Falcons vs Eagles Betting Talk

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  • SBR Andy
    Administrator
    • 02-09-22
    • 3528

    #1
    Falcons vs Eagles Betting Talk
    AJ Brown ruled out for tonight and the spread has ticked down to Eagles -5/5.5 depending on the book. Can the Falcons keep up despite only scoring 10 points in Week 1?

    I'll bite with a small play on the Falcons +5.5. Waiting for a breakout game from Bijan - his rush+rec yards props are starting to eclipse 100.

    One prop I do still like is Jalen Hurts over 39.5 rush yds (-110 @ BetMGM & bet365). He can get close to that number in 2 chunk runs and it isn't game script dependent.

    Who is everyone betting on tonight?
  • blackHIPPY
    SBR MVP
    • 10-01-14
    • 3973

    #2
    i'll take the OVER
    Comment
    • actiondan
      SBR MVP
      • 10-16-10
      • 3424

      #3
      darnell mooney over 39.5 +110
      Comment
      • biggie12
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-30-05
        • 13789

        #4
        have eagles in a parlay bought down to -3 with a few tennis plays that have won already.
        Comment
        • mjsuax13
          Moderator
          • 03-14-15
          • 25029

          #5
          I like the following:

          Over 45.5
          Bijan over 67.5 rushing -129
          Bijan anytime TD -150
          Comment
          • 2Sweeet
            SBR MVP
            • 08-31-22
            • 1176

            #6
            Over 100%
            Comment
            • johnnyvegas13
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 05-21-15
              • 27882

              #7
              Hard to see falcons winning here
              Comment
              • stevenash
                Moderator
                • 01-17-11
                • 65361

                #8
                Originally posted by actiondan
                darnell mooney over 39.5 +110
                I was looking at the databases I lean on for individual production.
                Mooney is 41.5

                DK is offering +110 on Mooney OVER 40 receiving yards.

                Feeling frisky, are you?
                DK is offering +190 on Mooney OVER 50 receiving yards.

                Want to take a walk on the wild side?
                DK is offering +190 on Mooney OVER 50 receiving yards.

                Go nuts.
                DK is offering +800 on Mooney OVER 80 receiving yards.
                And DK is offering +1200 on Mooney OVER 90 receiving yards.

                My best prop bet (I'll write it up in a bit)
                Kyle Pitts OVER 50 receiving yards. +150
                Most projection modules think Pitts will be in the 46-48 receiving yards range.

                If you like Pitts tonight, why lay -120 on OVER 40 receiving yards, when the projection modules are saying he's good for about 47.5 receiving yards.

                I'm such a numbers geek, I live to seek out value in the numbers.
                When I was in tech school back in the day, we were donned nerds.
                Now the nerds (in some circles) are considered sexy.

                Hey, I'm proud to be a geek, what can I say, I have this passion for numbers, when I quit playing ball at 20, my knees were shot, I got certified at Chubb Institute, and as the late, great Paul Harvey used to sign off his radiocasts back in the day "and now you know the rest of the story"
                Comment
                • Mac4Lyfe
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-04-09
                  • 48366

                  #9
                  Originally posted by mjsuax13
                  I like the following:Over 45.5
                  Bijan over 67.5 rushing -129
                  Bijan anytime TD -150
                  I like all 3 of these bets…
                  Comment
                  • Mac4Lyfe
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-04-09
                    • 48366

                    #10
                    Originally posted by SBR Andy
                    AJ Brown ruled out for tonight and the spread has ticked down to Eagles -5/5.5 depending on the book. Can the Falcons keep up despite only scoring 10 points in Week 1?

                    I'll bite with a small play on the Falcons +5.5. Waiting for a breakout game from Bijan - his rush+rec yards props are starting to eclipse 100.

                    One prop I do still like is Jalen Hurts over 39.5 rush yds (-110 @ BetMGM & bet365). He can get close to that number in 2 chunk runs and it isn't game script dependent.

                    Who is everyone betting on tonight?
                    I like these as well. You guys are reading my mind. Big night for Bijan. Falcons must be physical in the ground game. This could be a grind out game, which could point to the under, is my only concern with an over bet. ATL and the points is the play for me.
                    Comment
                    • Eddy Munny
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-13-13
                      • 15762

                      #11
                      Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                      Hard to see falcons winning here
                      Which means Falcons win outright.

                      No seriously, I think the Falcons win the game now. I already liked them plus the points.

                      Thank you in advance, John boy!
                      Comment
                      • mjsuax13
                        Moderator
                        • 03-14-15
                        • 25029

                        #12
                        Hurts anytime TD -118 another one I like

                        Only have money on the over currently
                        Comment
                        • mjsuax13
                          Moderator
                          • 03-14-15
                          • 25029

                          #13
                          Not the start I was looking for.
                          Comment
                          • stevenash
                            Moderator
                            • 01-17-11
                            • 65361

                            #14
                            Originally posted by mjsuax13
                            Not the start I was looking for.
                            Totally, I was expecting Capt. Kirk to play pitch and catch with Pitts all game, and after 1Q Cousins hasn't even looked at Kyle.


                            I'm confident that prop still works out, but yeah, not the start I expected.
                            Comment
                            • mjsuax13
                              Moderator
                              • 03-14-15
                              • 25029

                              #15
                              I’m over the flags in these NFL games. Let the fukking guys play. Getting harder and harder to even watch.
                              Comment
                              • mjsuax13
                                Moderator
                                • 03-14-15
                                • 25029

                                #16
                                Originally posted by stevenash
                                Totally, I was expecting Capt. Kirk to play pitch and catch with Pitts all game, and after 1Q Cousins hasn't even looked at Kyle.


                                I'm confident that prop still works out, but yeah, not the start I expected.
                                Cousins may be done.
                                Comment
                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-04-09
                                  • 48366

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by mjsuax13
                                  Cousins may be done.
                                  Maybe he’s starting to heat up.
                                  Comment
                                  • mjsuax13
                                    Moderator
                                    • 03-14-15
                                    • 25029

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                    Maybe he’s starting to heat up.
                                    Has a runner.
                                    Comment
                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-04-09
                                      • 48366

                                      #19
                                      Yeah, he’s not aging well.
                                      Comment
                                      • johnnyvegas13
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 05-21-15
                                        • 27882

                                        #20
                                        2h ????
                                        Comment
                                        • dollarbill
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-22-09
                                          • 1284

                                          #21
                                          Philly with 300lb line should push Atlanta with Barkley! Under 23 1/2 second half... Good Luck
                                          Last edited by dollarbill; 09-16-24, 08:39 PM. Reason: typo
                                          Comment
                                          • mjsuax13
                                            Moderator
                                            • 03-14-15
                                            • 25029

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                            Yeah, he’s not aging well.
                                            Seems a little hesitant and off. Maybe just game 2 in a new scheme. Either way- they gotta feed the Bij to get anywhere.
                                            Comment
                                            • Eddy Munny
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-13-13
                                              • 15762

                                              #23
                                              Looking good. Let's go Falcons!
                                              Comment
                                              • actiondan
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-16-10
                                                • 3424

                                                #24
                                                party
                                                Comment
                                                • DwightShrute
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-17-09
                                                  • 102771

                                                  #25
                                                  <blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Falcons +5.5 and Eagles -5.5 bettors right now <a href="https://t.co/AGlE0EcrpP">pic.twitter.com/AGlE0EcrpP</a></p>&mdash; Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) <a href="https://twitter.com/ActionNetworkHQ/status/1835874420176634286?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >September 17, 2024</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mjsuax13
                                                    Moderator
                                                    • 03-14-15
                                                    • 25029

                                                    #26
                                                    Cousins just buried my comments lol.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Eddy Munny
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 08-13-13
                                                      • 15762

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                                      Which means Falcons win outright.

                                                      No seriously, I think the Falcons win the game now. I already liked them plus the points.

                                                      Thank you in advance, John boy!
                                                      Told you!

                                                      Thank you Sir-Mush-A-Lot for giving me the final nudge I needed to get me on the Falcons!

                                                      Kirk Magic baby!

                                                      National Fixed League is alive and well.
                                                      Comment
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