Bucks not to make playoffs

**milwaukee mike** · 10-22-19, 03:26 PM

i think they could lose giannis, bledsoe, middleton, and matthews in the 1st week and still win that division

**dlowilly** · 10-22-19, 03:33 PM

Originally posted by milwaukee mike

i think they could lose giannis, bledsoe, middleton, and matthews in the 1st week and still win that division

Agreed, their division is weak but NBA playoff berths are based on overall record

**jjgold** · 10-22-19, 03:49 PM

Dumb bet

**sosawestbrook** · 10-22-19, 03:54 PM

you can float around .500 and still make the playoffs in the East. you would have been better off taking one of the top dogs in the West (Warriors, Blazers, Spurs, etc) to not make the playoffs. West conference will be an absolute slobber knocker for playoff positioning.

**dlowilly** · 10-22-19, 04:07 PM

Originally posted by sosawestbrook

you can float around .500 and still make the playoffs in the East. you would have been better off taking one of the top dogs in the West (Warriors, Blazers, Spurs, etc) to not make the playoffs. West conference will be an absolute slobber knocker for playoff positioning.

Like I said, I'm betting something catastrophic happens to the team, not that they play poorly

Not like I'm counting the money I just feel the odds were +ev

If a roulette table paid 40-1 on any number wouldn't you bet something?

**dlowilly** · 10-22-19, 04:07 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Dumb bet

Thanks for your input

**IBetYou** · 10-22-19, 04:15 PM

So you're betting he suffers season ending injury before Xmas 40-1, and assuming that's enough for them to miss the playoffs.

**dlowilly** · 10-22-19, 04:20 PM

Originally posted by IBetYou

So you're betting he suffers season ending injury before Xmas 40-1, and assuming that's enough for them to miss the playoffs.

No

82.5-1

Also, Bledsoe is already on shaky ground in the health dept.

**IBetYou** · 10-22-19, 04:36 PM

Pacers lost Oladipo in late January of this year... didn't even slide out of the top 4 in the East. Might have to be a November injury

**sosawestbrook** · 10-22-19, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by dlowilly

Like I said, I'm betting something catastrophic happens to the team, not that they play poorly

Not like I'm counting the money I just feel the odds were +ev

If a roulette table paid 40-1 on any number wouldn't you bet something?

I mean sure but Im just letting you know from a basketball standpoint that this bet basically stands no chance. even if Giannis got hurt, the Bucks would still make the playoffs. good luck with it though.

**shocka1212** · 10-22-19, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Dumb bet

tell em coach

**asiagambler** · 10-22-19, 05:26 PM

Giannis could get hurt on day one and Bucks would still make the playoffs. Middleton would be their main man, not Bledsoe

You need Giannis + at least another injury for this bet to have a chance.

Look at the Hawks team with no stars that Budenholzer got to 60 wins and a #1 seed in the East

I don't know what the number is but it's greater than 82-1

**dlowilly** · 10-22-19, 05:27 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Dumb bet

Originally posted by shocka1212

tell em coach

u guys do me a favor

Find me a bucks to make playoffs bet somewhere that is more than -8250

**dlowilly** · 10-22-19, 05:29 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

Giannis could get hurt on day one and Bucks would still make the playoffs. Middleton would be their main man, not Bledsoe

You need Giannis + at least another injury for this bet to have a chance.

Look at the Hawks team with no stars that Budenholzer got to 60 wins and a #1 seed in the East

I don't know what the number is but it's greater than 82-1

If that’s the case it should be easy to find a book that offers over -8250 or more for bucks to make playoffs

**asiagambler** · 10-22-19, 05:30 PM

Originally posted by dlowilly

If that’s the case it should be easy to find a book that offers over -8250 or more for bucks to make playoffs

Doesn't work like that. Books are trying to get money on the dog in most of these type of really longshot bets

**IBetYou** · 10-22-19, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

Giannis could get hurt on day one and Bucks would still make the playoffs. Middleton would be their main man, not Bledsoe

You need Giannis + at least another injury for this bet to have a chance.

Look at the Hawks team with no stars that Budenholzer got to 60 wins and a #1 seed in the East

I don't know what the number is but it's greater than 82-1

Milsap & Horford were tremendous players in their prime. But coach Bud' is a superb coach, we agree there.

**dlowilly** · 10-22-19, 05:39 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

Doesn't work like that. Books are trying to get money on the dog in most of these type of really longshot bets

Wrong

books are in the business of not offering +ev bets on either side with these futures bets

There is a wide range between the dog and the favorite for them to ensure this and these odds are outside of the range

Keep in mind this is a bet on credit with a local so not tying up money

**IBetYou** · 10-22-19, 05:41 PM

Horford was the guy Durant wanted in OKC for him to stay. Media/ fans never caught on to how good this guy was.

**asiagambler** · 10-22-19, 05:46 PM

Originally posted by dlowilly

Wrong

books are in the business of not offering +ev bets on either side with these futures bets

There is a wide range between the dog and the favorite for them to ensure this and these odds are outside of the range

Keep in mind this is a bet on credit with a local so not tying up money

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**SendIt247** · 10-22-19, 05:47 PM

Good luck

**asiagambler** · 10-22-19, 05:53 PM

Good point with Horford. Very underrated player for how good he was (and is)

**Goat Milk** · 10-22-19, 06:05 PM

No such thing as value if chances are 0.0%

Can give you this same bet for +1,000,000. Odds of it happening are still the same. 0%. Coach Bud is a regular season coach, never forget that. He's like a manning.

**MrSink** · 10-22-19, 06:59 PM

never said that here but saloooon please

**Hman** · 10-22-19, 07:01 PM

Just curious why this wager caught your eye...??

**d2bets** · 10-22-19, 07:06 PM

At 83-1 what the hell. That's pretty crazy.

**nyplayer33** · 10-22-19, 07:06 PM

200 bucks on that...lol. dam. How about some parlays that are so ewhat realistic

**dlowilly** · 10-22-19, 07:17 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

At 83-1 what the hell. That's pretty crazy.

Thank you

That's all I'm saying

**dlowilly** · 10-22-19, 07:19 PM

Originally posted by asiagambler

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...nteed-win.html

Not sure what ur trying to say with this link

**ThaTopMoron** · 10-22-19, 07:19 PM

**dlowilly** · 10-22-19, 07:20 PM

A lot of posters in this thread laughing saying it's too much of a longshot and a dumb bet

They must have been asleep when the Vegas Knights made the Stanley cup finals their inaugural year and Leicester City won the premiership

**WvGambler** · 10-22-19, 07:20 PM

I don’t wanna be “that guy” but I bet the odds of a catastrophic injury are worse than 82-1. I mean yea it happens....but if you really boil it down to it happening to a specific player, on a specific year, when you make a specific bet, and the team has to perform a specific way afterwards....just saying. Longer than 82-1. I’ve done the math.

**dlowilly** · 10-22-19, 07:22 PM

Originally posted by Hman

Just curious why this wager caught your eye...??

Strictly the numbers

I make a ton of season long prop bets on the major sports when I find what I think is a good number so when you combine them all it's not that big of a longshot

If you bet 18 of the 36 numbers on a roulette wheel at 40-1 each it's a +ev bet and not a long shot anymore when you combine them all

**d2bets** · 10-22-19, 07:24 PM

Originally posted by WvGambler

I don’t wanna be “that guy” but I bet the odds of a catastrophic injury are worse than 82-1. I mean yea it happens....but if you really boil it down to it happening to a specific player, on a specific year, when you make a specific bet, and the team has to perform a specific way afterwards....just saying. Longer than 82-1. I’ve done the math.

Are you just talking about Giannis? The odds of him suffering a season-ending injury is way more than 82-1. You think in 82 hypothetical season he wouldn't get injured more than once? Most players get injured for the year at least once in a 10-15 year career. This would be once out of 8 players over a career. It's way more that.

Put it this way. If I could get 82-1 on Giannis playing less than 25 games this season, I'd jump all over it. Large.

**dlowilly** · 10-22-19, 07:34 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

Are you just talking about Giannis? The odds of him suffering a season-ending injury is way more than 82-1. You think in 82 hypothetical season he wouldn't get injured more than once? Most players get injured for the year at least once in a 10-15 year career. This would be once out of 8 players over a career. It's way more that.

Put it this way. If I could get 82-1 on Giannis playing less than 25 games this season, I'd jump all over it. Large.

Especially with him

Guy plays like 42 minutes per game and it's physical, not running around at the perimeter