(Coll FB) Week 09 plays

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  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 37044

    #1
    (Coll FB) Week 09 plays
    After taking a week off, back to Graded plays:

    2* FLA INTL -7.5 1.92: 2 to win 1.84
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 37044

    #2
    1* LIBERTY -1.5 1.92: 1 to win .92
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
    Comment
    • ChuckyTheGoat
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-04-11
      • 37044

      #3
      2* BOISE ST -23.5 1.91: 2 to win 1.82

      ...One comment on this game. The Boise HC has pulled Jeanty multiple times to preserve him.
      ...I don't think the HC will try to showcase Jeanty. I just think he's that good. He's the most productive college RB in some time.
      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
      Comment
      • ChuckyTheGoat
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-04-11
        • 37044

        #4
        2* Ole Miss -6.5 1.91: 2 to win 1.82

        ...Hogs off a nice win. But it came against a pretty low-end SEC foe.
        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
        Comment
        • ChuckyTheGoat
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-04-11
          • 37044

          #5
          1* OKLA ST +1 1.91: 1 to win .91
          ...If Leavitt is out again, this will look like a questionable #.
          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
          Comment
          • ChuckyTheGoat
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-04-11
            • 37044

            #6
            2* usc -2.5 1.88: 2 to win 1.76
            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
            Comment
            • ChuckyTheGoat
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-04-11
              • 37044

              #7
              1* Ohio St -4 1.94: 1 to win .94
              ...Buckeyes have underachieved. I'm good with the -4.
              ...This is really a contingency play. If Penn St QB Allar misses, # will shoot up.
              ...After Allar exited, PennSt was running what I'll call a gimmick offense. Pribula is the running QB, and they even ran Pistol with TE Warren taking direct snaps.
              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
              Comment
              • Eddy Munny
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-13-13
                • 15762

                #8
                These

                Are

                Week 10

                Plays

                You

                Dumb

                Mutt!
                Comment
                • ChuckyTheGoat
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 04-04-11
                  • 37044

                  #9
                  3rd unit on each:

                  *Ole Miss -6.5 1.93: 1 to win .93
                  ...I consider Ole Miss to be a very strong two-loss team.

                  *BOISE st -23.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
                  ...Broncos should have no problem putting up points. They actually should be looking to break out after being well below their PPG average the L2 games.
                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                  Comment
                  • Eddy Munny
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-13-13
                    • 15762

                    #10
                    butt

                    munch!!
                    Comment
                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 04-04-11
                      • 37044

                      #11
                      1* TEX ST -3 2.00: 1 to win 1.00

                      1* MICHIGAN +16 1.93: 1 to win .93
                      ...Feel like Oregon's schedule has been quite favorable YTD.
                      ...MICH is not a great team. But they do have some hi-end talent. Like catching > two TDs here.
                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                      Comment
                      • Chiefs83
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-01-16
                        • 2771

                        #12
                        BYU still going strong middled again
                        Took ucf +14 when they were down 17-0
                        Comment
                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 04-04-11
                          • 37044

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Chiefs83
                          BYU still going strong middled again
                          Took ucf +14 when they were down 17-0
                          Hey, Chiefs. Thanks for the input.

                          Yes, BYU has been an interesting betting commodity. They came from so far out. The boxscore vs KANSt still rates as an outlier game.

                          Did you see the fake punt that BYU ran this week? It was awesome. I posted it in my other thread.

                          Coogs are proving people wrong. And their runout looks pretty manageable, given that Utah has gone in the tank.
                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                          Comment
                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 04-04-11
                            • 37044

                            #14
                            2* Northwestern pk 1.85: 2 to win 1.70
                            ...See some reasons to back the Wildcats.
                            ...Line is close enough to pk-em. I'm taking the Moneyline. Don't want to get jammed up on the 1.
                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                            Comment
                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 04-04-11
                              • 37044

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Chiefs83
                              BYU still going strong middled again
                              Took ucf +14 when they were down 17-0
                              Hey, Chiefs. Circling back on this one. I know I said that I was betting against BYU. It's all about value for me. I lost w/ Arizona + but did cover w/ Okla St +.

                              Full credit to BYU for proving the critics wrong. If you've been betting BYU and cashing, props to you (as well).
                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                              Comment
                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 04-04-11
                                • 37044

                                #16
                                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                2* Northwestern pk 1.85: 2 to win 1.70
                                ...See some reasons to back the Wildcats.
                                ...Line is close enough to pk-em. I'm taking the Moneyline. Don't want to get jammed up on the 1.
                                3rd unit on NWern -1 1.91: 1 to win .91

                                2nd unit on OKLA ST +2.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                ...ArizSt qb Leavitt cleared to play.
                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                Comment
                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 04-04-11
                                  • 37044

                                  #17
                                  3rd unit on OKLA ST +3 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                  ...Wow, the market loves the announcement of Leavitt's likely return.

                                  1* APP ST +2.5 2.02: 1 to win 1.02
                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                  Comment
                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 04-04-11
                                    • 37044

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                    1* Ohio St -4 1.94: 1 to win .94
                                    ...Buckeyes have underachieved. I'm good with the -4.
                                    ...This is really a contingency play. If Penn St QB Allar misses, # will shoot up.
                                    ...After Allar exited, PennSt was running what I'll call a gimmick offense. Pribula is the running QB, and they even ran Pistol with TE Warren taking direct snaps.
                                    2nd unit on Ohio St -3.5 1.93: 1 to win .93

                                    4th unit on BOISE ST -23 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                    ...Generational-talent RB. Broncos off two tough games, looking for a breakout here.
                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                    Comment
                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 04-04-11
                                      • 37044

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                      1* TEX ST -3 2.00: 1 to win 1.00

                                      1* MICHIGAN +16 1.93: 1 to win .93
                                      ...Feel like Oregon's schedule has been quite favorable YTD.
                                      ...MICH is not a great team. But they do have some hi-end talent. Like catching > two TDs here.
                                      Oregon's Jordan Burch and Terrance Ferguson practice on Monday, questionable for Michigan game

                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                      Comment
                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 04-04-11
                                        • 37044

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                        After taking a week off, back to Graded plays:

                                        2* FLA INTL -7.5 1.92: 2 to win 1.84
                                        3rd unit on FLA INTL -7 1.93: 1 to win .93
                                        ...# has really dropped.
                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 04-04-11
                                          • 37044

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                          1* Ohio St -4 1.94: 1 to win .94
                                          ...Buckeyes have underachieved. I'm good with the -4.
                                          ...This is really a contingency play. If Penn St QB Allar misses, # will shoot up.
                                          ...After Allar exited, PennSt was running what I'll call a gimmick offense. Pribula is the running QB, and they even ran Pistol with TE Warren taking direct snaps.
                                          A few Ohio St comments. I know a lot of bettors will gladly take Penn St as HD this week:

                                          1) First off, what about Franklin's track record? Is any HC more predictable? He wins all the games he's supposed to, he loses to OhioSt and MICH.

                                          2) Buckeyes have looked some combination of flawed and/or disinterested. Public sentiment has swayed enough to swing the opinion from Super Team to Shaky Team.

                                          3) Several Buckeye players turned down the NFL to come back for the 2024 season. Look at the Phil Steele four-deep All American list. I count seven Buckeyes and only one Nitt Lion.
                                          ...These players should be highly motivated to perform on SAT.
                                          ...With one loss on their docket, a 2nd loss would have them with egg on their face.
                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 04-04-11
                                            • 37044

                                            #22
                                            2* ARMY -21.5 1.97: 2 to win 1.94
                                            ...I've written extensively about Army this year. Will have a longer writeup later.
                                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                            Comment
                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 04-04-11
                                              • 37044

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                              2* usc -2.5 1.88: 2 to win 1.76
                                              3rd unit on USC -2.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                              ...Trojans haven't shown it YTD. But I think the talent gap is > people realize.
                                              ...Plus, WASH looks like a knee-jerk Home Dog play. Will be plenty of people on Wash.

                                              1* Stanford +10 1.94: 1 to .94
                                              ...Cardinal have had a nightmarish schedule. Back east again, I like this matchup.
                                              ...I actually rate Stanford as the more physical team. And we catch DD against a backup QB.
                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                              Comment
                                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 04-04-11
                                                • 37044

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                2* ARMY -21.5 1.97: 2 to win 1.94
                                                ...I've written extensively about Army this year. Will have a longer writeup later.
                                                -21.5 is the # I wanted to lay. Army is a great team, and not everyone recognizes it.
                                                ...The 2023 game @Air Force is the game where Monken switched from the finesse offense back to the power game.
                                                ...And Army hasn't lost since. Eleven straight wins dating back to last year.

                                                The Army offense is as balanced as you'll see from an Option team:
                                                ...They can run between the tackles. 6.6 YPR, and Daily is a steam-roller in short-yardage situations.
                                                ...They can run wide if opponents try to stack the box. Noah Short is a speed merchant who averages 11.6 Yards per Rush (and 26.9 yards per reception).
                                                ...Daily has just enough passing touch from his Texas HS days. They don't pass too often, but when they do, it's deadly. 8/0 TD/INT ratio with an amazing 20.6 yards per completion.
                                                ...Lastly, Army is the best blocking team I've seen. Everyone blocks, including the WRs and even the QB.

                                                Daily is having an amazing season. And I barely hear a peep about it.
                                                ...He's produced 26 TDs and zero Turnovers. He's on pace to produce > 40 TD this year.
                                                ...I do think he has a chance to go to New York as a Heisman finalist. Will see if that materializes.

                                                I have confidence in this Army team. There is a small prospect of the backdoor being open.
                                                ...After building a big lead against East Carolina, Army gave up some late TDs.
                                                ...Similarly, Air Force scored some late TDs after being way behind in recent games.
                                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                Comment
                                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 04-04-11
                                                  • 37044

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                  2nd unit on Ohio St -3.5 1.93: 1 to win .93

                                                  4th unit on BOISE ST -23 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                                  ...Generational-talent RB. Broncos off two tough games, looking for a breakout here.
                                                  5th unit on BOISE -22.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                                  ...Capping it at 5*. Good Luck, everyone.
                                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 04-04-11
                                                    • 37044

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                    3rd unit on OKLA ST +3 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                                    ...Wow, the market loves the announcement of Leavitt's likely return.

                                                    1* APP ST +2.5 2.02: 1 to win 1.02
                                                    4th unit on OKLA ST +3.5 1.90: 1 to win .90

                                                    2nd unit on APP ST +3 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 04-04-11
                                                      • 37044

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                      5th unit on BOISE -22.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                                      ...Capping it at 5*. Good Luck, everyone.
                                                      -24.5 now. Staring at pretty good BTCL value.

                                                      I could see the Boise HC extending Jeanty a little. Time to put on a Heisman showcase.

                                                      Good Luck, everyone. Have a nice wkend.
                                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 04-04-11
                                                        • 37044

                                                        #28
                                                        5* gets there. 56-24, Boise QB has a huge game.
                                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-04-11
                                                          • 37044

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

                                                          2nd unit on APP ST +3 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                                          3rd unit on APP ST +3 1.93: 1 to win .93

                                                          4th unit on NWern +3 1.85: 1 to win .85

                                                          ...Don't see how these #s can be right.
                                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 04-04-11
                                                            • 37044

                                                            #30
                                                            Army quarterback Bryson Daily will not play in the Black Knights’ game against Air Force on Saturday, according to ESPN football reporter Chris Low. Daily is de
                                                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Shark
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-14-10
                                                              • 1789

                                                              #31
                                                              I didn’t see your in game thread so I’ll mention it here. There was very little info on this but Drones- qb for VT and Tuten the Star RB are both out today. Seems like Tuten never came back to the field after warm ups. Doesn’t seem like it matters so far, 14-0 Hokies.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 04-04-11
                                                                • 37044

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Shark
                                                                I didn’t see your in game thread so I’ll mention it here. There was very little info on this but Drones- qb for VT and Tuten the Star RB are both out today. Seems like Tuten never came back to the field after warm ups. Doesn’t seem like it matters so far, 14-0 Hokies.
                                                                Good info. I knew about Tuten. Drones must have been a late scratch, move to -3.

                                                                Schlee has been around forever. MAC/UCLA, was actually retired for a while.
                                                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 04-04-11
                                                                  • 37044

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Schlee video. He's definitely a veteran:

                                                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 04-04-11
                                                                    • 37044

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Don't want to jinx it. But so far, so good.
                                                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • veriableodds
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-22-17
                                                                      • 5093

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                      2* Northwestern pk 1.85: 2 to win 1.70
                                                                      ...See some reasons to back the Wildcats.
                                                                      ...Line is close enough to pk-em. I'm taking the Moneyline. Don't want to get jammed up on the 1.
                                                                      We did it Chuck, I had -3 alternative line. That game should have not gone that far.
                                                                      Comment
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