Week 12 NCAA Early Significant Line Moves

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  • Senator7
    SBR MVP
    • 08-20-05
    • 1559

    #1
    Week 12 NCAA Early Significant Line Moves
    Here are the early significant (1.5 pts or more) line moves for next week's NCAA games.

    The first number is the opener, the second number is the current composite line composed from both Vegas and offshore books.

    Bowling Green -4, -6

    West Virginia -9, -13

    Texas -23.5, -26

    Virginia Tech -21, -22.5

    Tennessee -12, -10

    Miami -17, -18.5

    Fresno St. -14, -15.5

    Mid. Tenn. St. -3, -6

    I wish I could have gotten West Virginia at 9 or 9.5. A 4 point move takes all value from that line now.

    Any other early thoughts?
  • BuddyBear
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-10-05
    • 7233

    #2
    Geez...all i can say is the card reallyl sucks next week. Being a big ten guy I kind of wish there were some big ten games this weekend.

    A few games jump out at me....first LSU -16.5 vs Arkansas. LSU is really really good not sure how Arkansas is going to score besides maybe a meaningless TD or FG in the 4th quarter.

    I like Wisconsin -6 vs. Hawaii but judging by how MSU and NW played there last year not sure what to think of that line.

    Stanford +17 at home vs. ND who is good but not great. They really struggled vs Syracuse and even against Tenn it was tied in the 4th quarter. Stanford has been improving regularly although there was a big setback this weekend.

    I think there is some value in Tenn if the line hits -7....but who knows how they are going to play given their situation.


    Anyone else???
    Game to stay away from: Utah St vs. New Mexico St...the two worst teams maybe in D1.
    Comment
    • moses millsap
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-25-05
      • 8289

      #3
      Originally posted by BuddyBear
      I like Wisconsin -6 vs. Hawaii but judging by how MSU and NW played there last year not sure what to think of that line.
      Michigan State got robbed in that game last year. One of the most obvious and worst officiated games I have EVER seen.
      Comment
      • Senator7
        SBR MVP
        • 08-20-05
        • 1559

        #4
        Originally posted by BuddyBear
        I like Wisconsin -6 vs. Hawaii but judging by how MSU and NW played there last year not sure what to think of that line.

        I think there is some value in Tenn if the line hits -7....but who knows how they are going to play given their situation.
        I jumped on Wisky @ -6. I was expecting that line to open at 9.5, 10, or 10.5. Coming off a bad and embarrassing home loss with a bye week, I'm expecting the Badgers to bounce back big time against an overrated Hawaii team.

        If Tennessee could ever play to their potential, I would take a shot at -9.5. I was on them last week because I got a great line on the game. I just can't figure that team out.

        Any other early thoughts?
        Comment
        • moses millsap
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-25-05
          • 8289

          #5
          I'd take Wisconsin too, but after seeing how those refs cheated Michigan State last year, I'm going to pass.
          Comment
          • BuddyBear
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-10-05
            • 7233

            #6
            I think UW will be off for me too...i watched the first half of the MSU game and went out and remebering seeing MSU up comfortably and then seeing they lost. Typical MSU though....only later did i learn the officiating sucked in that game.

            I am really liking LSU...anyone see any reason not to take LSU...Maybe Razz knows something I dont know since he lives over in SEC country. LSU was -16.5 against Ole Miss on the road and now they are -16.5 vs Arkansas at home who is slightly better than Ole Miss...LSU's defense is playing at another level. I think -16.5 is a good price although I hate laying that much chalk.

            Like to hear from others on LSU before I play it....line should move up
            Comment
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