Kvb is on a different level.hes the guru.bless up
Which line is the better value?
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Nate rastaSBR MVP
- 05-30-22
- 2953
#36Comment -
texhooperSBR Posting Legend
- 01-05-09
- 10001
#37Ah ok KVB, I was looking at your more recent exchange with d2.Comment -
milwaukee mikeBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-22-07
- 26914
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milwaukee mikeBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-22-07
- 26914
#39ok so there is a 5% push rate on the -4
10 pushes out of 200... win 95 lose 95
at -4 (-105)... that's a loss of 997.50 and wins of 950.00, so overall loss on $100 bets of 47.50
at -3.5 (-110)... that's 95 losses of 1045.00 and 105 wins of 1050.00, so overall win of 5.00Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#40Yeah Mike, I assumed the sport of football and a push rate of 5% on the 4.
The point was to show a formula for EV so the OP would be able to compare
I'd say we beat that horse pretty good in this thread...lol.
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pavyracerSBR Aristocracy
- 04-12-07
- 82750
#4199% of gamblers at SBR can't do 3rd grade math.Comment -
DownEastAaronSBR Rookie
- 01-17-23
- 8
#42I am interested in the underlying math. Just because somebody tells me to take -3.5/-110 vs -4/-105 doesn't convince me as to why. How many times as a parent have you told your children to do something "because I said so"? The child will do it blindly and not know any better as a result.Comment -
semibluffSBR MVP
- 04-12-16
- 1515
#43I rarely make any single bets to make less than the bet itself. Especially if it's a bet giving away points, whether it's -3 or -10. Your best long term gain and avoiding the vig is to find a correlating play within that game based on why you are on that side of the number. For example, if you like the under in the Super Bowl, you will expect and need turnovers. You can bet the under and a fumble lost at +160 as a parlay, instead of just betting the under at -110 or whatever. It's best to use your noggin once in awhile and eliminate unnecessary juice.Comment -
newton0038SBR MVP
- 03-07-07
- 2387
#44DO remember the bookies do not have a crystal ball. The line is an implied suggestion. Rely on the math especially live totals but never go against your gut. If conflicted...PASSComment -
BarrakudaSBR Wise Guy
- 02-28-18
- 786
#45To answer the OP's question, a half point in basketball (except for 1 vs. 1.5) is worth about 9 cents for a side. And about 5 cents for a total.
For other sports, it's best to do a trial at Unabated and plug in some line comparisons.Comment
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