Qatar/Ecuador Over +++++

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  • topgame85
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-30-08
    • 12325

    #1
    Qatar/Ecuador Over +++++
    This could be a fools errand, but if I've learned anything in this game, always bet what no one else seems to be. The less people on a play, the better.

    I've heard nothing but the match is rigged 1-0 for Qatar, or early Group Stage is always 0-0 ties, teams just want a point. I have seen a few contrarians on Ecuador but all 1 or 2-0.

    I will be playing the Alt Line Steps here.

    Over 2.5 +165 $150
    Over 3.5 +425 $100
    Over 4.5 +1100 $75

    Happy World Cup, let's start this thing off with a bang! The next month is a once in a lifetime whirl wind. CBB, CFB, NFL, NBA, NHL and World Cup. Utter Madness. Bet with your head,not over it, and enjoy!
  • EddieMusher
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-10-15
    • 858

    #2
    Bone For Tuna!
    Comment
    • topgame85
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-30-08
      • 12325

      #3
      Originally posted by EddieMusher
      Bone For Tuna!
      Thanks, Eddie!
      Comment
      • Easy-Rider 66
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 02-14-12
        • 36103

        #4
        Get em Gamer
        Comment
        • jjgold
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 07-20-05
          • 388179

          #5
          Ecuador is the safest play
          Comment
          • flyingillini
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 41219

            #6
            Qatar 1st half
            המוסד‎
            המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
            Comment
            • franz555
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-13-14
              • 10725

              #7
              I love cheering for overs

              Good Luck
              Comment
              • thetrinity
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-25-11
                • 22430

                #8
                seaweed has under 2.5 so you are probably good here
                Comment
                • ChuckyTheGoat
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 04-04-11
                  • 37351

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jjgold
                  Ecuador is the safest play
                  Duly noted.

                  Good Luck, topGamer. If I had two handicapping observations to pass along, it would be:

                  1) How UN-physical Qatar was in some of the friendlies. They struggled to generate scoring chances vs the stronger teams.
                  2) Anyone thinking about going anti-ECU, can't think of a better spot than this. In South American qualifying, ECU is traditionally home-biased. They do well in the hi-altitude Quito games, struggle to earn pts on road. That's pretty normal, but even bigger splits for ECU.

                  Diamond Jack has great writeups. I support his QATAR +0.25 (-120) position. If Qatar can't get pts here, they are at risk of getting shutout on home soil.

                  Topper...you are right about bettors mostly thinking UNDER in these big soccer tournaments. How fragile is the bettor psyche?

                  Go back to the 2014 World Cup. About 80% of the first round of games got to 3+, so people viewed this as a trend. The Over/Unders bumped up to 3.00...and I knew that was a half-ball too high.
                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                  Comment
                  • lakerboy
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-02-09
                    • 94379

                    #10
                    Ecuador will press these guys. They have speed. Qatar will sit back and soak up.

                    Good luck
                    Comment
                    • JayLA
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-11-12
                      • 7806

                      #11
                      Hm...I like over 2 and yes there will be a Penalty
                      Comment
                      • JayLA
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-11-12
                        • 7806

                        #12
                        That penalty was quick
                        Comment
                        • JayLA
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-11-12
                          • 7806

                          #13
                          0-2
                          Comment
                          • lakerboy
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 04-02-09
                            • 94379

                            #14
                            Have a Budweiser for Qatar
                            Comment
                            • topgame85
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-30-08
                              • 12325

                              #15
                              Wow, well that sucked, haha. Had a chance to cash out for a hefty profit and let it ride. Qatar was absolutely horrendous. I gave them way too much credit for their Gold Cup performance. Have to admit I thought the fix would be in to give them at least one PK.
                              Comment
                              • topgame85
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-30-08
                                • 12325

                                #16
                                Originally posted by jjgold
                                Ecuador is the safest play
                                Coach always knows.
                                Comment
                                • slayer14
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-12-13
                                  • 22010

                                  #17
                                  There was a enough talent on that pitch to score the 3rd goal
                                  Comment
                                  • pavyracer
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-12-07
                                    • 82796

                                    #18
                                    Just remember that goal differential matters so even though Ecuador could have scored another one, after they took out Valencia they were more concerned with keeping a clean sheet.
                                    Comment
                                    • Thrilla
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-10-15
                                      • 13809

                                      #19
                                      Seems to be Ecuador's tendency. Playing it safe.
                                      Comment
                                      • Thrilla
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-10-15
                                        • 13809

                                        #20
                                        Topper, from what I recall most of the good teams did not play with their best 11 in that Gold Cup
                                        Comment
                                        • agendaman
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-01-11
                                          • 3728

                                          #21
                                          give your money to charity.
                                          Comment
                                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 04-04-11
                                            • 37351

                                            #22
                                            Get em next time, Top.

                                            How toothless was qatar?
                                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                            Comment
                                            • slayer14
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-12-13
                                              • 22010

                                              #23
                                              Qatar maybe start believing in the hype the fix was on maybe
                                              Comment
                                              • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-15-10
                                                • 7719

                                                #24
                                                If there was any fix, which I doubt, it had to be on the under. Some of Ecuador's players play in the top Euro leagues whereas Qatar's team isn't even at the level of a club team, I'm surprised Ecuador couldn't score at least three.
                                                Comment
                                                • pavyracer
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-12-07
                                                  • 82796

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by DrunkHorseplayer
                                                  If there was any fix, which I doubt, it had to be on the under. Some of Ecuador's players play in the top Euro leagues whereas Qatar's team isn't even at the level of a club team, I'm surprised Ecuador couldn't score at least three.
                                                  Ecuador had 3 shots on target the whole game. One was the PK, the other one was the header, and they had a shot towards the end of the game that the goalie blocked. Ecuador was happy to pass the ball around the second half without doing anything because Qatar coach didn't know how to press them and set traps.
                                                  Comment
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