Great strategy how to bet the 242.5 Total tonight between the Pacers and the Bucks!

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  • arie1985
    SBR MVP
    • 03-19-08
    • 1627

    #1
    Great strategy how to bet the 242.5 Total tonight between the Pacers and the Bucks!
    I followed the total line yesterday, and I also had a bet on the over, and Utah/Indiana are this year proably the highest scoring teams in the NBA even more than the Wizard.

    However, last year Milwaukee Bucks with Giannis Antekokokoko were a high scoring team, so a combination of the Pacers and the Bucks here is not a great "recipe" for an easy Over 242.5 as some might think.

    Instead,

    The best way to bet on this one is to do it in live, especially if you like the over in this one, as I less like it but you can definitely expect the total line tonight to drop towards 230 or even below.

    Why?

    Because last night it started 242.5 and only in the 1st/2nd quarter touched the 238.5 momentarily, but most of the game last night it was over 240 .... tonight as these are two prime time games you can expect the total to drop low, before, and if you like it.

    In fact, the Under 227.5 before the game starts is 4.00 so if you bet $100 on it you would win $400, so take this bet, and then in live get the Over 227.5 and this way you would make a "sure" profit as you're forecasting a drop in the total line.

    Or you could bet with your hunch in live, take over 220ish or what's not, it could end under or over that number, I really can't tell - but at least you would have a good opportunity to win nicely out of this - so don't bet this one now, do it in live unless you're going to hedge against a low total.
  • bjb7223
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-03-12
    • 10349

    #2
    I already took the over
    Comment
    • arie1985
      SBR MVP
      • 03-19-08
      • 1627

      #3
      Originally posted by bjb7223
      I already took the over
      I hope you win but I wouldn't take it like this, live betting is better, it has to go down, it's a prime time game
      Comment
      • bjb7223
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 11-03-12
        • 10349

        #4
        Originally posted by arie1985
        I hope you win but I wouldn't take it like this, live betting is better, it has to go down, it's a prime time game
        Speaking of point spreads Hawks-Magic 232 at altitude in Mexico City. I'm taking the under. This total seems too high.
        Comment
        • Chiefs83
          SBR MVP
          • 08-01-16
          • 2790

          #5
          I’m on Under 243
          Comment
          • arie1985
            SBR MVP
            • 03-19-08
            • 1627

            #6
            Originally posted by bjb7223
            Speaking of point spreads Hawks-Magic 232 at altitude in Mexico City. I'm taking the under. This total seems too high.
            Noooo... Orlando is doing exactly the same thing Utah / Indiana are doing to other bettors, Orlando used to be an under team, it's not... only the Knicks "retained" this and even yesterday they went over.

            Don't go under.
            Comment
            • bjb7223
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-03-12
              • 10349

              #7
              Originally posted by arie1985
              Noooo... Orlando is doing exactly the same thing Utah / Indiana are doing to other bettors, Orlando used to be an under team, it's not... only the Knicks "retained" this and even yesterday they went over.

              Don't go under.
              Knicks 6-2 unders
              Comment
              • bjb7223
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-03-12
                • 10349

                #8
                Over winner
                Comment
                • bjb7223
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-03-12
                  • 10349

                  #9
                  Hornets-Wizards over 239.5

                  let's go
                  Comment
                  • ThaTopMoron
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 04-30-10
                    • 27020

                    #10
                    just pray if you bet the under in a pacers home game
                    Comment
                    • bjb7223
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-03-12
                      • 10349

                      #11
                      Originally posted by ThaTopMoron
                      just pray if you bet the under in a pacers home game
                      They gave up 155 to the Celtics about a week and a half ago. Never bet the under with this team.
                      Comment
                      • bjb7223
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-03-12
                        • 10349

                        #12
                        Originally posted by bjb7223
                        Hornets-Wizards over 239.5

                        let's go
                        another winner again

                        Wizards 7-1 overs
                        Pacers 7-1 overs

                        lets continue these trends
                        Comment
                        • bjb7223
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-03-12
                          • 10349

                          #13
                          Pacers another over, Wizards finally went under
                          Comment
                          • teecee
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-18-09
                            • 6298

                            #14
                            Pacers/76ers 20 points in final 2:24 is ridiculous.
                            Comment
                            • bjb7223
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-03-12
                              • 10349

                              #15
                              Originally posted by teecee
                              Pacers/76ers 20 points in final 2:24 is ridiculous.
                              NBA in a nutshell
                              Comment
                              • bjb7223
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 11-03-12
                                • 10349

                                #16
                                Another Pacers over
                                11-1 on the year
                                9 in a row
                                Comment
                                • bigbaby1976
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 08-07-22
                                  • 39

                                  #17
                                  OP's idea is interesting IMO because it mixes strategies from both pregame and live betting lines:

                                  On one side it considers two NBA teams known to have high scoring records (a pregame line strategy). And on the other side, when it comes to live betting, it suggests a type of hedge betting tecnique .

                                  For the sake of adding to the idea (mainly to the pregame strat), I could add that paying attention to the teams schedule, specially if they are playing back-to-back nights, is useful, as it is shown to negatively impact their defense. Tired teams usually decrease their defense and focus more on offense (get lazier I guess).

                                  Couple of resoures about NBA betting strategies where I got that idea from:

                                  Every NBA bettor needs a proven system. Here are several established strategies that you can try on for size when you lay down wagers on your favorite teams.

                                  Having the right NBA strategy could be a game-changer for serious bettors. Payperhead bookie software provides the tools to protect your book's exposure.
                                  Comment
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