What am I missing here?

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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65499

    #1
    What am I missing here?
    Boston at Denver.
    I was kind of shocked when I saw the total at 220.5.

    I understand J-Brown is dinged up, but all the other starters are healthy on both sides.
    I'm not overthinking this but seems to me there'll be close to 230 points scored.
    I mean there's just too much offense in this game.

    No?
  • funnyb25
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 07-09-09
    • 39663

    #2
    What you're missing is what the total reads.

    Take the under
    Comment
    • funnyb25
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 07-09-09
      • 39663

      #3
      You can ask Lakerboy to clarify if need be..

      You bet lines not stats...

      BOL
      Comment
      • macoeric
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-29-10
        • 626

        #4
        funny when you gonna give us an over in soccer again
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65499

          #5
          Originally posted by funnyb25
          What you're missing is what the total reads.

          Take the under
          I know that, believe me I know all that, I still think it's too low.
          Comment
          • jackpot269
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-24-07
            • 12842

            #6
            Originally posted by stevenash
            I know that, believe me I know all that, I still think it's too low.
            Looks low, but that could be a set up!
            Comment
            • veriableodds
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 08-22-17
              • 5093

              #7
              Model shows 227 as a proper line. Total is 220/220.5 =53.1% chance of going over. 53% + -110(91%) =101.4
              Comment
              • Headsterx
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-03-16
                • 22937

                #8
                I think the books are going with the under trend that's been happening since All-Star break. Plus, both teams for o/u have unders winning.
                Boston - 29-32
                Denver - 24-37-1

                And then the last five it's 1-4 and 1-3, respectively.
                Comment
                • pavyracer
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-12-07
                  • 82771

                  #9
                  The totals make no sense. Any team can go over it or under by adjusting the tempo very little. Very hard to win betting NBA totals.
                  Comment
                  • johnnyvegas13
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 05-21-15
                    • 27895

                    #10
                    Why is it that nba total r much higher than ncaa

                    buy in football it’s the opposite???
                    Comment
                    • pavyracer
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-12-07
                      • 82771

                      #11
                      Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                      Why is it that nba total r much higher than ncaa

                      buy in football it’s the opposite???
                      I'm guessing is because they play 8 more minutes in the NBA.
                      Comment
                      • johnnyvegas13
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 05-21-15
                        • 27895

                        #12
                        Originally posted by pavyracer
                        I'm guessing is because they play 8 more minutes in the NBA.
                        Good point

                        I do think nfl will b stupid high scoring in the future tho
                        Comment
                        • Headsterx
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-03-16
                          • 22937

                          #13
                          I'm taking the under because Pacific-itis is running rampant in the NBA right now.

                          Comment
                          • Headsterx
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-03-16
                            • 22937

                            #14
                            Ugh! With this tempo the total is going to get destroyed!
                            Comment
                            • asiagambler
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-23-17
                              • 6827

                              #15
                              Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                              Why is it that nba total r much higher than ncaa

                              buy in football it’s the opposite???

                              Originally posted by pavyracer
                              I'm guessing is because they play 8 more minutes in the NBA.
                              Comment
                              • IBetYou
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 07-03-15
                                • 8158

                                #16
                                NBA wants low scores after being embarrassed in the AS game. TV games are going underrrrrrrr
                                Comment
                                • asiagambler
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 07-23-17
                                  • 6827

                                  #17
                                  I've found Denver totals very tough to bet. Very frequently end up right around the number
                                  Comment
                                  • lakerboy
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 94379

                                    #18
                                    NBA totals are a complete waste of time unless you are a pro.

                                    NBA is only spots on sides. I used to bet and win in this dumb league ALOT but I got out. I will get into the playoffs though because you know why?

                                    SPOT
                                    Comment
                                    • Optional
                                      Administrator
                                      • 06-10-10
                                      • 61438

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by stevenash
                                      Boston at Denver.
                                      I was kind of shocked when I saw the total at 220.5.

                                      I understand J-Brown is dinged up, but all the other starters are healthy on both sides.
                                      I'm not overthinking this but seems to me there'll be close to 230 points scored.
                                      I mean there's just too much offense in this game.

                                      No?
                                      Good call
                                      .
                                      Comment
                                      • BuckyOne
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-02-15
                                        • 2728

                                        #20
                                        Nice find - what did the game go off at? 223 1/2?

                                        Steam backed up your theory?
                                        Comment
                                        • stevenash
                                          Moderator
                                          • 01-17-11
                                          • 65499

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by BuckyOne
                                          Nice find - what did the game go off at? 223 1/2?

                                          Steam backed up your theory?
                                          I got 220.5 at 4pm
                                          I noticed at 6pm it was 222 flat.
                                          at 10pm right before tip it WAS 223.
                                          Comment
                                          • stevenash
                                            Moderator
                                            • 01-17-11
                                            • 65499

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by funnyb25

                                            You bet lines not stats...

                                            BOL
                                            You bet both, lines and stats.
                                            Comment
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