It Ain't CBI But We Got NIT

**Headsterx** · 03-21-23, 03:38 PM

With 4-0 under in the NIT the under seems tempting but god damn it's @ 121.

**Headsterx** · 03-21-23, 07:57 PM

Oregon are w/o the top 3 scorers... big deal as they won 3 in a row w/o them in the NIT.

Wisconsin v. Oregon -1.5

**Headsterx** · 03-21-23, 08:16 PM

Mean Green and Cowboys in OT and Cowboys are going pull off this victory!

**Headsterx** · 03-21-23, 08:19 PM

Damn, Cowboys... let's GOOOOOOO!

**Headsterx** · 03-21-23, 08:21 PM

Ugh! I hate NIT!

**Headsterx** · 03-21-23, 09:24 PM

Ducks! Don't get Fuk!

**KVB** · 03-22-23, 06:04 PM

I have UAB beating Vanderbilt 81-71.

I took UAB on the moneyline at -125.

A lot action on the trading pre game.

**Headsterx** · 03-22-23, 06:05 PM

Oh no, this might be another long and dreadful night.

**KVB** · 03-22-23, 06:08 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

Oh no, this might be another long and dreadful night.

I just saw you with Vandy in the other threads.

**KVB** · 03-22-23, 06:43 PM

Originally posted by KVB

I have UAB beating Vanderbilt 81-71...

I have Utah Valley beating Cincinnati 76-74.

I have no play here, yet. Didn't make a two pick as I didn't really like UAB that much for a market read.

**Headsterx** · 03-22-23, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by KVB

I just saw you with Vandy in the other threads.

😂😂😂

**KVB** · 03-22-23, 07:10 PM

You have +1.5, I have UAB ml.

We can still both eat.

But just in case, to start the second half...

**KVB** · 03-22-23, 07:19 PM

This would have been a good game to get both teams as dogs LIVE.

But at this point, even though we could open a position with Vandy +158, that Forecast does point to UAB wearing them down.

But it's a close call at that price, for sure.

I think UAB will be dogs again LIVE, but I think I go tradeless here. Let's see if I regret it.

**KVB** · 03-22-23, 08:02 PM

Originally posted by KVB

...But at this point, even though we could open a position with Vandy +158, that Forecast does point to UAB wearing them down.

But it's a close call at that price, for sure.

I think UAB will be dogs again LIVE, but I think I go tradeless here. Let's see if I regret it.

Circumstances help to dictate the price you'd pay or take for a position. Using Forecasts like this is a short term way to use them but can really go wrong as well. My Forecasts have done well during all of Madness Tourneys, so I continue to turst them over the market.

I made the right decision results wise, but in my opinion it's pretty clear the market tried to tempt early 2nd half bettors, after what transpired prior.

Instead, UAB wore them down enough to just pad the lead with free throws.

I don't always make the right decision, that's why price matters and tracking to determine price is essential.

**KVB** · 03-22-23, 08:12 PM

Originally posted by KVB

I have UAB beating Vanderbilt 81-71. Right on spread, Right on moneyline...

Originally posted by KVB

I have Utah Valley beating Cincinnati 76-74...

Line is pretty much at the spread, let's see how the Forecast does on the moneyline.

I do think Utah Valley does win the game, but I didn't make bet here.

**KVB** · 03-22-23, 08:29 PM

If you like Cinci now could be the time to buy them.

But I would use caution.

I don't have any rating for a potential comeback here, even if I capped it at Utah Valley -2.

I got my win, not trading this game at all.

**KVB** · 03-23-23, 12:21 PM

Qucik summary of the Forecasts from the NIT:

I have UAB beating Vanderbilt 81-71. Right on the spread, Right on the moneyline

I have Utah Valley beating Cincinnnati 76-74. Right on -1.5 spread, No play on -2, Right on the moneyline.

Managed to get the UAB win but nothing played for game two.

Not a bad NIT day.

**KVB** · 03-23-23, 12:30 PM

The NIT semis finals will be on March 28th with the Finals on March 30th.

The Semis and current lines are:

Wisconsin 115.5
North Texas -1

Utah Valley 152
UAB -1.5

Lol at the difference in the Totals.

Winners play March 3th for the NIT title.

**Northwest Side G** · 03-23-23, 01:55 PM

KVB who do you like tonight? And how do you handicap these games? I generally fade the public and the pay handicappers. Usually works out but sometimes I still lose.

**d2bets** · 03-23-23, 01:57 PM

Originally posted by Northwest Side G

KVB who do you like tonight? And how do you handicap these games? I generally fade the public and the pay handicappers. Usually works out but sometimes I still lose.

How often is "usually"? Like 51%?

**Northwest Side G** · 03-23-23, 02:02 PM

I would say about 75 percent. It has to be really lopsided. I mean like everyone is on it. I do a lot of live betting also. In fact most of my betting now is live.

**d2bets** · 03-23-23, 03:24 PM

Originally posted by Northwest Side G

I would say about 75 percent. It has to be really lopsided. I mean like everyone is on it. I do a lot of live betting also. In fact most of my betting now is live.

So you win 75% of your -110 type plays? lol yeah sure.

Most of my betting is live too, but let's be reasonable here. Jut trying to grind out a small % long-term profit. 75% is in the realm of silliness. I can, however, find 60%+ plays live, but certainly wouldn't pass on the 55% ones either.

**Headsterx** · 03-23-23, 05:13 PM

I can't even pick any winners in these damn college tournament. I need to go to pick the team just because they wear green... lol

Yesterday, UAB, Utah Valley, and Charlotte. Today: Michigan State (ev)

**Headsterx** · 03-23-23, 06:58 PM

Let's go Sparty!

**Headsterx** · 03-23-23, 07:41 PM

Sparty in OT... tied up @ 82

**KVB** · 03-23-23, 07:47 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

I can't even pick any winners in these damn college tournament. I need to go to pick the team just because they wear green... lol

Yesterday, UAB, Utah Valley, and Charlotte. Today: Michigan State (ev)

Originally posted by KVB

From earlier, this is the sharp moneyflow parlay we are working with...

K State +107
Uconn -3.5 (-108)
FAU +5.5 (-111)
Gonzaga +1.5 (-109)
Bama -7.5 (-108)
MIA +7.5 (-102)
Texas -4 (-111)

**KVB** · 03-23-23, 07:47 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

Sparty in OT... tied up @ 82...

**Headsterx** · 03-23-23, 07:50 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Yeah, it's a mud fight to the end!

**KVB** · 03-23-23, 07:51 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

Yeah, it's a mud fight to the end!

**Headsterx** · 03-23-23, 07:54 PM

K St lobbed a deep 3pt.... lol

**Headsterx** · 03-23-23, 08:03 PM

Michigan St is stupid... passed up 4 shots to tied up... of course they then turnover the ball. Take the damn shot!

**Headsterx** · 03-23-23, 08:08 PM

Gotta say that the Nowell and K St coach post-game interview was faithfully good feeling interview. Nowell saying "have a lot of faith" and then turns heads to the right showing his "FAITH" neck tattoo. Good camera work, too.

**bjb7223** · 03-23-23, 08:08 PM

Originally posted by Headsterx

Michigan St is stupid... passed up 4 shots to tied up... of course they then turnover the ball. Take the damn shot!

scared players, no one wants to take the shot that makes the final miss