Current odds on Trump to win 2020 election ??

[JohnGalt2341]

Looks like the Books have Biden at about a 51% to 52% winner right now. 538 has Biden at 77%. Either one, or both of these are way off. Most people likely think that it's 538 that is way off. I guess we'll see.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/?utm_source=digg

For any of you SBR point daredevils I found this gem at the SBR Book:

Nov 03 - 8:00 PM				2020 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
			1	TRUMP WINS ELECTIONS & POPULAR VOTE			+175
			2	ANY OTHER RESULT			-245

I think the chances of Trump winning the popular vote are very slim to none. There's a 1000 point limit on this... this -245 price is a steal! Get it while you can!

The line above is a GIFT to anyone on SBR. How has this price not changed yet? Does anyone truly believe that Trump is going to win the Popular Vote? If not, that -245 is a STEAL That -245 price should be at around -500 at the very MINIMUM.

[Thor4140]

He's an extremely live dog. Gaining steam and building momentum here.

I don't wager elections but trump at plus-odds just feels like a great EV play.

He's gonna shred Joe at the debates which begin one month from today.

Quite the shedding. This is a JT like prediction LMFAO

[vitterd]

Quite the shedding. This is a JT like prediction LMFAO

Lmao!!

[pablo222]

The line above is a GIFT to anyone on SBR. How has this price not changed yet? Does anyone truly believe that Trump is going to win the Popular Vote? If not, that -245 is a STEAL That -245 price should be at around -500 at the very MINIMUM.

Are we getting paid on any of these if he dies?

[homie1975]

Quite the shedding. This is a JT like prediction LMFAO

I was dead wrong. Donnie is desperate now.

[JohnGalt2341]

Are we getting paid on any of these if he dies?

I don't know. I would say probably not. But if he doesn't die then it's essentially free money/points. The chances of Trump winning the popular vote are slim to none.

[Judge Crater]

Biden -175 today at BOL

[homie1975]

I don't know. I would say probably not. But if he doesn't die then it's essentially free money/points. The chances of Trump winning the popular vote are slim to none.

as it stands here on 10/6 it would be SHOCKING if trump wins the Pop Vote and SURPRISING if he wins the electoral college.

get ready for a long drawn out court fight to commence the morning of 11/4

[JohnGalt2341]

as it stands here on 10/6 it would be SHOCKING if trump wins the Pop Vote and SURPRISING if he wins the electoral college.

get ready for a long drawn out court fight to commence the morning of 11/4

Yup. I'm hoping that's all it is. But if I was reading about everything that has happened since the last election in a novel.... let's say a Stephen King novel... I would predict something like a civil war after this election.. or something similar. Let's hope that that only happens in fictional novels.

I think the chances of Trump leaving quietly if he should lose are slim to none. Hannity and Limbaugh will have Trump's back spreading lies to all of his followers and the next thing we know... our great country will have completely turned against themselves. Randall Flagg would be very pleased by this.

[ByeShea]

as it stands here on 10/6 it would be SHOCKING if trump wins the Pop Vote and SURPRISING if he wins the electoral college.

get ready for a long drawn out court fight to commence the morning of 11/4

A presidential candidate needs TURNOUT to win.

Trump has an energized base, the best predictor for turnout. Biden does not.

Without TURNOUT these polls (which are completely unreliable to begin with) are meaningless - yet we see a noisy minority is already measuring the oval office drapes for Biden. When's that ever happened before - oh yeah, the last election when one candidate (Hillary) was polling beautifully while having negligible enthusiasm took on a candidate with an energized base.

Biden is a fossil w/ baggage. Trump has a lot of detractors, the Democratic Party has built itself around this - but where is the Biden enthusiasm?

Trump with odds is free money.

[vitterd]

A presidential candidate needs TURNOUT to win.

Trump has an energized base, the best predictor for turnout. Biden does not.

Without TURNOUT these polls (which are completely unreliable to begin with) are meaningless - yet we see a noisy minority is already measuring the oval office drapes for Biden. When's that ever happened before - oh yeah, the last election when one candidate (Hillary) was polling beautifully while having negligible enthusiasm took on a candidate with an energized base.

Biden is a fossil w/ baggage. Trump has a lot of detractors, the Democratic Party has built itself around this - but where is the Biden enthusiasm?

Trump with odds is free money.

“ Republicans will win seats in the midterms because Trump is so popular” ByeShea

Never forget.

More Dems will vote in 2020 than ever before and this doosh is talking about turn out.

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Vittard yes turnout will be bidens un doing. America is sick of the left democrats and their socialist plan not happening
TRUMP 2020

[vitterd]

Vittard yes turnout will be bidens un doing. America is sick of the left democrats and their socialist plan not happening
TRUMP 2020

Every dem is voting and they aren’t voting for trump. I mean, every dem. Trumps silly base has no chance. This is gonna be a beating and it will be fun to watch....assuming trump is still breathing.

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Oh ok just like 2016 my whole liberal family is voting Trump because of biden and Kamala

[tblues2005]

Right o
Now on Hertiage its Biden -180 Trump +150

[Unrivaled]

Biden should be -550 at this point honestly.

[CMNoney]

Trump just intentionally tanked the stock market.

He knows he is toast. He literally has nothing left to run on. The economy is in shambles. Probably just did this out of spite.

Was once a Trump fan but good riddance. They guy is an absolute moron.

[vitterd]

Oh ok just like 2016 my whole liberal family is voting Trump because of biden and Kamala

You’re family isn’t liberal.....they are stupid. Just like you.

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Ok.

[homie1975]

Trump just intentionally tanked the stock market.

He knows he is toast. He literally has nothing left to run on. The economy is in shambles. Probably just did this out of spite.

Was once a Trump fan but good riddance. They guy is an absolute moron.

1000% he just nixed the Stim talks based on spite. he is being a petty POS at this point because he knows he is a dead man.

Unbelievable.

I still support his key items: strong military, border security, tough-as-nails against china and other crappy trade deals, but this kind of petty shitt he does just pisses me off.

[DwightShrute]

Trump just intentionally tanked the stock market.

He knows he is toast. He literally has nothing left to run on. The economy is in shambles. Probably just did this out of spite.

Was once a Trump fan but good riddance. They guy is an absolute moron.

The biggest daily market gains happened in the few months. A few times. And I believe the market has never gone up as much in the last 6 months than any other time in history. That's with a pandemic. Best economy before the Wuhan virus hit. It will happen again.

The drop today is because Pelosi wants 2.4 trillion stimulus with almost 1 trillion of that having nothing to do with covid related issues. She wants money to bail out poorly run democratic cities just in time for the election. She's holding the country hostage, Trump told her to fukk herself as he should.

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">President Trump defeats COVID...The Democrats are next. Take back The US House of Representatives! <a href="https://t.co/mV2g0WXFgW">pic.twitter.com/mV2g0WXFgW</a></p>&mdash; William-of-Ockham�� (@Will_of_Ockham) <a href="https://twitter.com/Will_of_Ockham/status/1313287439562215424?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 6, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

[vitterd]

1000% he just nixed the Stim talks based on spite. he is being a petty POS at this point because he knows he is a dead man.

Unbelievable.

I still support his key items: strong military, border security, tough-as-nails against china and other crappy trade deals, but this kind of petty shitt he does just pisses me off.

He’s finished and knows it.

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

You guys crack me up you have been pushing and pulling out any fragment of hope to not have Trump as President .I mean you have been going at it for almost 4 straight years..whats 4 more huh..bahahahahahha TRUMP 2020 and it won't even be close

[vitterd]

You guys crack me up you have been pushing and pulling out any fragment of hope to not have Trump as President .I mean you have been going at it for almost 4 straight years..whats 4 more huh..bahahahahahha TRUMP 2020 and it won't even be close

It won’t be close.....you got that right. If he’s alive for it.....gonna be a beating.

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

yup you haven't seen anything yet my friend. Largest ever Republican turnout this Nov. Gonna take the House and keep the rest we are done with this Socialized experiment Law and Order And American Pride will prevail not BLM MARCH'S And bullshit investigations tell me over the past 3.5 years what have the Democrats accomplished not pertaining to investigating trump.........

[vitterd]

yup you haven't seen anything yet my friend. Largest ever Republican turnout this Nov. Gonna take the House and keep the rest we are done with this Socialized experiment Law and Order And American Pride will prevail not BLM MARCH'S And bullshit investigations tell me over the past 3.5 years what have the Democrats accomplished not pertaining to investigating trump.........

Lmao. Now that’s some funny shit. Not one sane person believes that.

[CMNoney]

You do realize people like me who aren't liberals at all can see the writing on the wall, right?

Trump has absolutely zero chance of winning. This is completely different than 2016. The gap in the polls show it.

Right or wrong people don't have the same disdain for Biden as they did for Hilary. And Hilary still won the popular vote by millions.

Trump is going to get massacred on election day. And at this point he deserves. He dug his own grave.

[d2bets]

Trump is getting close to +200.

[vitterd]

You do realize people like me who aren't liberals at all can see the writing on the wall, right?

Trump has absolutely zero chance of winning. This is completely different than 2016. The gap in the polls show it.

Right or wrong people don't have the same disdain for Biden as they did for Hilary. And Hilary still won the popular vote by millions.

Trump is going to get massacred by Biden.

This is all true and ive been saying that for a long time. It’s gotta be obvious to everyone by now this thing is over. It’s been over for a while but even republicans have to see the writing on the wall here. People have had enough of him.

[homie1975]

yup you haven't seen anything yet my friend. Largest ever Republican turnout this Nov. Gonna take the House and keep the rest we are done with this Socialized experiment Law and Order And American Pride will prevail not BLM MARCH'S And bullshit investigations tell me over the past 3.5 years what have the Democrats accomplished not pertaining to investigating trump.........

i am pro Trump way more than i am pro Biden, but both of these guys are not simply not built to run the country. i would take Bill Clinton back as Prez in a heartbeat.

Ronnie Reagan, where have you gone old friend?

politics in 2020 is just an embarrassment.

[vitterd]

i am pro Trump way more than i am pro Biden, but both of these guys are not simply not built to run the country. i would take Bill Clinton back as Prez in a heartbeat.

Ronnie Reagan, where have you gone old friend?

politics in 2020 is just an embarrassment.

I don’t necessarily disagree with you. Biden is not great either but trump is a maniac. This country has to get back to normal. This current clown is completely out of his mind. That ridiculous show he put on last night arriving back at the White House should make everyone puke.

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

I agree but I can handle 4 more years of trump it will just be a media war with Biden Harris the turn down Socialism Way is Guaranteed and I do not want to fight that fight for the next decade with what they will do to our government taxes free everything and etc

[vitterd]

There is no socialism. That is a scare tactics to frighten dummies. Biden has been a moderate his entire life. Nobody smart is buying that bullshit.

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

bullshit look at the initiatives Biden is slinging

[vitterd]

bullshit look at the initiatives Biden is slinging

Don’t you understand that’s his way to pull in far left votes? None of that shit will ever pass. You don’t even know what socialism is. The trump administration ran up more debt and gave away more free money than any administration ever.