Isiah Pacheco OVER 46.5 Rushing Yards.
Since Andy Reid doubled Isiah Pacheco's workload ten weeks ago and making him for all intents and purposes KC's lead back, this is what's he's done.
In KC's last ten games (that includes last weeks Jax playoff game) Pacheco has ran the ball 138 times for 728 net yards, or 13.8 rush attempts and 72.8 net yards gained per game on the average if you will.
Nothing in sports wagering is a lock, there's no such thing as free money or a guaranteed winner, but this in my opinion, 46.5 rush yards (DraftKings) total on a back who's been averaging over 72 yards per game is a soft number.
Two things IMO can sink this prop bet, you still have to factor in McKinnon who by all means hasn't been benched, McKinnon still gets touches, he's just not their lead back any longer, and he's still Mahomes backfield pass option, so if he gets hot early McKinnon could see more of a workload, and providing there isn't an injury to Pacheco the only other thing that can sink this wager is if the Bengals go up big early and KC has to play catch up forcing Mahomes to pass for yardage.
Go ahead, look at the game logs, or you can take my word on this, nine out of the last ten games Pacheco has ran for 50 yards plus, and the only game he didn't was the Denver game when Reid was playing it safe with his regulars in week 16, and KC won that game regardless.
I get it, games are played on turf, not on Excel spreadsheets, but all things considered, 46.5 (47.5 now) is a very soft number.
Isiah Pacheco OVER 46.5 Rushing Yards.
110/100
Best of luck all, enjoy the games.
Your pal Nasher needs to lie down now, I've looked at a million numbers so far this morning and my head hurts.
lol
Since Andy Reid doubled Isiah Pacheco's workload ten weeks ago and making him for all intents and purposes KC's lead back, this is what's he's done.
In KC's last ten games (that includes last weeks Jax playoff game) Pacheco has ran the ball 138 times for 728 net yards, or 13.8 rush attempts and 72.8 net yards gained per game on the average if you will.
Nothing in sports wagering is a lock, there's no such thing as free money or a guaranteed winner, but this in my opinion, 46.5 rush yards (DraftKings) total on a back who's been averaging over 72 yards per game is a soft number.
Two things IMO can sink this prop bet, you still have to factor in McKinnon who by all means hasn't been benched, McKinnon still gets touches, he's just not their lead back any longer, and he's still Mahomes backfield pass option, so if he gets hot early McKinnon could see more of a workload, and providing there isn't an injury to Pacheco the only other thing that can sink this wager is if the Bengals go up big early and KC has to play catch up forcing Mahomes to pass for yardage.
Go ahead, look at the game logs, or you can take my word on this, nine out of the last ten games Pacheco has ran for 50 yards plus, and the only game he didn't was the Denver game when Reid was playing it safe with his regulars in week 16, and KC won that game regardless.
I get it, games are played on turf, not on Excel spreadsheets, but all things considered, 46.5 (47.5 now) is a very soft number.
Isiah Pacheco OVER 46.5 Rushing Yards.
110/100
Best of luck all, enjoy the games.
Your pal Nasher needs to lie down now, I've looked at a million numbers so far this morning and my head hurts.
lol
