
    Very interesting Jmon.. Love it.

    My guess would be the Suns are the play?
    Comment
    • FortySix
      SBR High Roller
      • 02-18-14
      • 134

      #3
      Sorry my bad, should have said that the Heat are the play against the Suns tonight.
      Comment
      • FortySix
        SBR High Roller
        • 02-18-14
        • 134

        #4
        Oh shit! I am all over the place. Just read your post again, and the Spurs have won 18 in their last 20 so Spurs would be the play seeing that the Knicks are a tired and subjective team, tired team and also playing their 3rd straight on the road.

        I also did an SDQL for Away dogs with +12 or more coming off 2 road dog wins and it gave me very strong evidence towards the Spurs covering tonight.
        Comment
        • JMon
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-11-09
          • 9800

          #5
          Originally posted by FortySix
          Sorry my bad, should have said that the Heat are the play against the Suns tonight.
          ah we talking about Warriors bro!

          Yet, I do like the Heat tonight!.
          Comment
          • play4win
            SBR MVP
            • 06-23-11
            • 2208

            #6
            someone has a lot of free time!
            Comment
            • JMon
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-11-09
              • 9800

              #7
              Originally posted by FortySix
              Oh shit! I am all over the place. Just read your post again, and the Spurs have won 18 in their last 20 so Spurs would be the play seeing that the Knicks are a tired and subjective team, tired team and also playing their 3rd straight on the road.

              I also did an SDQL for Away dogs with +12 or more coming off 2 road dog wins and it gave me very strong evidence towards the Spurs covering tonight.
              ..need to read a bit closer bro!
              Comment
              • JMon
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-11-09
                • 9800

                #8
                Originally posted by play4win
                someone has a lot of free time!
                that comment to me?
                Comment
                • upscope
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-26-11
                  • 2837

                  #9
                  my heads spinning....
                  Comment
                  • Mr KLC
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-19-07
                    • 30995

                    #10
                    OK. I'll bite. Just tailed you. Thanks for the info.
                    Comment
                    • FortySix
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 02-18-14
                      • 134

                      #11
                      Hahahah got you now JMon. Just misread your post previously.

                      Thoughts about this query JMon? This one is one I kept from your last season's SDQL thread
                      Last edited by FortySix; 01-09-16, 05:16 PM.
                      Comment
                      • R.P. McMurphy
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 06-15-12
                        • 9654

                        #12
                        Looks like Dubs are the play according to what I see. Bol Jmon!
                        Comment
                        • JMon
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-11-09
                          • 9800

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Mr KLC
                          OK. I'll bite. Just tailed you. Thanks for the info.
                          Geez, ok I'll play with you now. Didn't think I'd have any biters on this one. What line did you get KLC?

                          INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 550.00 win 500.00
                          867 Warriors -9½ (-110) risk 550.00 win 500.00 (NBA)
                          01/08/16 20:59:56
                          #34981117
                          Comment
                          • JMon
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 12-11-09
                            • 9800

                            #14
                            Originally posted by R.P. McMurphy
                            Looks like Dubs are the play according to what I see. Bol Jmon!
                            good possibility bro!
                            Comment
                            • FortySix
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 02-18-14
                              • 134

                              #15
                              Originally posted by JMon
                              Geez, ok I'll play with you now. Didn't think I'd have any biters on this one. What line did you get KLC?

                              INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 550.00 win 500.00
                              867 Warriors -9½ (-110) risk 550.00 win 500.00 (NBA)
                              01/08/16 20:59:56
                              #34981117
                              I love SDQL, wish you guys still had the thread from last season going.. BOL today buddy. On it with you
                              Comment
                              • Mr KLC
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 12-19-07
                                • 30995

                                #16
                                Originally posted by JMon
                                Geez, ok I'll play with you now. Didn't think I'd have any biters on this one. What line did you get KLC?

                                INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 550.00 win 500.00
                                867 Warriors -9½ (-110) risk 550.00 win 500.00 (NBA)
                                01/08/16 20:59:56
                                #34981117
                                I bought a point, and brought it back down to -8 1/2.
                                Comment
                                • smitch124
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 05-19-08
                                  • 12566

                                  #17
                                  Hope Curry can still shoot with shin guards
                                  Comment
                                  • JMon
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-11-09
                                    • 9800

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Mr KLC
                                    I bought a point, and brought it back down to -8 1/2.
                                    fukk..what did you pay for that?
                                    Comment
                                    • Mr KLC
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-19-07
                                      • 30995

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by JMon
                                      fukk..what did you pay for that?
                                      -130
                                      Comment
                                      • JMon
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-11-09
                                        • 9800

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by smitch124
                                        Hope Curry can still shoot with shin guards
                                        me too smitchy...wasn't going to play..but Mr. KLC took some, so I will play too and win/lose with him.
                                        Comment
                                        • pilebuck13
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-15-15
                                          • 17916

                                          #21
                                          I'm at the game tonight it's un real Portland has a strong home fan base and its overwhelmed with warrior fans it's crazy
                                          Comment
                                          • dfish
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-17-10
                                            • 2730

                                            #22
                                            In -9.5
                                            bol gents
                                            Comment
                                            • JMon
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 12-11-09
                                              • 9800

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by pilebuck13
                                              I'm at the game tonight it's un real Portland has a strong home fan base and its overwhelmed with warrior fans it's crazy

                                              Comment
                                              • JMon
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-11-09
                                                • 9800

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by dfish
                                                In -9.5
                                                bol gents
                                                Hope it comes through for us. Line didn't move much as hoped with the gs recent schedule. Looks like we are square tonight!
                                                Comment
                                                • Ballerholic
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-16-13
                                                  • 2767

                                                  #25
                                                  Lol and when a road fav is playing a home dog on the 27th day of the month, on a day beginning with the letter T, sporting red jerseys, with at least 2 white guys on the squad, with a bald head coach, when it had rained the previous night are 27-2 ATS
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JMon
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-11-09
                                                    • 9800

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Ballerholic
                                                    Lol and when a road fav is playing a home dog on the 27th day of the month, on a day beginning with the letter T, sporting red jerseys, with at least 2 white guys on the squad, with a bald head coach, when it had rained the previous night are 27-2 ATS
                                                    jeezus another fukkin idiot that doesn't understand situational play. I'm guessing you didn't read, but the spot is a tired - winning team and how the market reacts. Win or lose, historically it's been favorable, with GS winning two already in this spot this season. So if bettor did play this season, they would be up regardless of the outcome tonight.

                                                    Are you that fukking close minded to comprehend.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • rake922
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-23-07
                                                      • 11692

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by JMon
                                                      it goes a favorite winning 18+ out their last 20 games; playing 6+ out their last 10, with an oppt. on less than 3 days rest.
                                                      What is the Six plus?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • sweep
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-09-10
                                                        • 16753

                                                        #28
                                                        Good luck jmon, nice to see reasoning behind a play around here
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Ballerholic
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-16-13
                                                          • 2767

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by JMon
                                                          jeezus another fukkin idiot that doesn't understand situational play. I'm guessing you didn't read, but the spot is a tired - winning team and how the market reacts. Win or lose, historically it's been favorable, with GS winning two already in this spot this season. So if bettor did play this season, they would be up regardless of the outcome tonight.

                                                          Are you that fukking close minded to comprehend.
                                                          Lol man I'm just messing around
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JMon
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 12-11-09
                                                            • 9800

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by rake922
                                                            What is the Six plus?
                                                            games?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JMon
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-11-09
                                                              • 9800

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by sweep
                                                              Good luck jmon, nice to see reasoning behind a play around here
                                                              Comment
                                                              • rake922
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-23-07
                                                                • 11692

                                                                #32
                                                                I want to know why you cherry picked the 7 teams in post 1?

                                                                Where is the Pacers and OKC team from 2013
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JMon
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-11-09
                                                                  • 9800

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by rake922
                                                                  I want to know why you cherry picked the 7 teams in post 1?

                                                                  Where is the Pacers and OKC team from 2013
                                                                  lol.. I cherry picked the 2013 Trailblazer ATS loss too. I relayed what my database gave me. I would be interested in the teams you posted from that year so I can update any human error. Please post the 6-10 schedule, line and opponent's rest!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Mr KLC
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 12-19-07
                                                                    • 30995

                                                                    #34
                                                                    OK. Need this game to hit and then I'm 4-0 tonight. Hope this stays a blowout. The first 3 games went to the final seconds.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • agendaman
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-01-11
                                                                      • 3727

                                                                      #35
                                                                      in the long run these systems never work
                                                                      Comment
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