Line opened at Baylor -17.5

Wait on this line because the public is going to push this line into the 20s.

I have a feeling Baylor is not going to take UCF seriously and treat this game like a victory lap. They will strut in thinking they will hang 70 easily and not prepare like this is a quality opponent.

Bowl games are all about preparation, motivation, and which team wants to prepare hard to win more. We always see more talented teams lose in bowl games each year because the other team wants it more and took the game more seriously.

Now onto the game. UCF statistically is the best offense Baylor will face this year. UCF has a bad defense, so Baylor will score points. But Baylor was shut down their last 3 games. With 3.5 weeks to prepare, who knows what can happen. But I like UCF if the line goes into the 20s like I expect. Their offense can keep up in a shoot out.