Insane value on France vs Morocco

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  • Poisec
    SBR MVP
    • 07-22-18
    • 1216

    #1
    Insane value on France vs Morocco
    All praise is on Morocco right now, understandably so, but they are running on adrenaline with some fitness / injury issues, and will face a strong French team.

    France -1 (asian handicap) at -102 looks really great to me.
    France -2 (asian handicap) at +360 (Betfair) is worth a try.

    IMO the French team will win by at least 2 goals, my prediction is 3-0 or 4-0.

    BOL everyone.
  • EddieMusher
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-10-15
    • 858

    #2
    France to advance @ 1.24
    Comment
    • Jayvegas420
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-09-11
      • 28213

      #3
      1st...You're only getting $0.60 more on the dollar vs. taking ML
      also...if your prediction is right, isn't there a ton more value in the over 2.5 (+130)?
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        These lines are priced perfectly. You could bet 1 million dollars on it.
        Comment
        • Poisec
          SBR MVP
          • 07-22-18
          • 1216

          #5
          Originally posted by Jayvegas420
          1st...You're only getting $0.60 more on the dollar vs. taking ML
          also...if your prediction is right, isn't there a ton more value in the over 2.5 (+130)?
          I don't think Morocco scores any goal in this match, for better odds I'd definitely go with France to score over 2.5 goals, +280.
          Comment
          • Poisec
            SBR MVP
            • 07-22-18
            • 1216

            #6
            Some other bets worth a shot, great odds:
            France wins 3-0, +1200
            France wins 4-0, +2200
            France wins 5-0, +5000
            Comment
            • ChuckyTheGoat
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-04-11
              • 37332

              #7
              Originally posted by Poisec
              Some other bets worth a shot, great odds:
              France wins 3-0, +1200
              France wins 4-0, +2200
              France wins 5-0, +5000
              Sure, you could be right. It doesn't bother you that you're asking a team to crease a Defense that hasn't allowed a goal (excluding one Own Goal) all tournament (5 games)?
              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
              Comment
              • pologq
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-07-12
                • 19899

                #8
                i think it will be very tough for morocco to score. the question is can france score on this defense in full time? i am willing to take a chance on france.
                Comment
                • Poisec
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-22-18
                  • 1216

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                  Sure, you could be right. It doesn't bother you that you're asking a team to crease a Defense that hasn't allowed a goal (excluding one Own Goal) all tournament (5 games)?
                  Yeah long shots, they have some fitness and injuries affecting the team though.
                  Comment
                  • k13
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-16-10
                    • 18104

                    #10
                    Very unlikely they score 3-4 goals.
                    ML looks fishy low.
                    Comment
                    • JIBBBY
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-10-09
                      • 83686

                      #11
                      Morocco keeps surprising that's all I know. Tough to fade this team now.
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #12
                        There’s never value in any high liquid market
                        Comment
                        • hostile takeover
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-06-09
                          • 2258

                          #13
                          If France can get 1 it will open the flood gates. Morocco will have to come out of their shell for the first time all tourney.
                          Comment
                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 04-04-11
                            • 37332

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Poisec
                            Yeah long shots, they have some fitness and injuries affecting the team though.
                            For sure. You have to think Morocco would have to be at Full Strength to win:

                            *Morocco will be without striker Walid Cheddira, who picked up two bookings within a minute after coming on as a substitute in their shock win over Portugal.

                            *And MAR has two injury concerns for the Semifinal:
                            ...Nayef Aguerd missed the game against Portugal with a thigh injury and Romain Saiss, Morocco's captain, was carried off on a stretcher with a suspected left hamstring injury.
                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                            Comment
                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 04-04-11
                              • 37332

                              #15
                              Originally posted by hostile takeover
                              If France can get 1 it will open the flood gates. Morocco will have to come out of their shell for the first time all tourney.
                              This is possible. I'm not trying to talk the OP out of his bet strategy.

                              Morocco could be undone here. Just stating that it would have to be against the recent MAR defensive form.
                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                              Comment
                              • Al Masters
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-29-06
                                • 6940

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Poisec
                                Some other bets worth a shot, great odds:
                                France wins 3-0, +1200
                                France wins 4-0, +2200
                                France wins 5-0, +5000
                                You’re fucckked if they win 6-0.
                                Comment
                                • lakerboy
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-02-09
                                  • 94379

                                  #17
                                  The draw is +290/300.

                                  That should tell you everything you need to know on this game.
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388179

                                    #18
                                    Why do books offer 100,000 up to 1 million any side??
                                    Comment
                                    • slayer14
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-12-13
                                      • 22010

                                      #19
                                      Just make a big bet on France money line if you confident
                                      Comment
                                      • lakerboy
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-02-09
                                        • 94379

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        Why do books offer 100,000 up to 1 million any side??
                                        3 way line.

                                        That doesn't mean you can't win though.
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 04-04-11
                                          • 37332

                                          #21
                                          Imagine if this guy was suiting up:

                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • Optional
                                            Administrator
                                            • 06-10-10
                                            • 61461

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by hostile takeover
                                            If France can get 1 it will open the flood gates. Morocco will have to come out of their shell for the first time all tourney.
                                            ^^^ that's what i think too.

                                            But if France do not score first half, could end up 1-0 or even a draw i think.
                                            .
                                            Comment
                                            • bhoor
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-17-12
                                              • 2256

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                              Imagine if this guy was suiting up:

                                              He was a good player in EPL . But he won't do well against a tight competition,
                                              Comment
                                              • alittleboy
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 08-31-22
                                                • 32

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Al Masters
                                                You’re fucckked if they win 6-0.
                                                small bet on 6-0 to cover risks?
                                                Comment
                                                • Orbison
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-07-20
                                                  • 4691

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Poisec
                                                  I don't think Morocco scores any goal in this match
                                                  France is leaky in the back and has conceded in each match
                                                  Comment
                                                  • lakerboy
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 04-02-09
                                                    • 94379

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Orbison
                                                    France is leaky in the back and has conceded in each match
                                                    Poland was not really a goal
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Orbison
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-07-20
                                                      • 4691

                                                      #27
                                                      fair enough but they give up space and chances
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Enkhbat
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-18-11
                                                        • 3145

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by alittleboy
                                                        small bet on 6-0 to cover risks?
                                                        You are never gonna cover all the risks, the game could end 3-1, 4-1
                                                        I think Morocco will score at some point if France scores 2 early goals.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Poisec
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-22-18
                                                          • 1216

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Al Masters
                                                          You’re fucckked if they win 6-0.
                                                          This is not tennis bro
                                                          Comment
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